Reads as: riskier than 70.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IN median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.84
2.85
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.30
0.40
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.80
2.71
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.85
2.90
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
91.6
2.84
0.30
0.80
1.74
2.80
0.0%
2025Q3
92
94.3
2.75
0.29
0.75
1.70
2.71
0.0%
2025Q2
91
91.8
2.45
0.36
0.49
1.61
2.40
0.0%
2025Q1
90
91.0
2.36
0.43
0.32
1.60
2.32
0.0%
2024Q4
92
88.7
2.38
0.36
0.37
1.66
2.30
0.0%
2024Q3
92
88.3
2.20
0.26
0.41
1.53
1.96
0.0%
2024Q2
91
91.5
2.09
0.27
0.35
1.47
1.82
0.0%
2024Q1
91
87.7
2.08
0.18
0.44
1.46
1.93
0.0%
2023Q4
92
88.0
2.15
0.20
0.38
1.56
2.02
4.8%
2023Q3
92
84.0
2.26
0.23
0.35
1.68
2.12
12.7%
2023Q2
91
85.1
1.99
0.24
0.40
1.36
1.81
14.3%
2023Q1
90
81.7
1.95
0.28
0.46
1.21
1.71
13.6%
2022Q4
92
75.8
2.02
0.32
0.44
1.26
1.86
13.4%
2022Q3
92
69.3
2.22
0.46
0.42
1.34
2.05
10.5%
2022Q2
91
63.3
2.14
0.43
0.53
1.17
1.79
13.0%
2022Q1
90
57.6
2.33
0.40
0.39
1.53
2.41
3.5%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
32
C × 1D × 28E × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-12
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2026-03-26
2026-01-16
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2026-01-30
2026-01-16
Health · complaint
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
D
2026-01-30
2026-01-16
Health · complaint
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
D
2026-01-30
2025-12-16
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
—
2025-06-24
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-07-07
2025-06-24
Health · complaint
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
D
2025-07-07
2025-06-24
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-07-07
2025-06-24
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-07-07
2025-06-24
Health · complaint
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
D
2025-07-07
2025-05-21
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2025-06-27
2025-05-21
Health · complaint
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-06-27
2025-05-21
Health · complaint
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-06-27
2025-05-21
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-06-27
2025-05-21
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-06-27
2025-05-21
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-07-07
2025-05-21
Health · complaint
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
D
2025-06-27
2025-03-14
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2025-04-15
2025-03-14
Health · complaint
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
E
2025-04-15
2025-03-14
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-04-18
2025-03-14
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-04-18
2025-01-30
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-02-14
2025-01-30
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-02-14
2024-10-24
Health · complaint
F0659
Provide care by qualified persons according to each resident's written plan of care.
D
2024-11-10
2024-02-15
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2024-03-07
2024-02-15
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2024-03-07
2024-02-15
Health · complaint
F0693
Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube.
D
2024-03-07
2024-02-15
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2024-03-07
2024-02-15
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-03-07
2024-02-15
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-03-07
2024-02-15
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2024-03-07
2023-07-07
Health · complaint
F0602
Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money.
D
2023-04-18
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
36
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2003-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-04-15
current
pecos_ownership
BABCOCK, PAUL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-09-30
current
pecos_ownership
CAINE, VIRGINIA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-01-10
current
pecos_ownership
DICE, MARK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
DRUMMER, CARL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HANIFY, THOMAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HARRIS, LISA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2003-12-22
current
pecos_ownership
HORN, BRENDA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
LAZARD, ROBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-29
current
pecos_ownership
MANTRAVADI, GEETA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-07-21
current
pecos_ownership
PATEL, NEHA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-04-15
current
pecos_ownership
PATEL, NEHA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-10
current
pecos_ownership
PAYNE, MONICA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-08-09
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, DANIELLE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SWEENY, BRENDAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-04-15
current
pecos_ownership
SWEENY, BRENDAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
TURTLE CREEK MANAGEMENT
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
VAN CAMP, STEVEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
THE HEALTH AND HOSPITAL CORPORATION OF MARION COUNTY
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2003-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRENDA HORN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CARL DRUMMER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIELLE SMITH
CONTRACTED MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2024-01-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEETA MANTRAVADI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-07-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA HARRIS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2003-12-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK DICE
CONTRACTED MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MONICA PAYNE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-08-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NEHA PATEL
CONTRACTED MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2024-03-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAUL BABCOCK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-09-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT LAZARD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVEN VAN CAMP
CONTRACTED MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2019-09-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS HANIFY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TURTLE CREEK MANAGEMENT
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
TURTLE CREEK MANAGEMENT
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
TURTLE CREEK MANAGEMENT
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
VIRGINIA CAINE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-01-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$633,908
—
—
—
—
13
propco
2023-12-31
$586,092
—
—
—
—
13
—
2022-12-31
$487,348
—
—
—
—
14
propco
2021-12-31
$451,975
—
—
—
—
15
propco
2020-12-31
$482,225
—
—
—
—
15
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 18097
acs median gross
0
$948
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18097
fmr
0
$1,118
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18097
acs median gross
1
$1,018
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18097
fmr
1
$1,267
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18097
acs median gross
2
$1,178
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18097
fmr
2
$1,473
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18097
acs median gross
3
$1,369
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18097
fmr
3
$1,907
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18097
acs median gross
4
$1,574
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18097
fmr
4
$2,338
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18097
acs median gross
5
$1,573
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18097
acs median gross
$1,153
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18097
acs recent mover gross
$1,328
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46227
acs median gross
0
$998
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46227
acs median gross
1
$953
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46227
acs median gross
2
$1,044
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46227
acs median gross
3
$1,258
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46227
acs median gross
4
$1,724
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46227
acs median gross
5
$1,125
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46227
acs median gross
$1,035
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46227
acs recent mover gross
$1,165
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 46227
payment standard 110
0
$1,100
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 90
0
$900
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
safmr
0
$1,000
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 110
1
$1,254
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 90
1
$1,026
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
safmr
1
$1,140
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 110
2
$1,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 90
2
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
safmr
2
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 110
3
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 90
3
$1,539
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
safmr
3
$1,710
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 110
4
$2,310
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
payment standard 90
4
$1,890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46227
safmr
4
$2,100
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.