231 North Eighth Avenue West, Hartley, IA 51346 · CCN 165177
Composite
56.8 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
62
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 56.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
2
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BRIGHTON CONSULTING GROUP LLC
17 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
ECSI INC
9 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.52
3.15
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.70
0.46
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.33
2.96
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.59
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
44.4
3.52
0.70
0.39
2.44
3.33
0.0%
2025Q3
92
42.2
3.59
0.67
0.46
2.46
3.38
0.0%
2025Q2
91
43.0
3.55
0.64
0.43
2.48
3.31
3.5%
2025Q1
90
45.5
3.84
0.62
0.55
2.67
3.57
6.9%
2024Q4
92
48.8
3.89
0.70
0.52
2.67
3.63
19.2%
2024Q3
92
48.3
3.87
0.71
0.56
2.60
3.55
12.0%
2024Q2
91
49.7
3.87
0.60
0.63
2.64
3.54
14.8%
2024Q1
91
52.0
3.82
0.69
0.51
2.62
3.56
19.8%
2023Q4
92
52.4
3.74
0.72
0.45
2.58
3.49
7.8%
2023Q3
92
46.3
4.15
0.88
0.49
2.79
3.85
4.5%
2023Q2
91
53.0
4.26
0.94
0.45
2.87
3.89
9.0%
2023Q1
90
55.2
4.07
0.89
0.55
2.63
3.70
21.1%
2022Q4
92
55.5
3.97
0.91
0.52
2.54
3.56
28.0%
2022Q3
92
55.6
3.69
0.75
0.59
2.35
3.30
26.9%
2022Q2
91
52.1
3.98
0.79
0.62
2.56
3.49
7.7%
2022Q1
90
57.7
3.68
0.86
0.57
2.25
3.29
4.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2026-02-12
2026-01-22
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2026-02-12
2026-01-22
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2026-02-12
2026-01-22
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2026-02-12
2026-01-22
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2026-02-12
2025-11-25
Health · complaint
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
E
2025-11-28
2025-10-07
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2025-10-09
2025-10-07
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-10-09
2024-11-07
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
D
2024-11-30
2024-07-08
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2024-07-27
2024-07-08
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-07-27
2024-07-08
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
K
2024-07-18
2024-07-08
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2024-07-27
2024-07-08
Health · complaint
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
E
2024-07-27
2023-11-02
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-02
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2023-11-30
2023-11-02
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-02
Health
F0838
Conduct and document a facility-wide assessment to determine what resources are necessary to care for residents competently during both day-to-day operations (including nights and weekends) and emergencies.
E
2023-11-30
2023-08-22
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2023-08-31
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
44
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BCG HOLDINGS INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLUE STONE THERAPY INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-30
current
pecos_ownership
BRIGHTON CONSULTING GROUP LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CARSTENSEN, LINDA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-02-25
current
pecos_ownership
CATTAIL BCG LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CATTAIL INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
COPPAGE LTC PHARMACY CONSULTING PLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-07-20
current
pecos_ownership
ECSI INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
IOWA HEALTH CARE ASSOCIATION
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOCHIMS, AMY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOCHIMS, AMY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-25
current
pecos_ownership
K F MURPHY CO PC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2012-07-23
current
pecos_ownership
KRIKKE, DARYL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2016-01-21
current
pecos_ownership
MILLS, KRISTY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-26
current
pecos_ownership
MOREY, KERRIE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-02-28
current
pecos_ownership
PAULSEN, COLLEEN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
RDI COMPUTER NETWORKING
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
RIEDEMANN, MARK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
STOLTZ, CURT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
TEWES, JOYCE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
VAN LOON, LAVERNE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
VANDER VEEN, JILL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-26
current
pecos_ownership
WALLACE, LAURA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
WURM KING, COLLEEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-10-31
current
pecos_ownership
ZEARING, SANDRA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-06
current
pecos_ownership
ZILLER, STEVEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-25
current
pecos_ownership
ZILLER, STEVEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-25
current
pecos_ownership
AMY JOCHIMS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AMY JOCHIMS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
COLLEEN PAULSEN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
COLLEEN WURM KING
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-10-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CURT STOLTZ
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DARYL KRIKKE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2016-01-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JILL VANDER VEEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOYCE TEWES
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KERRIE MOREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-02-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KRISTY MILLS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAURA WALLACE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-05-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAVERNE VAN LOON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LINDA CARSTENSEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-02-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK RIEDEMANN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SANDRA ZEARING
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVEN ZILLER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVEN ZILLER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-09-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
32
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 19141
fmr
0
$682
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19141
acs median gross
1
$731
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19141
fmr
1
$700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19141
acs median gross
2
$894
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19141
fmr
2
$919
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19141
acs median gross
3
$876
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19141
fmr
3
$1,111
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19141
acs median gross
4
$950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19141
fmr
4
$1,217
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19141
acs median gross
5
$629
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19141
acs median gross
$868
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19141
acs recent mover gross
$953
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 51346
acs median gross
1
$612
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 51346
acs median gross
2
$721
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 51346
acs median gross
3
$920
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 51346
acs median gross
4
$754
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 51346
acs median gross
$750
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 51346
payment standard 110
0
$748
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 90
0
$612
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
safmr
0
$680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 110
1
$770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 90
1
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
safmr
1
$700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 110
2
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 90
2
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
safmr
2
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 110
3
$1,254
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 90
3
$1,026
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
safmr
3
$1,140
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 110
4
$1,342
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
payment standard 90
4
$1,098
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 51346
safmr
4
$1,220
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.