1000 NORTHFIELD DRIVE, CHAMBERSBURG, PA 17201 · CCN 395012
Composite
13.1 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
56
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 13.1% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
PA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
5.35
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.19
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.86
3.27
3.11
—
Weekday total
5.54
3.43
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
45.2
5.35
1.19
0.86
3.29
4.86
1.2%
2025Q3
92
26.4
6.42
1.74
0.84
3.84
6.01
0.5%
2025Q2
91
50.4
4.50
0.85
0.77
2.88
4.21
0.5%
2025Q1
90
51.2
4.70
0.86
0.81
3.03
4.29
0.0%
2024Q4
92
51.1
4.61
0.78
0.81
3.02
4.16
0.0%
2024Q3
92
53.4
4.33
0.77
0.85
2.71
3.94
0.0%
2024Q2
91
52.7
4.57
0.79
0.88
2.90
4.12
0.0%
2024Q1
91
52.9
4.52
0.83
0.81
2.88
4.08
0.0%
2023Q4
92
52.8
4.25
0.82
0.77
2.66
3.88
1.5%
2023Q3
92
53.4
4.25
0.82
0.77
2.66
3.84
9.4%
2023Q2
91
52.8
4.45
0.85
0.93
2.67
4.02
4.9%
2023Q1
90
53.9
4.35
0.81
1.04
2.49
3.91
4.7%
2022Q4
92
53.9
4.29
0.66
1.05
2.58
3.85
10.3%
2022Q3
92
52.6
4.33
0.60
1.14
2.60
3.93
10.0%
2022Q2
91
47.9
4.57
0.78
1.11
2.68
4.01
9.9%
2022Q1
90
51.9
4.59
0.72
1.03
2.83
4.36
0.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2026-04-13
2025-02-26
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
B
2025-03-24
2025-02-26
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-03-24
2025-02-26
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2025-03-24
2025-02-26
Health
F0699
Provide care or services that was trauma informed and/or culturally competent.
D
2025-03-24
2025-02-26
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-03-24
2025-02-26
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-03-24
2024-03-13
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-03-29
2024-02-16
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
J
2024-01-31
2024-02-16
Health · complaint
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
K
2024-01-31
2024-02-16
Health · complaint
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2024-03-18
2024-02-16
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-03-18
2024-02-16
Health · complaint
F0743
Ensure that a resident does not develop patterns of decreased social interaction and/or increased withdrawn, angry, or depressive behaviors, unless unavoidable.
J
2024-03-18
2024-02-16
Health · complaint
F0835
Administer the facility in a manner that enables it to use its resources effectively and efficiently.
E
2024-03-18
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
33
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BEINS, ROGER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
BURKE, ROSALYN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-01-16
current
pecos_ownership
FRITZ, RYAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
GEORGE, CAROLYN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GINGRICH, CHARLENE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GIPE, RONALD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MACBRIDE, LYNN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MANUFACTURERS AND TRADES TRUST COMPANY
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2018-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
MARTIN, TIFFANY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
NELSON, CHARLES
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2006-04-03
current
pecos_ownership
O'DONNELL, PATRICK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PETERSON, TODD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCIAMANNA, DAVID
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TRINH, SUZANNE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WARNER, PAULA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WILLIAMS, ANTHONY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
YEAGER, WAYNE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ANTHONY WILLIAMS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CAROLYN GEORGE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLENE GINGRICH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLES NELSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2006-04-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID SCIAMANNA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LYNN MACBRIDE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICK O'DONNELL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAULA WARNER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROGER BEINS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RONALD GIPE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROSALYN BURKE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-01-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RYAN FRITZ
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUZANNE TRINH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIFFANY MARTIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TODD PETERSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WAYNE YEAGER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$9,121,898
—
$9,121,898
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$9,341,860
—
$9,341,860
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$6,480,265
—
—
—
$158,027
1
—
2021-12-31
$6,172,325
—
—
$129,954
$209,007
1
—
2020-12-31
$5,878,269
—
—
$92,147
$323,923
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 42055
acs median gross
0
$736
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42055
fmr
0
$1,014
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42055
acs median gross
1
$837
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42055
fmr
1
$1,119
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42055
acs median gross
2
$1,078
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42055
fmr
2
$1,379
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42055
acs median gross
3
$1,312
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42055
fmr
3
$1,825
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42055
acs median gross
4
$1,311
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42055
fmr
4
$1,991
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42055
acs median gross
5
$1,179
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42055
acs median gross
$1,093
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42055
acs recent mover gross
$1,234
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 17201
acs median gross
0
$786
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 17201
acs median gross
1
$840
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 17201
acs median gross
2
$1,160
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 17201
acs median gross
3
$1,222
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 17201
acs median gross
$1,114
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 17201
acs recent mover gross
$1,190
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 17201
payment standard 110
0
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 90
0
$972
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
safmr
0
$1,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 110
1
$1,309
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 90
1
$1,071
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
safmr
1
$1,190
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 110
2
$1,617
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 90
2
$1,323
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
safmr
2
$1,470
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 110
3
$2,145
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 90
3
$1,755
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
safmr
3
$1,950
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 110
4
$2,332
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
payment standard 90
4
$1,908
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 17201
safmr
4
$2,120
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.