Reads as: riskier than 85.3% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
15
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OK median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.54
2.78
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.20
0.18
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.59
2.72
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.53
2.80
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
35.2
3.54
0.20
1.36
1.98
3.59
0.0%
2025Q2
91
36.4
3.90
0.08
1.39
2.43
3.05
0.0%
2025Q1
90
36.6
3.62
0.17
1.31
2.14
2.75
0.0%
2024Q4
92
38.7
3.37
0.13
1.26
1.99
2.58
0.7%
2024Q3
92
35.0
3.88
0.30
1.22
2.36
3.13
0.0%
2024Q2
91
35.3
3.41
0.20
1.17
2.04
2.63
0.0%
2024Q1
91
47.3
2.76
0.19
0.81
1.76
2.34
0.1%
2023Q4
92
46.1
2.87
0.09
1.05
1.74
2.56
0.0%
2023Q3
92
46.6
2.71
0.22
0.92
1.58
2.42
0.0%
2023Q2
91
45.7
3.00
0.15
1.00
1.84
2.21
0.0%
2023Q1
90
45.1
3.94
0.36
1.05
2.53
3.87
0.0%
2022Q4
92
46.3
3.65
0.20
1.44
2.02
3.29
0.0%
2022Q3
92
42.7
4.23
0.39
1.23
2.61
4.00
0.0%
2022Q2
91
41.6
4.16
0.37
1.06
2.73
3.62
0.0%
2022Q1
90
39.7
3.42
0.39
1.03
2.00
3.35
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
29
D × 13E × 14F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-03-27
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2025-04-19
2025-03-27
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-04-19
2024-10-23
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2024-11-30
2024-10-23
Health · complaint
F0638
Assure that each resident’s assessment is updated at least once every 3 months.
E
2024-11-30
2024-10-23
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2024-11-30
2024-10-23
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-11-30
2024-10-23
Health
F0727
Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis.
F
2024-11-30
2024-10-23
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2024-11-30
2024-10-23
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-11-30
2024-05-29
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2024-07-31
2024-03-12
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-04-01
2024-02-07
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-03-01
2023-10-10
Health · complaint
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2023-11-03
2023-08-28
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
E
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health
F0730
Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training.
E
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health
F0847
Inform resident or representatives choice to enter into binding arbitration agreement and right to refuse.
E
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health
F0848
Provide a neutral and fair arbitration process and agree to arbitrator and venue.
E
2023-10-09
2023-08-28
Health
F0909
Regularly inspect all bed frames, mattresses, and bed rails (if any) for safety; and all bed rails and mattresses must attach safely to the bed frame.
E
2023-10-09
2021-10-29
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2021-12-03
2021-10-29
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2021-12-03
2021-10-29
Health
F0661
Ensure necessary information is communicated to the resident, and receiving health care provider at the time of a planned discharge.
D
2021-12-03
2021-10-29
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2021-12-03
2021-10-29
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2021-12-03
2021-10-29
Health
F0885
Report COVID19 data to residents and families.
E
2021-12-03
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
9
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
DAVES, CASEY
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-03-20
current
pecos_ownership
JDP SENIOR HOUSING INVESTMENTS LP
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2024-07-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
JDP SENIOR HOUSING INVESTMENTS LP
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2023-07-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
DAVES, CASEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
CASEY DAVES
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-03-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JDP SENIOR HOUSING INVESTMENTS LP
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-07-01
ended 2023-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
LANE PROPERTY HOLDING INOLA LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-07-01
ended 2021-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
LANE PROPERTY HOLDING INOLA LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-07-01
ended 2022-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
CASEY DAVES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$505,267
$453,230
—
—
—
5
propco
2024-06-30
$608,373
$490,954
—
—
—
5
propco
2023-06-30
$500,289
$469,653
—
—
—
5
propco
2022-06-30
$336,985
$288,424
—
—
—
6
propco
2021-06-30
$368,312
$253,949
—
—
—
6
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 40131
acs median gross
0
$700
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40131
fmr
0
$933
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40131
acs median gross
1
$781
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40131
fmr
1
$987
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40131
acs median gross
2
$1,001
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40131
fmr
2
$1,217
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40131
acs median gross
3
$1,215
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40131
fmr
3
$1,602
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40131
acs median gross
4
$1,328
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40131
fmr
4
$1,858
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40131
acs median gross
5
$1,815
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40131
acs median gross
$1,047
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40131
acs recent mover gross
$1,115
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74036
acs median gross
1
$408
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74036
acs median gross
2
$939
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74036
acs median gross
3
$1,341
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74036
acs median gross
4
$1,550
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74036
acs median gross
$999
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74036
acs recent mover gross
$1,647
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 74036
payment standard 110
0
$924
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 90
0
$756
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
safmr
0
$840
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 110
1
$968
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 90
1
$792
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
safmr
1
$880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 110
2
$1,199
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 90
2
$981
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
safmr
2
$1,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 110
3
$1,584
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 90
3
$1,296
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
safmr
3
$1,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 110
4
$1,826
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
payment standard 90
4
$1,494
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74036
safmr
4
$1,660
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.