1000 East Howard, Creston, IA 50801 · CCN 165275 · chain AVENUE94 LLC
Composite
66.0 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
31
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 66.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
4
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.7 vs natl
MILLER DANIEL
14 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
9 chains
MILLER DANIEL
12 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS INC
44 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
OHI HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
11 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.26
3.15
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.61
0.46
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.27
2.96
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.26
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
24.3
3.26
0.61
0.34
2.31
3.27
2.1%
2025Q3
92
24.3
3.56
0.75
0.38
2.44
3.36
16.6%
2025Q2
91
26.9
3.16
0.59
0.41
2.17
2.95
7.2%
2025Q1
90
26.3
2.85
0.52
0.23
2.10
2.46
0.0%
2024Q4
92
29.7
2.46
0.24
0.34
1.88
2.25
0.0%
2024Q3
92
28.5
2.59
0.21
0.36
2.02
2.43
0.0%
2024Q2
91
29.0
2.25
0.21
0.21
1.84
2.08
0.0%
2024Q1
91
26.8
2.61
0.30
0.41
1.90
2.38
0.0%
2023Q4
92
26.9
2.86
0.48
0.44
1.94
2.69
0.0%
2023Q3
92
22.8
2.08
0.36
0.64
1.08
2.02
0.0%
2023Q2
91
25.3
2.61
0.51
0.49
1.61
2.30
0.0%
2023Q1
90
27.9
2.09
0.39
0.45
1.25
1.84
0.0%
2022Q4
92
27.6
5.34
0.58
1.16
3.60
5.33
0.0%
2022Q3
92
24.0
3.28
0.33
0.75
2.20
3.07
0.0%
2022Q2
91
27.0
2.79
0.42
0.62
1.75
2.68
0.0%
2022Q1
90
25.8
2.67
0.69
0.39
1.58
2.49
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-12-12
2025-10-30
Health · complaint
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
D
2025-12-12
2024-07-11
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health · complaint
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health · complaint
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
F
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
J
2024-07-25
2024-07-11
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0838
Conduct and document a facility-wide assessment to determine what resources are necessary to care for residents competently during both day-to-day operations (including nights and weekends) and emergencies.
C
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0843
Have an agreement with at least one or more hospitals certified by Medicare or Medicaid to make sure residents can be moved quickly to the hospital when they need medical care.
C
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0940
Develop, implement, and/or maintain an effective training program for all new and existing staff members.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0941
Develop, implement, and/or maintain an effective training program that includes effective communications for direct care staff members.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0942
Ensure that staff members are educated on resident rights and facility responsibilities to properly care for its residents.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0944
Conduct mandatory training, for all staff, on the facility’s Quality Assurance and Performance Improvement Program.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0945
Include as part of its infection prevention and control program, mandatory training that includes written standards, policies, and procedures for the program.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0946
Provide training in compliance and ethics.
E
2024-08-08
2024-07-11
Health
F0949
Provide behavior health training consistent with the requirements and as determined by a facility assessment.
E
2024-08-08
2024-05-16
Health · complaint
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-06-01
2024-03-21
Health · complaint
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
F
2024-03-22
2024-02-01
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-02-26
2024-02-01
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-02-26
2024-02-01
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
G
2024-02-08
2024-02-01
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2024-02-26
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
33
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ACCURA MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
ALLEN, BRADY
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
AVENUE94 LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
AVIV FINANCING II LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
AVIV HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
AVIV HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-03
current
pecos_ownership
AVIV HEALTHCARE OF THE MIDWEST LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-03
current
pecos_ownership
AVIV HEALTHCARE OF THE MIDWEST LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
AVIV HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES OPERATING PARTNERSHIP I LP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
AVIV OP LIMITED PARTNER LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
GLASER, KRISTOPHER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
IOWA LINCOLN COUNTY PROPERTY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
KIMMONS HEALTHCARE INVESTMENTS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
KIMMONS HEALTHCARE INVESTMENTS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-03
current
pecos_ownership
KLEINSASSER, MEGAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
KTL ENTERPRISES LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
LENEAVE, TED
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
LITTLE RIVER INVESTMENTS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
MILLER, DANIEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
OHI HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVESTORS INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROHRIG, RICKY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
TOTI, LISA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
WILLIAMS, CARA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZRR OPCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
TED LENEAVE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
80%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRADY ALLEN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KRISTOPHER GLASER
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA TOTI
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MEGAN KLEINSASSER
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CARA WILLIAMS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIEL MILLER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICKY ROHRIG
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$185,600
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$197,494
—
$197,494
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$294,771
—
$294,771
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$74,335
—
$74,335
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$114,715
—
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
31
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 19175
fmr
0
$634
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19175
acs median gross
1
$347
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19175
fmr
1
$700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19175
acs median gross
2
$813
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19175
fmr
2
$919
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19175
acs median gross
3
$950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19175
fmr
3
$1,212
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19175
acs median gross
4
$875
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19175
fmr
4
$1,217
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19175
acs median gross
$721
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50801
acs median gross
1
$345
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50801
acs median gross
2
$823
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50801
acs median gross
3
$1,025
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50801
acs median gross
4
$850
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50801
acs median gross
$716
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50801
acs recent mover gross
$842
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 50801
payment standard 110
0
$693
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 90
0
$567
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
safmr
0
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 110
1
$770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 90
1
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
safmr
1
$700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 110
2
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 90
2
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
safmr
2
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 110
3
$1,331
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 90
3
$1,089
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
safmr
3
$1,210
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 110
4
$1,342
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
payment standard 90
4
$1,098
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50801
safmr
4
$1,220
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.