Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

6,651–6,700

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
6651	Wheatland Manor	0.1%	56.1	A	IA	Wheatland	44	—
6652	Logan Regional Hospital Transitional Care Unit	0.1%	56.1	A	UT	Logan	11	IHC HEALTH SERVICES INC
6653	Accura Healthcare of Creston	0.1%	56.1	C	IA	Creston	31	AVENUE94 LLC
6654	ADAMSVILLE HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	56.1	B	TN	ADAMSVILLE	125	ECM HOLDINGS LLC
6655	CARRIE ELLIGSON GIETNER HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.1%	56.1	C	MO	SAINT LOUIS	130	—
6656	AUTUMNWOOD NURSING & REHAB CENTER	0.1%	56.1	A	OH	RITTMAN	75	EMBASSY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
6657	THE CENTER AT GRANDE	0.1%	56.1	A	TX	TYLER	96	VERITAS MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
6658	THE ARBOUR AT WESTMINSTER MANOR	0.1%	56.1	A	TX	AUSTIN	90	LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
6659	ROLLING HILLS HEALTH AND REHAB	0.1%	56.1	C	KS	WICHITA	85	BARRES LLC
6660	VILLA RANCHO BERNARDO CARE CENTER	0.1%	56.1	B	CA	SAN DIEGO	299	—
6661	HAVEN OF GLOBE	0.1%	56.1	D	AZ	GLOBE	104	HEALTH GROUP MANAGEMENT LLC
6662	Greenfield Care Center of Fillmore, LLC	0.1%	56.1	C	CA	Fillmore	99	—
6663	ST. THERESA CARE CENTER	0.1%	56.1	B	OH	CINCINNATI	99	YYAM HOLDINGS LLC
6664	Montrose Health Center	0.1%	56.1	B	IA	Montrose	44	—
6665	THE GRAND REHABILITATION AND NURSING AT GREAT NECK	0.1%	56.1	C	NY	GREAT NECK	214	—
6666	THE PEARL OF DOWNERS GROVE	0.1%	56.1	D	IL	DOWNERS GROVE	145	REG 2018 IRREVOCABLE TRUST U A D 1 1 18
6667	BANCROFT HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.1%	56.1	A	CA	SAN LEANDRO	39	—
6668	Alliance Health at Coleman	0.1%	56.1	A	MA	NORTHBOROUGH	45	ALLIANCE HEALTH INC
6669	HUNTSVILLE POST-ACUTE AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	56.1	B	TN	HUNTSVILLE	96	—
6670	Prestige Care Center of Nebraska City	0.1%	56.1	C	NE	Nebraska City	64	—
6671	Good Samaritan Society - Woodland	0.1%	56.1	C	MN	BRAINERD	40	SANFORD
6672	LAFAYETTE EXTENDED CARE	0.1%	56.1	A	AL	LAFAYETTE	69	PRIME MANAGEMENT LLC
6673	Mahoning Operating LLC	0.1%	56.1	C	PA	LEHIGHTON	142	—
6674	BARTLEY NURSING & REHAB	0.1%	56.1	B	NJ	JACKSON	234	—
6675	Highland Ridge Care Center, LLC	0.1%	56.1	A	IA	Williamsburg	59	PHS MANAGEMENT LLC
6676	BYRON HEALTH CENTER	0.1%	56.1	C	IN	FORT WAYNE	120	HENDRICKS COUNTY HOSPITAL
6677	Willow Park Health Care Center	0.1%	56.1	F	OK	Lawton	151	QUALITY CARE GIVERS INC
6678	The Healthcare Resort of Plano	0.1%	56.1	D	TX	Plano	70	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
6679	WINDSOR HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	56.1	B	FL	STARKE	120	—
6680	STONEBRIDGE WESTPHALIA	0.1%	56.1	B	MO	WESTPHALIA	64	BRIDGE REHABILITATION INC
6681	Heritage Gardens Rehabilitation and Healthcare	0.1%	56.1	C	TX	Carrollton	0	EASTLAND MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
6682	Salem Springlake Health & Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	56.1	B	KY	Salem	75	ATRIUM CENTERS MANAGEMENT LLC
6683	REGENCY PRINEVILLE REHABILITATION & NURSING CENTER	0.1%	56.1	A	OR	PRINEVILLE	44	REGENCY PACIFIC MANAGEMENT LLC
6684	NIGHTINGALE AT STONEGATE	0.1%	56.1	A	AR	CROSSETT	76	SRI NIGHTINGALE LLC
6685	BROOKDALE PALMER RANCH SNF	0.1%	56.1	B	FL	SARASOTA	60	BROOKDALE SENIOR LIVING INC
6686	PATAPSCO HEALTHCARE	0.1%	56.1	C	MD	RANDALLSTOWN	172	—
6687	Park Meadows Post Acute	0.1%	56.1	B	TN	CLARKSVILLE	113	AHP ORCHARDS LLC
6688	MESUN HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.1%	56.1	C	GA	LAWRENCEVILLE	100	—
6689	Green Lea Senior Living	0.1%	56.1	B	MN	MABEL	41	—
6690	PARKLANDS CARE CENTER AND REHAB	0.1%	56.1	A	FL	GAINESVILLE	120	5H1 LLC
6691	LIVINGSTON MANOR CARE CENTER	0.1%	56.1	D	MO	CHILLICOTHE	94	JUCKETTE MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
6692	Alvarado Meadows Nursing & Rehabilitation	0.1%	56.1	F	TX	Alvarado	0	HONOR X ENTERPRISES LLC
6693	CHAMPION REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.1%	56.1	A	MA	BROCKTON	123	—
6694	Maristhill Nursing & Rehabilitation Center	0.1%	56.1	C	MA	WALTHAM	123	COVENANT HEALTH
6695	REHAB AT SHANNONDELL	0.1%	56.1	A	PA	AUDUBON	120	—
6696	ROCK POINT NURSING CENTER	0.1%	56.1	A	MO	BIRCH TREE	86	PARADIGM REHAB SERVICES LLC
6697	THE SHOAL	0.1%	56.1	B	TX	TEXAS CITY	0	BELLVILLE HOSPITAL DISTRICT
6698	DRY HARBOR NURSING HOME	0.1%	56.1	A	NY	MIDDLE VILLAGE	360	—
6699	WE CARE SKILLED NURSING - FREMONT	0.1%	56.1	B	CA	FREMONT	99	—
6700	Coastal Oaks Special Care Center	0.1%	56.1	B	CA	Atascadero	65	COMPASS HEALTH INC

Showing 6,651–6,700 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.