Reads as: riskier than 29.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
2
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
anomaly
Quarter-over-quarter staffing cliff
−65% QoQ
this facility
2026-07-29
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
REDDY VIKAS
13 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CO median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.87
3.19
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.85
0.57
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.48
3.02
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.03
3.27
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
46.9
3.87
0.85
0.63
2.39
3.48
0.0%
2025Q3
92
45.5
1.37
0.23
0.27
0.86
1.12
0.0%
2025Q2
91
47.2
3.96
0.82
0.80
2.34
3.74
1.0%
2025Q1
90
52.4
3.48
0.68
0.72
2.08
3.43
1.3%
2024Q4
92
47.3
3.81
0.90
0.71
2.20
3.70
0.0%
2024Q3
92
43.3
4.09
1.15
0.63
2.31
3.84
0.0%
2024Q2
91
47.9
3.79
0.89
0.70
2.20
3.60
0.0%
2024Q1
91
48.1
3.89
0.98
0.71
2.20
3.76
0.0%
2023Q4
92
46.6
3.78
0.92
0.76
2.11
3.65
0.0%
2023Q3
92
47.1
4.33
1.08
0.72
2.54
3.96
0.0%
2023Q2
91
51.4
3.97
0.98
0.69
2.30
3.66
5.6%
2023Q1
90
49.7
3.95
0.69
0.90
2.35
3.87
9.4%
2022Q4
92
44.7
4.30
0.88
0.99
2.42
4.04
11.0%
2022Q3
92
40.8
4.41
0.99
1.04
2.38
4.25
5.6%
2022Q2
91
38.1
4.42
0.63
1.19
2.60
4.14
13.7%
2022Q1
90
35.3
3.97
0.79
0.81
2.37
3.81
19.3%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
—
2025-06-11
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2025-07-17
2025-04-17
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-05-23
2025-04-17
Health
F0730
Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training.
F
2025-05-23
2025-04-17
Health
F0744
Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with dementia.
D
2025-05-23
2025-04-17
Health
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
D
2025-05-23
2025-04-17
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-05-23
2023-08-31
Health
F0574
The resident has the right to receive notices in a format and a language he or she understands.
D
2023-09-22
2023-08-31
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
E
2023-09-22
2023-08-31
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-09-22
2023-08-31
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
D
2023-09-22
2023-08-31
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-10-10
2023-08-31
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2023-09-22
2023-08-31
Health
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
D
2023-09-22
2022-06-22
Health
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2022-07-22
2022-06-22
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2022-07-22
2022-06-22
Health
F0744
Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with dementia.
D
2022-07-22
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
55
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ASHER, JORDAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-02-24
current
pecos_ownership
BKD FM7 HOLDCO MI-CO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
BKD SKYLINE PROCO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
BLC MANAGEMENT - 3, LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2005-03-30
current
pecos_ownership
BROOKDALE F&B, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-03-30
current
pecos_ownership
BROOKDALE LIVING COMMUNITIES, INC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2005-03-30
current
pecos_ownership
BROOKDALE LIVING COMMUNITIES, INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2008-06-28
current
pecos_ownership
BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
DRAYTON, CLAUDIA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-06-18
current
pecos_ownership
FIORAVANTI, MARK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-13
current
pecos_ownership
FREED, VICTORIA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-10-29
current
pecos_ownership
HAUSMAN, JOSHUA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-24
current
pecos_ownership
KUSSOW, DAWN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-30
current
pecos_ownership
LA MARRE, KEVIN
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
LA MARRE, KEVIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-22
current
pecos_ownership
LBMC PC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MACE, ELIZABETH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-06-18
current
pecos_ownership
MUHLBAUER, ANNELIESE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-24
current
pecos_ownership
MUHLBAUER, ANNELIESE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-07-22
current
pecos_ownership
MUNOZ, ANNA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-05
current
pecos_ownership
PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-24
current
pecos_ownership
PRUDENTIAL MULTIFAMILY MORTGAGE LLC
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2016-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
REDDY, VIKAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-07-22
current
pecos_ownership
REDDY, VIKAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-24
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, THOMAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2007-04-30
current
pecos_ownership
STENGLE, NIKOLAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-11-08
current
pecos_ownership
WALTERS FINANCIAL SERVICES INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-22
current
pecos_ownership
WARREN, DENISE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-10-04
current
pecos_ownership
WHITE, CHADWICK
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-04-03
current
pecos_ownership
WHITE, CHADWICK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-03-09
current
pecos_ownership
WHITLEY, MATTHEW
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
WHITLEY, MATTHEW
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-03
current
pecos_ownership
WIELANSKY, LEE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2015-04-23
current
pecos_ownership
CHADWICK WHITE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
0%
2025-04-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAWN KUSSOW
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
0%
2025-04-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANNA MUNOZ
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANNELIESE MUHLBAUER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-07-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANNELIESE MUHLBAUER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHADWICK WHITE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-03-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CLAUDIA DRAYTON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-06-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DENISE WARREN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-10-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELIZABETH MACE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-06-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JORDAN ASHER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-02-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSHUA HAUSMAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KEVIN LA MARRE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LEE WIELANSKY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2015-04-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK FIORAVANTI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATTHEW WHITLEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATTHEW WHITLEY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NIKOLAS STENGLE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-11-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS SMITH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2007-04-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VICTORIA FREED
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-10-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VIKAS REDDY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VIKAS REDDY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-07-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,415,933
—
$184,150
—
—
2
—
2023-12-31
$1,359,815
—
$194,679
—
—
2
—
2022-12-31
$1,240,473
—
$176,559
—
—
2
—
2021-12-31
$1,229,782
—
$166,808
—
—
2
—
2020-12-31
$1,133,595
—
$145,132
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 08041
acs median gross
0
$1,103
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08041
fmr
0
$1,196
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08041
acs median gross
1
$1,390
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08041
fmr
1
$1,464
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08041
acs median gross
2
$1,587
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08041
fmr
2
$1,735
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08041
acs median gross
3
$2,072
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08041
fmr
3
$2,413
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08041
acs median gross
4
$2,304
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08041
fmr
4
$2,744
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 08041
acs median gross
5
$2,786
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08041
acs median gross
$1,696
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 08041
acs recent mover gross
$1,853
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80904
acs median gross
0
$941
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80904
acs median gross
1
$1,390
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80904
acs median gross
2
$1,500
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80904
acs median gross
3
$1,958
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80904
acs median gross
4
$1,830
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80904
acs median gross
$1,474
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 80904
acs recent mover gross
$1,519
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 80904
payment standard 110
0
$1,155
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 90
0
$945
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
safmr
0
$1,050
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 110
1
$1,419
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 90
1
$1,161
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
safmr
1
$1,290
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 110
2
$1,683
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 90
2
$1,377
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
safmr
2
$1,530
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 110
3
$2,343
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 90
3
$1,917
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
safmr
3
$2,130
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 110
4
$2,662
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
payment standard 90
4
$2,178
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 80904
safmr
4
$2,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.