19475 SILVER CREEK RD, GALESVILLE, WI 54630 · CCN 525628
Composite
16.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
50
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 16.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
WI median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.53
3.60
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.70
0.64
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.49
3.49
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.54
3.65
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
31.0
3.53
0.70
0.41
2.42
3.49
0.0%
2025Q3
92
29.7
3.65
0.63
0.49
2.53
3.62
0.0%
2025Q2
91
33.1
3.44
0.61
0.47
2.35
3.48
0.0%
2025Q1
90
33.7
3.47
0.65
0.41
2.41
3.69
0.0%
2024Q4
92
32.7
3.48
0.57
0.53
2.38
3.49
0.0%
2024Q3
92
31.2
3.93
0.62
0.58
2.73
3.71
4.1%
2024Q2
91
32.8
3.69
0.81
0.56
2.32
3.36
1.7%
2024Q1
91
30.3
3.89
0.84
0.64
2.41
3.53
0.0%
2023Q4
92
32.5
3.61
0.82
0.45
2.34
3.39
0.0%
2023Q3
92
33.7
3.44
0.63
0.66
2.15
3.14
0.0%
2023Q2
91
33.6
3.47
0.78
0.54
2.16
3.09
0.0%
2023Q1
90
32.9
3.52
0.89
0.50
2.13
3.23
0.0%
2022Q4
92
34.9
3.38
0.80
0.46
2.12
3.14
0.0%
2022Q3
92
32.3
3.50
0.78
0.49
2.23
3.27
0.0%
2022Q2
91
32.7
3.42
0.78
0.48
2.16
3.14
0.0%
2022Q1
90
33.8
3.30
0.65
0.50
2.15
3.13
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
9
C × 1D × 4F × 4
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2023-11-01
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2023-12-01
2023-11-01
Health
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2023-12-01
2023-11-01
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
C
2023-12-01
2023-11-01
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2023-12-01
2023-11-01
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-12-01
2023-11-01
Health · complaint
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
F
2023-12-01
2023-11-01
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-12-01
2023-11-01
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2023-12-01
2023-11-01
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2023-12-01
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
30
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BRALEY, MATTHEW
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
FEIRTAG, MEGAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-10
current
pecos_ownership
HANSON, CHARLES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
KITE, CINDI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
KOTNOUR, JOSEPH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-03-21
current
pecos_ownership
PASSE, NICHOLAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
PATROS, PAUL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
PEDACE, TERRI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
QUARBERG, BRADLEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-03-21
current
pecos_ownership
SACIE, BONITA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SPILDE, STEVE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
STROHM, BARBARA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-03-21
current
pecos_ownership
UBBELOHDE, CRAIG
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2012-03-26
current
pecos_ownership
WICHELT, JOYCE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZEMAN, ELAINE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-03-27
current
pecos_ownership
BARBARA STROHM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-03-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BONITA SACIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2022-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRADLEY QUARBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-03-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLES HANSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2022-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CINDI KITE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2018-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CRAIG UBBELOHDE
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2012-03-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELAINE ZEMAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2021-03-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH KOTNOUR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2015-03-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOYCE WICHELT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATTHEW BRALEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2022-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MEGAN FEIRTAG
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
100%
2022-04-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NICHOLAS PASSE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAUL PATROS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2017-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVE SPILDE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2017-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TERRI PEDACE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2021-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 55121
acs median gross
0
$658
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55121
fmr
0
$748
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55121
acs median gross
1
$593
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55121
fmr
1
$753
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55121
acs median gross
2
$950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55121
fmr
2
$988
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55121
acs median gross
3
$1,159
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55121
fmr
3
$1,303
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55121
acs median gross
4
$1,137
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55121
fmr
4
$1,308
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55121
acs median gross
5
$1,364
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55121
acs median gross
$949
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55121
acs recent mover gross
$1,207
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54630
acs median gross
1
$683
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54630
acs median gross
2
$1,042
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54630
acs median gross
3
$1,147
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54630
acs median gross
4
$1,107
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54630
acs median gross
5
$1,594
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54630
acs median gross
$981
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54630
acs recent mover gross
$1,300
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 54630
payment standard 110
0
$880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 90
0
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
safmr
0
$800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 110
1
$891
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 90
1
$729
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
safmr
1
$810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 110
2
$1,166
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 90
2
$954
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
safmr
2
$1,060
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 110
3
$1,540
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 90
3
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
safmr
3
$1,400
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 110
4
$1,540
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
payment standard 90
4
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54630
safmr
4
$1,400
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.