Reads as: riskier than 12.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
47 chains
FORVIS MAZARS LLP
251 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
AL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.03
3.37
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.60
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.77
3.04
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.13
3.50
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
155.1
4.03
0.60
0.48
2.94
3.77
0.0%
2025Q3
92
153.8
3.97
0.53
0.55
2.89
3.75
0.0%
2025Q2
91
153.6
4.24
0.48
0.63
3.14
3.96
0.0%
2025Q1
90
153.8
4.27
0.53
0.63
3.12
4.11
0.0%
2024Q4
92
153.0
4.05
0.55
0.71
2.80
3.85
0.0%
2024Q3
92
154.4
4.01
0.53
0.74
2.74
3.75
0.0%
2024Q2
91
155.6
4.26
0.50
0.72
3.03
3.86
0.0%
2024Q1
91
154.8
4.23
0.49
0.75
2.99
4.00
0.0%
2023Q4
92
154.8
4.18
0.57
0.73
2.88
3.92
0.0%
2023Q3
92
157.5
3.90
0.60
0.63
2.67
3.63
0.0%
2023Q2
91
154.2
4.33
0.60
0.68
3.06
3.96
0.0%
2023Q1
90
155.0
4.18
0.56
0.66
2.97
3.83
0.0%
2022Q4
92
154.2
4.01
0.52
0.77
2.72
3.45
0.0%
2022Q3
92
154.3
3.99
0.56
0.73
2.70
3.41
0.0%
2022Q2
91
153.5
3.85
0.56
0.70
2.58
3.13
0.0%
2022Q1
90
160.6
3.84
0.55
0.71
2.59
3.26
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
9
D × 8E × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2019-11-21
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2019-12-12
2018-09-20
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
E
2018-10-25
2018-09-20
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2018-10-25
2017-09-21
Health
F0241
Provide care for residents in a way that maintains or improves their dignity and respect in full recognition of their individuality.
D
2017-10-26
2017-09-21
Health
F0278
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment by a qualified health professional.
D
2017-10-26
2017-09-21
Health
F0280
Allow residents the right to participate in the planning or revision of care and treatment.
D
2017-10-26
2017-09-21
Health
F0281
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2017-10-26
2017-09-21
Health
F0441
Have a program that investigates, controls and keeps infection from spreading.
D
2017-10-26
2017-09-21
Health
F0497
1) Review the work of each nurse aide every year; and 2) give regular in-service training based upon these reviews.
D
2017-10-26
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
22
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
TURENNE PROPERTIES LTD
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
95%
2024-07-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
TURENNE PROPERTIES LTD
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
95%
2023-07-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CALHOUN, GARY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
CRUZ, ANGELA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-11-16
current
pecos_ownership
FORVIS MAZARS LLP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHMIDT WALLACE HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2001-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
SCHMIDT WALLACE HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-08
current
pecos_ownership
SCHMIDT, CHRISTOPHER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2001-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHMIDT, CHRISTOPHER
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2013-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
STEPHENSON, TAMMY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2006-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
STEPHENSON, TAMMY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2013-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TINSLEY, EMILY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-04-15
current
pecos_ownership
CHRISTOPHER SCHMIDT
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2013-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TURENNE PROPERTIES LTD
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
95%
2020-07-01
ended 2021-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
TURENNE PROPERTIES LTD
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
95%
2021-07-01
ended 2022-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
TURENNE PROPERTIES LTD
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
95%
2022-07-01
ended 2023-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
CHRISTOPHER SCHMIDT
CORPORATE OFFICER
50%
2001-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TAMMY STEPHENSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2013-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TAMMY STEPHENSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
50%
2006-09-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANGELA CRUZ
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-11-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EMILY TINSLEY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-04-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY CALHOUN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2016-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$1,918,467
$24,060
$685,880
—
$99,083
6
propco
2024-06-30
$1,846,763
$22,205
$682,801
—
$80,271
6
propco
2023-06-30
$1,807,367
$23,023
$627,290
—
$98,898
6
propco
2022-06-30
$1,755,092
$37,146
$615,352
—
$77,677
6
propco
2021-06-30
$1,805,760
$58,381
$561,193
—
$77,155
6
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 01095
fmr
0
$588
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01095
acs median gross
1
$539
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01095
fmr
1
$591
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01095
acs median gross
2
$735
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01095
fmr
2
$776
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01095
acs median gross
3
$957
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01095
fmr
3
$1,069
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01095
acs median gross
4
$1,059
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01095
fmr
4
$1,073
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01095
acs median gross
5
$704
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01095
acs median gross
$795
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01095
acs recent mover gross
$1,071
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35950
acs median gross
1
$661
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35950
acs median gross
2
$739
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35950
acs median gross
3
$998
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35950
acs median gross
4
$1,113
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35950
acs median gross
$854
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35950
acs recent mover gross
$1,000
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 35950
payment standard 110
0
$704
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 90
0
$576
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
safmr
0
$640
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 110
1
$704
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 90
1
$576
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
safmr
1
$640
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 110
2
$924
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 90
2
$756
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
safmr
2
$840
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 110
3
$1,276
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 90
3
$1,044
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
safmr
3
$1,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 110
4
$1,276
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
payment standard 90
4
$1,044
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35950
safmr
4
$1,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.