Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

4,751–4,800

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
4751	SOUTH JERSEY EXTENDED CARE	0.3%	69.0	D	NJ	BRIDGETON	167	—
4752	VIVO HEALTHCARE CLEWISTON	0.3%	69.0	C	FL	CLEWISTON	155	ASMSY LLC
4753	GREGORY WING OF ST ANDREWS VILLAGE	0.3%	69.0	A	ME	BOOTHBAY HARBOR	42	MAINEHEALTH SERVICES
4754	CUERO NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.3%	69.0	D	TX	CUERO	0	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
4755	HIGHER CALL NURSING CENTER	0.3%	69.0	C	OK	QUAPAW	86	SELECTIS HEALTH INC
4756	DALEVIEW CARE CENTER	0.3%	69.0	B	NY	EAST FARMINGDALE	142	—
4757	SUBURBAN HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION	0.3%	69.0	B	OH	NORTH RANDALL	150	—
4758	HELIA HEALTHCARE OF OLNEY	0.3%	69.0	C	IL	OLNEY	118	BRIDGEMARK HEALTHCARE LLC
4759	RIVER HEIGHTS HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.3%	69.0	A	MS	GREENVILLE	60	—
4760	Village Care Center	0.3%	69.0	A	KY	Erlanger	100	—
4761	AUTUMN LANE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.3%	69.0	A	GA	GRAY	85	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
4762	Cura of Sauk Centre	0.3%	69.0	A	MN	SAUK CENTRE	60	TF MANAGEMENT LLC
4763	PRAIRIE LAKES HEALTH CAMPUS	0.3%	69.0	B	IN	NOBLESVILLE	61	HANCOCK REGIONAL HOSPITAL
4764	Maples Benzie County Medical Care	0.3%	69.0	A	MI	Frankfort	80	—
4765	Maranatha Care Center	0.3%	69.0	A	MN	BROOKLYN CENTER	97	PHS MANAGEMENT LLC
4766	REAGAN COUNTY CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.5	A	TX	BIG LAKE	36	—
4767	APEX REHABILITATION & CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.5	B	NY	HUNTINGTON STATION	195	—
4768	MAGNOLIA MANOR OF MARION COUNTY	0.3%	68.5	A	GA	BUENA VISTA	70	MAGNOLIA MANOR INC
4769	BENDERSON FAMILY SKILLED NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.3%	68.5	A	FL	SARASOTA	45	—
4770	Eastview Health and Rehabilitation Center	0.3%	68.5	C	WI	Antigo	118	CHAMPION CARE LLC
4771	EDENBROOK OF YEADON	0.3%	68.5	C	PA	YEADON	190	—
4772	Apple Rehab Guilford	0.3%	68.5	A	CT	GUILFORD	90	—
4773	FORSYTH CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.5	C	MO	FORSYTH	120	—
4774	Rosewood Nursing Center	0.3%	68.5	D	LA	Lake Charles	150	TUTERA INVESTMENTS LLC
4775	CRESTPARK WYNNE, LLC	0.3%	68.5	A	AR	WYNNE	100	BELEW LLC
4776	Community Care Center of Hondo	0.3%	68.5	D	TX	Hondo	0	—
4777	AYDEN HEALTHCARE OF TOLEDO	0.3%	68.5	C	OH	TOLEDO	98	—
4778	EDDY MEMORIAL GERIATRIC CENTER	0.3%	68.5	A	NY	TROY	80	TRINITY HEALTH CORPORATION
4779	COUNTRY MEADOWS NURSING CENTER OF BETHLEHEM	0.3%	68.5	A	PA	BETHLEHEM	70	—
4780	CARRINGTON PLACE OF TAPPAHANNOCK	0.3%	68.5	B	VA	TAPPAHANNOCK	60	WEST COAST COMMONWEALTH LLC
4781	BARRETT CARE CENTER INC	0.3%	68.5	A	MN	BARRETT	40	—
4782	Old Mill Rehabilitation	0.3%	68.5	B	NE	Omaha	44	—
4783	FORREST GENERAL HOSPITAL SKILLED NURSING UNIT	0.3%	68.5	A	MS	HATTIESBURG	30	FORREST COUNTY BOARD OF SUPERVIORS
4784	MINERVA REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.3%	68.5	A	OH	MINERVA	32	—
4785	West Ridge Specialty Care	0.3%	68.5	B	IA	Knoxville	78	CARE INITIATIVES
4786	SUPERIOR MANOR OF FESTUS, LLC	0.3%	68.5	D	MO	FESTUS	55	CHOICE REHABILITATION LLC
4787	ALLIANCE HEALTH AT BALDWINVILLE	0.3%	68.5	A	MA	BALDWINVILLE	94	ALLIANCE HEALTH INC
4788	NORTHEAST CTR FOR REHABILITATION AND BRAIN INJURY	0.3%	68.5	D	NY	LAKE KATRINE	280	—
4789	ALAMEDA COUNTY MEDICAL CENTER D/P SNF	0.3%	68.5	A	CA	SAN LEANDRO	109	ALAMEDA HEALTH SYSTEM
4790	CHELSEY PARK HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.3%	68.5	B	GA	DAHLONEGA	60	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
4791	NIAGARA REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.3%	68.5	A	NY	NIAGARA FALLS	160	—
4792	Ridgewood Specialty Care	0.3%	68.5	A	IA	Ottumwa	60	CARE INITIATIVES
4793	VESTAL PARK REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.3%	68.5	B	NY	VESTAL	180	—
4794	TWIN OAKS REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER	0.3%	68.5	A	AL	MOBILE	131	—
4795	Brookestone Meadows Rehabilitation and Care Center	0.3%	68.5	A	NE	Elkhorn	140	VETTER SENIOR LIVING
4796	ST BENEDICTS CARE CENTER	0.3%	68.5	B	MN	SAINT CLOUD	75	ECUMEN
4797	THE VILLA	0.3%	68.5	—	MD	BALTIMORE	30	—
4798	HERITAGE HALL BIG STONE GAP	0.3%	68.5	C	VA	BIG STONE GAP	180	—
4799	FRIENDLY VILLAGE NURSING AND REHAB CENTER	0.3%	68.5	C	WI	RHINELANDER	100	—
4800	SOLARIS HEALTHCARE LAKE CITY	0.3%	68.5	A	FL	LAKE CITY	120	SOLARIS FOUNDATION INC

Showing 4,751–4,800 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.