Composite
64.0 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 59.0 | 43.2 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 13.62 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 57.8 | 48.3 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 13.34 | in index |
| financial risk | 47.1 | 43.7 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 10.87 | in index |
| staffing risk | 48.2 | 48.2 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 9.27 | in index |
| chow risk | 56.5 | 38.3 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 6.52 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 43.1 | B | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 55.0 | C | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 21.6 | A | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 43.7 | B | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 2.2 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 48.3 | C | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 48.2 | C | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 61.1 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 41.1 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 53.5 | C | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 47.3 | C | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 48.3 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 48.3 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 48.2 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 48.2 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Occupancy | 0.93 | -0.68 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | -0.40 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Contract staffing share | 0.18 | +0.18 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | +1.20 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 12.00 | -0.80 | |
| Occupancy | 0.93 | -0.77 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 5.33 | -0.20 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.12 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | PA median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.31 | 3.38 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.25 | 3.27 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.34 | 3.43 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 192.0 | 3.31 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 2.07 | 3.25 | 18.0% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 193.1 | 3.23 | 0.31 | 0.89 | 2.03 | 3.15 | 23.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 194.1 | 3.31 | 0.34 | 0.90 | 2.07 | 3.21 | 22.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 193.8 | 3.26 | 0.31 | 0.90 | 2.05 | 3.19 | 19.3% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 191.2 | 3.25 | 0.28 | 0.93 | 2.04 | 3.17 | 19.1% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 191.6 | 3.30 | 0.29 | 0.95 | 2.06 | 3.17 | 20.3% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 195.9 | 3.32 | 0.26 | 1.01 | 2.05 | 3.16 | 25.0% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 191.9 | 3.31 | 0.22 | 1.05 | 2.03 | 3.20 | 26.1% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 194.7 | 3.34 | 0.28 | 0.99 | 2.06 | 3.29 | 26.2% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 192.8 | 3.22 | 0.29 | 0.94 | 1.99 | 3.09 | 31.4% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 191.2 | 3.30 | 0.27 | 1.01 | 2.02 | 3.14 | 31.0% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 196.1 | 3.26 | 0.25 | 1.01 | 2.00 | 3.07 | 33.9% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 193.0 | 3.18 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 1.97 | 3.00 | 30.8% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 194.0 | 3.21 | 0.32 | 0.87 | 2.02 | 2.99 | 33.2% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 194.5 | 3.01 | 0.36 | 0.84 | 1.81 | 2.76 | 25.6% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 197.0 | 3.04 | 0.38 | 0.91 | 1.75 | 2.70 | 30.5% |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Health · complaint | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2026-03-31 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0641 | Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0655 | Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health · complaint | F0679 | Provide activities to meet all resident's needs. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | G | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0690 | Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0710 | Obtain a doctor's order to admit a resident and ensure the resident is under a doctor's care. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0759 | Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-10-23 | Health | F0836 | Ensure the facility is licensed under applicable State and local law and operates and provides services in compliance with all applicable Federal, State, and local laws, regulations, and codes, and with accepted professional standards. | D | 2025-12-02 |
| 2025-07-14 | Health · complaint | F0842 | Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards. | D | 2025-08-18 |
| 2025-04-16 | Health · complaint | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2025-05-12 |
| 2025-03-10 | Health · complaint | F0925 | Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests. | D | 2025-04-02 |
| 2024-12-30 | Health · complaint | F0760 | Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors. | D | 2025-01-26 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0557 | Honor the resident's right to be treated with respect and dignity and to retain and use personal possessions. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | E | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0699 | Provide care or services that was trauma informed and/or culturally competent. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-11-22 | Health | F0925 | Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests. | D | 2025-01-13 |
| 2024-07-25 | Health · complaint | F0908 | Keep all essential equipment working safely. | E | 2024-08-12 |
| 2024-07-02 | Health · complaint | F0760 | Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors. | D | 2024-08-01 |
| 2024-05-31 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2024-07-01 |
| 2024-04-17 | Health · complaint | F0804 | Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature. | D | 2024-05-13 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0558 | Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0641 | Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment. | B | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0805 | Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0887 | Educate residents and staff on COVID-19 vaccination, offer the COVID-19 vaccine to eligible residents and staff after education, and properly document each resident and staff member's vaccination status. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| 2024-02-16 | Health | F0921 | Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public. | D | 2024-04-12 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLEIER, JONATHAN | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 2014-12-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SOD, YAAKOV | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 2014-12-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SOFIA, LISA | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2014-12-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| LISA SOFIA | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | 100% | 2014-12-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JONATHAN BLEIER | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 2014-12-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| YAAKOV SOD | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 2014-12-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-01 | MANOR AT ST LUKE VILLAGE,THE | — | — | — | 104 | 1711 EAST BROAD STREET OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | PENNKNOLL VILLAGE | — | — | — | 133 | 208 PENNKNOLL ROAD OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | MAPLEWOOD NURSING AND REHAB CENTER | — | — | — | 180 | MA OPERATING, LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | PAVILION AT ST LUKE VILLAGE, THE | — | — | — | 120 | 1000 STACIE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | MANOR AT PENN VILLAGE, THE | — | — | — | 159 | 51 ROUTE 204 OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-01 | WYNCOTE CARE CENTER | — | — | — | 58 | WYNCOTE CARE LLC |
| 2025-05-01 | ONYX WELLNESS CENTER | — | — | — | 119 | ONYX WELLNESS CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-24 | HAVENCREST REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER | — | — | — | 48 | HAVENCREST REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-24 | BEAVER VALLEY REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER | — | — | — | 120 | BEAVER VALLEY REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-01 | STROUDSBURG POST ACUTE NURSING & REHABILITATIONLLC | — | — | — | 174 | STROUDSBURG POST ACUTE NURSING & REHABILITATION LLC |
| 2025-02-01 | EDENBROOK OF YEADON | — | — | — | 190 | YEADON SNF OPERATIONS, LLC |
| 2025-02-01 | EDENBROOK OF GREENWOOD HILL | — | — | — | 160 | POTTSVILLE SNF OPERATIONS, LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,186 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 0 | $1,397 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,242 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 1 | $1,520 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,471 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 2 | $1,810 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,492 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 3 | $2,170 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,687 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 4 | $2,423 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 5 | $1,534 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | $1,397 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 42101 | acs recent mover gross | $1,644 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 19152 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,135 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19152 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,337 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19152 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,813 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19152 | acs median gross | $1,358 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 19152 | acs recent mover gross | $1,588 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $1,375 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $1,125 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | safmr | 0 | $1,250 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $1,496 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $1,224 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | safmr | 1 | $1,360 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,782 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $1,458 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | safmr | 2 | $1,620 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $2,134 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,746 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | safmr | 3 | $1,940 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $2,387 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $1,953 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19152 | safmr | 4 | $2,170 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |