Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

5,901–5,950

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
5901	GOOD SAMARITAN SOCIETY - HUTCHINSON VILLAGE	0.2%	61.0	C	KS	HUTCHINSON	65	SANFORD
5902	Mount Ayr Health Care Center	0.2%	61.0	A	IA	Mount Ayr	46	WALNUT CREEK MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
5903	MITCHELL MANOR	0.2%	61.0	C	IN	MITCHELL	120	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
5904	Complete Care at Sheriden Commons	0.2%	61.0	F	IL	CHICAGO	143	NJ CHICAGO OPCO HOLDCO LLC
5905	WOLFEBORO BAY CENTER	0.2%	61.0	B	NH	WOLFEBORO	104	603 HEALTHCARE LLC
5906	Trinity Place	0.2%	61.0	B	NC	Albemarle	76	LSA MANAGEMENT INC
5907	LAKEVIEW TERRACE REHAB AND HEALTH CARE CENTER	0.2%	61.0	A	FL	ALTOONA	40	DSI MANAGEMENT LLC
5908	The Carrolton of Plymouth	0.2%	61.0	B	NC	Plymouth	114	CARROLTON FACILITY MANAGEMENT LLC
5909	TREND HEALTH & REHAB OF MERIDIAN LLC	0.2%	61.0	A	MS	MERIDIAN	58	—
5910	NC State Veterans Home - Black Mountain	0.2%	61.0	C	NC	Black Mountain	100	—
5911	WILLOW WOODS REHABILITATION AND NURSING	0.2%	61.0	C	OH	NORTH LIMA	85	—
5912	Salyersville Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.2%	61.0	F	KY	Salyersville	142	—
5913	Mary Anna Nursing Home	0.2%	61.0	B	LA	Wisner	81	—
5914	WESTLAND HOUSE	0.2%	61.0	A	CA	MONTEREY	28	MONTAGE HEALTH
5915	NORTH WESTCHESTER RESTORATIVE THERAPY & NRSG CRT	0.2%	61.0	C	NY	MOHEGAN LAKE	120	—
5916	SPRINGSIDE REHABILITATION AND SKILLED CARE CENTER	0.2%	61.0	B	MA	PITTSFIELD	135	BANE CARE MANAGEMENT LLC
5917	Community Subacute and Transitional Care Center	0.2%	61.0	A	CA	FRESNO	106	COMMUNITY HOSPITALS OF CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
5918	ALLIANCE HEALTH AT MARINA BAY	0.2%	61.0	A	MA	QUINCY	167	ALLIANCE HEALTH INC
5919	Accel At Crystal Park	0.2%	61.0	F	OK	Oklahoma City	69	STONEGATE SENIOR LIVING LP
5920	LA BELLA AT CLIFTON	0.2%	61.0	D	IL	CLIFTON	99	JENMAX HOLDINGS LLC
5921	REGALCARE AT COURTYARD-MEDFORD	0.2%	61.0	D	MA	MEDFORD	224	—
5922	AZALEA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.2%	61.0	B	GA	METTER	89	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
5923	THE LAKES AT MAUMELLE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.2%	61.0	B	AR	MAUMELLE	70	OVATION HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
5924	Fountain Bleu Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.2%	61.0	B	MI	Livonia	108	—
5925	CEDARWOOD GARDENS	0.2%	61.0	D	MA	FRANKLIN	82	ALPHA SNF MA LLC
5926	RIVER TERRACE HEALTH CAMPUS	0.2%	61.0	C	IN	MADISON	57	HARRISON COUNTY HOSPITAL
5927	RIVER CITY NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.2%	61.0	B	FL	JACKSONVILLE	116	—
5928	SPRING CREEK REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.2%	61.0	B	PA	HARRISBURG	404	—
5929	NEW GOUVERNEUR HOSPITAL S N F	0.2%	61.0	B	NY	NEW YORK	295	NEW YORK CITY HEALTH AND HOSPITALS CORPORATION
5930	Good Samaritan - Estherville	0.2%	61.0	D	IA	Estherville	62	SANFORD
5931	THE VILLAGES OF ORLEANS HEALTH AND REHAB CENTER	0.2%	61.0	C	NY	ALBION	120	—
5932	THE PAVILION AT SUNNY HILLS	0.2%	61.0	C	CA	FULLERTON	300	—
5933	LEGACY NURSING AND REHABILITATION OF TALLULAH	0.2%	61.0	C	LA	TALLULAH	156	LEGACY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
5934	SAN PEDRO MANOR	0.2%	61.0	D	TX	SAN ANTONIO	0	UVALDE COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
5935	Power County Skilled Nursing Facility	0.2%	61.0	B	ID	American Falls	21	—
5936	WOODLAND COUNTRY MANOR INC	0.2%	61.0	A	OH	SOMERVILLE	60	—
5937	HATHORNE HILL REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.2%	61.0	C	MA	DANVERS	120	—
5938	BENEDICTINE LIVING COMMUNITY OF ST. PETER	0.2%	61.0	B	MN	ST PETER	79	BENEDICTINE HEALTH SYSTEM
5939	OKEENA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER LLC	0.2%	61.0	B	TN	DYERSBURG	130	TN3 OPCO HOLDINGS LLC
5940	Senior Care of Marion	0.2%	61.0	D	SC	Marion	95	—
5941	Elderwood of Lakeside at Brockport	0.2%	61.0	B	NY	Brockport	120	—
5942	NORTH PORT REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.2%	61.0	A	FL	NORTH PORT	120	—
5943	ASHLAND HEALTH SERVICES	0.2%	61.0	B	WI	ASHLAND	117	NORTH SHORE HEALTHCARE LLC
5944	Avina of Pewaukee	0.2%	61.0	C	WI	Waukesha	120	—
5945	RADIANT NURSING AND REHAB AT PALATKA	0.2%	61.0	B	FL	PALATKA	65	—
5946	VILLA GARDENS HEALTH CARE UNIT	0.2%	61.0	A	CA	PASADENA	54	FRONT PORCH COMMUNITIES AND SERVICES
5947	ASTER CREEK NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.2%	61.0	C	NJ	TINTON FALLS	100	—
5948	TIMBERLAND HEALTH AND WELLNESS CENTER	0.2%	61.0	C	AL	BUTLER	120	GNH IRRV TR
5949	ROLLING HILLS HEALTH CENTER	0.2%	61.0	C	KS	TOPEKA	70	MIDWEST HEALTH INC 06122001
5950	Woods at Sparta of Journey LLC, The	0.2%	61.0	B	GA	SPARTA	71	SELECTIS HEALTH INC

Showing 5,901–5,950 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.