8720 SOUTH 101ST AVENUE, TULSA, OK 74133 · CCN 375581
Composite
83.7 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
104
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 83.7% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
5
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.9 vs natl
LUXE STAFFING LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.7 vs natl
RAINEY SHAWNA
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.6 vs natl
GOLD PEARL LLC
19 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+22.0 vs natl
FIELDS TIMOTHY
21 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.8 vs natl
CARR BARRY
21 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OK median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.45
2.78
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.24
0.18
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.38
2.72
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.47
2.80
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
99.9
3.45
0.24
1.29
1.93
3.38
0.0%
2025Q3
92
99.4
4.32
0.14
1.37
2.81
4.23
0.0%
2025Q2
91
98.1
3.85
0.17
1.54
2.13
3.69
0.0%
2025Q1
90
96.7
3.77
0.17
1.42
2.17
3.65
0.0%
2024Q4
92
96.9
4.05
0.27
1.47
2.31
3.97
0.0%
2024Q3
92
91.3
4.06
0.28
1.53
2.25
3.90
0.0%
2024Q2
91
82.8
4.33
0.25
1.86
2.21
4.12
0.0%
2024Q1
91
85.6
4.11
0.29
1.78
2.04
3.99
0.0%
2023Q4
92
80.7
4.50
0.28
1.88
2.34
4.34
0.0%
2023Q3
92
75.3
4.89
0.28
2.22
2.38
4.39
0.0%
2023Q2
91
73.9
5.26
0.26
2.61
2.39
4.91
0.0%
2023Q1
90
82.4
5.66
0.17
2.50
2.99
5.45
1.0%
2022Q4
92
78.3
5.86
0.21
2.69
2.95
5.42
0.9%
2022Q3
92
68.6
6.59
0.30
3.04
3.25
6.05
1.3%
2022Q2
91
45.3
7.92
0.44
3.44
4.05
7.24
0.0%
2022Q1
90
43.6
4.42
0.43
3.11
0.89
3.89
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-12-15
2024-12-11
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2025-01-09
2024-12-11
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2025-01-09
2024-12-11
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2025-01-09
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
J
2024-08-20
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
41
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
TULSA SENIOR INVESTORS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
CARR, BARRY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
CARR, JARED
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
CASTILLO-SIMON, REVEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-08-18
current
pecos_ownership
FIELDS, TIMOTHY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
GILLIS, KAREN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOBST, RYAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOLD PEARL, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
IGNITE TEAM PARTNERS LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
IGNITE TEAM PARTNERS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-07
current
pecos_ownership
IGNITE TULSA LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
JABLONSKI, NICOLE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
LBG TULSA SHF INVESTORS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
LUXE STAFFING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCFARLANE, JOHN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTIGE WORLDWIDE TULSA LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
RAINEY, SHAWNA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
REYNOLDS, RYAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROSE, MARC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHEARER, RACHEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SPARK THERAPY LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SPARK THERAPY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-07
current
pecos_ownership
THENGIL, MATHEW
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHITE, JIM
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
TIMOTHY FIELDS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
21%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
IGNITE POST ACUTE SOLUTIONS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARRY CARR
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
17%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BLUE PEARL FINANCIAL LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
16%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL WAGNER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
13%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JARED CARR
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
2%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RYAN GOBST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
2%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JIM WHITE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN MCFARLANE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAREN GILLIS
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARC ROSE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MATHEW THENGIL
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NICOLE JABLONSKI
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RACHEL SHEARER
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHAWNA RAINEY
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
REVEL CASTILLO-SIMON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-08-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RYAN REYNOLDS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 40143
acs median gross
0
$840
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40143
fmr
0
$933
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40143
acs median gross
1
$911
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40143
fmr
1
$987
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40143
acs median gross
2
$1,128
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40143
fmr
2
$1,217
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40143
acs median gross
3
$1,368
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40143
fmr
3
$1,602
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40143
acs median gross
4
$1,716
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40143
fmr
4
$1,858
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40143
acs median gross
5
$1,806
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40143
acs median gross
$1,110
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40143
acs recent mover gross
$1,198
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74133
acs median gross
0
$942
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74133
acs median gross
1
$1,005
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74133
acs median gross
2
$1,325
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74133
acs median gross
3
$1,617
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74133
acs median gross
4
$1,905
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74133
acs median gross
5
$1,971
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74133
acs median gross
$1,197
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74133
acs recent mover gross
$1,269
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 74133
payment standard 110
0
$1,265
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 90
0
$1,035
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
safmr
0
$1,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 110
1
$1,342
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 90
1
$1,098
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
safmr
1
$1,220
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 110
2
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 90
2
$1,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
safmr
2
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 110
3
$2,167
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 90
3
$1,773
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
safmr
3
$1,970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 110
4
$2,519
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
payment standard 90
4
$2,061
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74133
safmr
4
$2,290
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.