575 HOSPITAL RD, NEW RICHMOND, WI 54017 · CCN 525019 · chain PHS MANAGEMENT LLC
Composite
27.3 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
50
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 27.3% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
US BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
24 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
WI median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.82
3.60
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.10
0.64
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.83
3.49
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.81
3.65
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
44.6
3.82
1.10
0.26
2.46
3.83
1.7%
2025Q3
92
45.2
3.83
1.08
0.26
2.49
3.79
1.6%
2025Q2
91
44.2
3.90
1.06
0.28
2.57
3.84
0.4%
2025Q1
90
43.9
4.10
1.14
0.32
2.65
3.98
2.1%
2024Q4
92
43.4
3.98
1.03
0.34
2.61
4.02
1.7%
2024Q3
92
42.5
4.20
1.07
0.33
2.79
4.21
2.8%
2024Q2
91
44.9
3.88
1.10
0.34
2.44
3.83
5.6%
2024Q1
91
43.1
4.18
1.09
0.52
2.57
4.09
6.0%
2023Q4
92
44.3
4.04
1.01
0.48
2.55
3.90
9.3%
2023Q3
92
43.7
4.12
1.01
0.58
2.52
3.87
7.6%
2023Q2
91
43.4
4.11
1.00
0.55
2.55
3.95
7.3%
2023Q1
90
42.3
4.24
1.05
0.55
2.65
4.09
6.2%
2022Q4
92
44.6
3.97
0.93
0.53
2.51
3.82
5.2%
2022Q3
92
43.2
4.16
1.09
0.40
2.67
4.01
5.9%
2022Q2
91
38.5
4.36
1.19
0.41
2.77
4.02
3.3%
2022Q1
90
40.6
4.15
1.06
0.48
2.60
3.92
0.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
13
D × 9E × 1F × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-02-18
Health
F0628
Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies.
D
2026-03-18
2026-02-18
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2026-03-18
2026-02-18
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2026-03-18
2024-11-27
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2024-12-27
2024-11-27
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2024-12-27
2024-11-27
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-12-27
2024-11-27
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-12-27
2024-11-27
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-12-27
2024-11-27
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-12-27
2023-09-20
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2023-10-20
2023-09-20
Health
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
D
2023-10-20
2023-09-20
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-10-20
2023-09-20
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-10-20
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
18
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
PHM NEW RICHMOND SENIOR HOUSING INC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2008-02-07
current
pecos_ownership
ANDERSON, JENNIFER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEGEAR, DAVID
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2008-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEGEAR, DAVID
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
FLETCHER, JONATHAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
MEYER, MARK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2011-03-11
current
pecos_ownership
PEDERSON, MARK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PETERSON, HEIDI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PHS MANAGEMENT, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-12
current
pecos_ownership
PHS MANAGEMENT, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2011-03-11
current
pecos_ownership
US BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2011-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
HEIDI PETERSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
50%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JONATHAN FLETCHER
CORPORATE OFFICER
50%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK PEDERSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
33%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID DEGEAR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID DEGEAR
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2008-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JENNIFER ANDERSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2016-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK MEYER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2011-03-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-09-30
$695,537
—
—
—
$79,336
1
—
2023-09-30
$646,858
—
—
—
$74,069
1
—
2022-09-30
$598,114
—
—
—
$58,807
1
—
2021-09-30
$583,303
—
—
—
$46,737
1
—
2020-09-30
$565,428
—
—
—
$49,586
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 55109
acs median gross
0
$840
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55109
fmr
0
$1,242
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55109
acs median gross
1
$1,036
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55109
fmr
1
$1,405
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55109
acs median gross
2
$1,112
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55109
fmr
2
$1,709
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55109
acs median gross
3
$1,700
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55109
fmr
3
$2,262
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55109
acs median gross
4
$1,851
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55109
fmr
4
$2,531
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 55109
acs median gross
5
$1,833
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55109
acs median gross
$1,271
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 55109
acs recent mover gross
$1,435
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54017
acs median gross
1
$1,324
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54017
acs median gross
2
$1,069
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54017
acs median gross
3
$1,784
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54017
acs median gross
4
$1,704
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54017
acs median gross
$1,225
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 54017
acs recent mover gross
$1,602
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 54017
payment standard 110
0
$1,210
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 90
0
$990
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
safmr
0
$1,100
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 110
1
$1,375
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 90
1
$1,125
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
safmr
1
$1,250
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 110
2
$1,672
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 90
2
$1,368
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
safmr
2
$1,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 110
3
$2,222
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 90
3
$1,818
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
safmr
3
$2,020
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 110
4
$2,497
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
payment standard 90
4
$2,043
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 54017
safmr
4
$2,270
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.