Reads as: riskier than 50.3% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CO median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.82
3.19
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.59
0.57
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.88
3.02
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.79
3.27
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
80.2
3.82
0.59
0.87
2.36
3.88
22.3%
2025Q3
92
82.3
3.87
0.41
1.07
2.39
3.84
18.0%
2025Q2
91
86.7
3.76
0.42
1.05
2.29
3.70
13.3%
2025Q1
90
90.9
3.93
0.40
1.13
2.41
3.90
18.4%
2024Q4
92
105.8
3.93
0.29
0.97
2.67
4.01
32.2%
2024Q3
92
101.1
3.74
0.22
1.04
2.48
3.81
36.6%
2024Q2
91
101.9
3.62
0.24
1.04
2.34
3.62
35.8%
2024Q1
91
99.5
3.76
0.29
1.05
2.42
3.68
35.5%
2023Q4
92
95.5
3.87
0.34
1.02
2.51
3.73
38.8%
2023Q3
92
97.5
4.14
0.33
1.02
2.79
3.96
43.1%
2023Q2
91
100.9
3.66
0.30
1.00
2.36
3.55
35.1%
2023Q1
90
97.5
3.73
0.32
0.94
2.46
3.58
41.2%
2022Q4
92
98.0
3.47
0.33
0.81
2.33
3.32
40.8%
2022Q3
92
95.6
3.48
0.37
0.85
2.25
3.18
40.5%
2022Q2
91
95.6
3.39
0.41
0.79
2.19
2.92
35.4%
2022Q1
90
99.7
1.99
0.51
0.79
0.69
1.83
44.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-07-14
2025-03-24
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-04-30
2025-03-24
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2025-04-30
2025-03-24
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-04-30
2025-03-24
Health · complaint
F0744
Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with dementia.
D
2025-04-30
2025-03-24
Health · complaint
F0835
Administer the facility in a manner that enables it to use its resources effectively and efficiently.
F
2025-03-25
2025-02-24
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2025-03-21
2024-11-20
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2024-07-31
2024-03-20
Health
F0552
Ensure that residents are fully informed and understand their health status, care and treatments.
D
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health · complaint
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
E
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health
F0603
Protect each resident from separation (from other residents, his/her room, or confinement to his/her room).
D
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
G
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
D
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health · complaint
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health · complaint
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
E
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
F
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
E
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
D
2024-04-17
2024-03-20
Health
F0947
Ensure nurse aides have the skills they need to care for residents, and give nurse aides education in dementia care and abuse prevention.
E
2024-04-17
2023-11-01
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2023-11-22
2023-09-25
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
E
2023-10-30
2022-12-08
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2023-01-16
2022-12-08
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-01-16
2022-12-08
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-01-16
2022-12-08
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2023-01-16
2022-12-08
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
D
2023-01-16
2021-09-13
Health
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2021-10-13
2021-09-13
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2021-10-13
2021-09-13
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
E
2021-10-13
2021-09-13
Health
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2021-10-13
2021-09-13
Health
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
D
2021-10-13
2021-09-13
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2021-10-13
2021-09-13
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2021-10-12
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
33
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ALLEN, RYAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAPTIST HOME ASSOCIATION OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLATNIK, ANDREA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DAVIDSON, ROGER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
FORD, ASHLEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HANSON, PHILLIP
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, DOROTHY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, LARS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-06-05
current
pecos_ownership
KILLIAN, GEORGE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
NEIMAN, RUTH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PETERS, MARSHALL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
VAN DER BEEK, BRUCE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
VANOSTRAM, STEVEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
VAUGHN-GRAY, STEPHANIE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WAGONER FORD, ANNE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHITAKER, BRUCE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
ANDREA BLATNIK
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE VAN DER BEEK
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LARS JOHNSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2023-06-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RUTH NEIMAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEPHANIE VAUGHN-GRAY
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANNE WAGONER FORD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ASHLEY FORD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE WHITAKER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOROTHY JOHNSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEORGE KILLIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES JOHNSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARSHALL PETERS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PHILLIP HANSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROGER DAVIDSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RYAN ALLEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVEN VANOSTRAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-08-31
$626,823
—
—
—
—
1
—
2024-08-31
$641,743
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-08-31
$671,103
—
—
—
—
1
—
2022-08-31
$556,152
—
—
—
—
1
—
2021-08-31
$514,333
—
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 08059
acs median gross
0
$1,624
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059
fmr
0
$1,643
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059
acs median gross
1
$1,653
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059
fmr
1
$1,754
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059
acs median gross
2
$1,863
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059
fmr
2
$2,089
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059
acs median gross
3
$2,301
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059
fmr
3
$2,734
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059
acs median gross
4
$2,560
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059
fmr
4
$3,049
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08059
acs median gross
5
$2,753
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059
acs median gross
$1,861
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08059
acs recent mover gross
$1,996
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033
acs median gross
0
$1,909
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033
acs median gross
1
$1,258
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033
acs median gross
2
$1,618
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033
acs median gross
3
$2,279
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033
acs median gross
4
$1,788
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033
acs median gross
$1,587
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80033
acs recent mover gross
$2,193
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 80033
payment standard 110
0
$1,628
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 90
0
$1,332
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
safmr
0
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 110
1
$1,782
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 90
1
$1,458
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
safmr
1
$1,620
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 110
2
$2,123
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 90
2
$1,737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
safmr
2
$1,930
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 110
3
$2,772
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 90
3
$2,268
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
safmr
3
$2,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 110
4
$3,102
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
payment standard 90
4
$2,538
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80033
safmr
4
$2,820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.