Reads as: riskier than 72.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IN median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.83
2.85
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.30
0.40
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.53
2.71
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.95
2.90
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
99.8
2.83
0.30
0.56
1.97
2.53
1.6%
2025Q3
92
103.1
2.60
0.31
0.44
1.86
2.22
0.5%
2025Q2
91
97.6
2.68
0.33
0.43
1.92
2.31
2.3%
2025Q1
90
94.0
2.57
0.33
0.43
1.80
2.43
1.4%
2024Q4
92
99.3
2.53
0.32
0.39
1.81
2.37
0.3%
2024Q3
92
101.5
2.59
0.23
0.40
1.95
2.36
2.4%
2024Q2
91
101.2
2.22
0.14
0.38
1.70
1.98
2.2%
2024Q1
91
101.8
2.28
0.15
0.38
1.76
2.01
3.5%
2023Q4
92
104.2
2.00
0.22
0.35
1.43
1.67
1.4%
2023Q3
92
103.3
2.17
0.22
0.32
1.63
1.95
1.4%
2023Q2
91
99.9
2.31
0.23
0.36
1.73
1.97
6.4%
2023Q1
90
94.2
2.38
0.28
0.40
1.70
2.03
4.0%
2022Q4
92
87.7
2.27
0.29
0.38
1.61
1.97
0.7%
2022Q3
92
88.8
2.03
0.28
0.39
1.36
1.52
2.0%
2022Q2
91
87.2
1.95
0.29
0.45
1.21
1.58
0.0%
2022Q1
90
87.2
1.97
0.30
0.56
1.10
1.72
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2026-04-06
2026-03-31
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2026-04-06
2026-03-31
Health
F0742
Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with mental disorder or psychosocial adjustment difficulty, or who has a history of trauma and/or post-traumatic stress disorder.
D
2026-04-06
2026-03-31
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-04-06
2026-03-31
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
F
2026-04-06
2026-03-31
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2026-04-06
2025-06-18
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2025-06-19
2025-05-19
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-06-19
2025-05-19
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2025-06-19
2025-05-19
Health
F0628
Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies.
D
2025-06-19
2025-05-19
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-06-19
2025-05-19
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-06-19
2025-05-19
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-06-19
2025-02-21
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-03-06
2024-02-19
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2024-02-01
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
32
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BROUNTS, LIONEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, THERESE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
CLARK, CHARLES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
EAKIN, JOHN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
ENGELS, ERIN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2012-10-12
current
pecos_ownership
FENOUGHTY, DEANNA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-07-10
current
pecos_ownership
GENTRY, MARK
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-01-12
current
pecos_ownership
GUY, AUDRA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
HENDRICKS COUNTY HOSPITAL
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
KATTMAN, DODD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
LAMBERT, DEBRA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
MARTIN, KRISTINA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
RECOVERY HEALTH SERVICES, INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
STARCHER, SARAH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
STARKEY, TYLER
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
WAITE, JOHN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHICKER, TIMOTHY
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-12
current
pecos_ownership
AUDRA GUY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLES CLARK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEANNA FENOUGHTY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-07-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEBRA LAMBERT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DODD KATTMAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERIN ENGELS
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2012-10-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN EAKIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN WAITE
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KRISTINA MARTIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LIONEL BROUNTS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK GENTRY
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SARAH STARCHER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THERESE BROWN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIMOTHY WHICKER
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TYLER STARKEY
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,215,553
—
—
—
—
4
—
2023-12-31
$2,209,285
—
—
—
—
5
—
2022-12-31
$2,359,243
—
—
—
—
4
—
2021-12-31
$2,227,770
—
—
—
—
4
—
2020-12-31
$634,630
—
—
—
—
4
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 18003
acs median gross
0
$867
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18003
fmr
0
$892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18003
acs median gross
1
$854
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18003
fmr
1
$916
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18003
acs median gross
2
$1,052
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18003
fmr
2
$1,113
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18003
acs median gross
3
$1,157
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18003
fmr
3
$1,381
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18003
acs median gross
4
$1,301
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18003
fmr
4
$1,512
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 18003
acs median gross
5
$1,265
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18003
acs median gross
$1,021
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 18003
acs recent mover gross
$1,142
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46805
acs median gross
0
$555
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46805
acs median gross
1
$720
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46805
acs median gross
2
$1,020
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46805
acs median gross
3
$1,176
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46805
acs median gross
5
$1,475
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46805
acs median gross
$925
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 46805
acs recent mover gross
$949
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 46805
payment standard 110
0
$858
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 90
0
$702
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
safmr
0
$780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 110
1
$891
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 90
1
$729
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
safmr
1
$810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 110
2
$1,078
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 90
2
$882
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
safmr
2
$980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 110
3
$1,342
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 90
3
$1,098
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
safmr
3
$1,220
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 110
4
$1,463
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
payment standard 90
4
$1,197
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 46805
safmr
4
$1,330
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.