Composite
3.8 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regulatory risk | 46.1 | 35.0 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 10.64 | in index |
| chow risk | 55.7 | 37.6 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 6.43 | in index |
| staffing risk | 14.0 | 14.1 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 2.69 | in index |
| financial risk | 8.9 | 18.1 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 2.05 | in index |
| billing conduct | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 0.00 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 0.0 | A | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 54.1 | C | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 21.1 | A | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 18.1 | A | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 3.3 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 35.0 | B | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 14.1 | A | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 50.8 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 30.8 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 25.9 | B | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 22.7 | A | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 34.9 | B | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 34.9 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 14.1 | A | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 14.1 | A | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| Occupancy | 0.88 | -0.53 | |
| Chain size (log) | 4.16 | +0.48 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 4.14 | -0.22 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chain size (log) | 4.16 | -1.22 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 4.00 | +0.69 | |
| Occupancy | 0.88 | -0.56 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 4.14 | -0.39 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | 0.41 | +0.17 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | OH median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 4.14 | 3.24 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.87 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.96 | 3.11 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 4.21 | 3.29 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 109.2 | 4.14 | 0.87 | 0.64 | 2.63 | 3.96 | 1.2% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 111.7 | 4.08 | 0.86 | 0.60 | 2.61 | 3.89 | 1.6% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 117.6 | 3.93 | 0.82 | 0.63 | 2.49 | 3.73 | 1.7% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 117.4 | 3.98 | 0.85 | 0.68 | 2.45 | 3.83 | 1.2% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 121.4 | 3.73 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 2.33 | 3.58 | 1.3% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 115.3 | 3.88 | 0.67 | 0.77 | 2.44 | 3.59 | 1.3% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 103.8 | 4.02 | 0.67 | 0.89 | 2.46 | 3.81 | 1.0% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 114.9 | 3.54 | 0.62 | 0.81 | 2.11 | 3.31 | 1.3% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 114.4 | 3.48 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 2.00 | 3.21 | 1.3% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 114.3 | 3.45 | 0.63 | 0.81 | 2.02 | 3.14 | 1.2% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 106.1 | 3.67 | 0.57 | 0.97 | 2.13 | 3.38 | 1.4% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 110.8 | 3.44 | 0.56 | 0.94 | 1.95 | 3.28 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 111.7 | 3.32 | 0.46 | 1.02 | 1.84 | 3.15 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 108.7 | 3.21 | 0.51 | 0.97 | 1.72 | 3.07 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 108.1 | 3.29 | 0.56 | 0.96 | 1.77 | 3.06 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 113.6 | 3.23 | 0.65 | 0.96 | 1.61 | 3.07 | 0.0% |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2026-04-24 |
| 2025-09-11 | Health | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | D | 2025-10-03 |
| 2025-09-11 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2025-10-03 |
| 2025-09-11 | Health | F0881 | Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use. | D | 2025-10-03 |
| 2025-07-24 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2025-08-19 |
| 2025-04-07 | Health · complaint | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2025-04-22 |
| 2025-04-07 | Health · complaint | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2025-04-22 |
| 2024-10-31 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2024-11-14 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | D | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0697 | Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services. | G | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0760 | Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors. | D | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | E | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0806 | Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options. | E | 2024-04-02 |
| 2024-03-15 | Health | F0883 | Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations. | G | 2024-04-02 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0561 | Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice. | E | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0578 | Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive. | D | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0676 | Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason. | D | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | E | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0679 | Provide activities to meet all resident's needs. | E | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0688 | Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason. | D | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0690 | Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections. | D | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0694 | Provide for the safe, appropriate administration of IV fluids for a resident when needed. | D | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | E | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0740 | Ensure each resident must receive and the facility must provide necessary behavioral health care and services. | D | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0770 | Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents. | D | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | F | 2022-04-20 |
| 2022-03-30 | Health | F0881 | Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use. | E | 2022-04-20 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1425 YORKLAND ROAD LLC | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 100% | 2023-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| 1425 YORKLAND ROAD LLC | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 100% | 2024-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| CHU, VINCENT | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2018-06-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| COLLERAN, BRIAN | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | — | 2019-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| FATICA, MICHAEL | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2018-09-26 | current | pecos_ownership |
| FOUNDATIONS HEALTH SOLUTIONS, LLC | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2019-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| FOUNDATIONS HEALTH SOLUTIONS, LLC | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-04-16 | current | pecos_ownership |
| KRYSTOWSKI, JOHN | CORPORATE OFFICER | — | 2018-06-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| COLLERAN FAM TR DATED 01-01-2018 | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2018-06-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| FOUNDATIONS HEALTH LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2018-06-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| BRIAN COLLERAN | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | — | 2019-01-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JOHN KRYSTOWSKI | CORPORATE OFFICER | — | 2018-06-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MICHAEL FATICA | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2018-09-26 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| VINCENT CHU | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2018-06-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-31 | SAPPHIRE REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER | — | — | — | 113 | SAPPHIRE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | MAJESTIC CARE OF POINT PLACE | — | — | — | 82 | POINT PLACE OH HEALTH & REHAB OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | MAJESTIC CARE OF NEW LEXINGTON | — | — | — | 82 | NEW LEXINGTON OH HEALTH & REHAB OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | Atrium Nursing and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 99 | ATRIUM OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | Inniswood Health and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 99 | FHS INNISWOOD, INC. |
| 2024-12-31 | COMMUNITY SKILLED HEALTHCARE | — | — | — | 110 | CS OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | MAJESTIC CARE OF PERRYSBURG | — | — | — | 75 | PERRYSBURG OH HEALTH & REHAB OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | GRAFTON OAKS NURSING CENTER | — | — | — | 99 | GO OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | MAJESTIC CARE OF KENT | — | — | — | 74 | KENT OH HEALTH & REHAB OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-30 | Chardon Woods | — | — | — | 161 | CHARDON WOODS OF JOURNEY LLC |
| 2024-12-16 | The Pavilion at Canal Fulton for Nursing and Rehab | — | — | — | 60 | PAVILION AT CANAL FULTON LLC |
| 2024-12-02 | BENNINGTON GLEN NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER | — | — | — | 79 | FHS BENNINGTON INC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 39049 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,112 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39049 | fmr | 0 | $1,111 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39049 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,119 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39049 | fmr | 1 | $1,194 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39049 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,339 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39049 | fmr | 2 | $1,430 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39049 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,469 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39049 | fmr | 3 | $1,715 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39049 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,711 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39049 | fmr | 4 | $1,927 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39049 | acs median gross | 5 | $1,617 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39049 | acs median gross | $1,302 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 39049 | acs recent mover gross | $1,444 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 43232 | acs median gross | 0 | $801 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43232 | acs median gross | 1 | $906 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43232 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,130 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43232 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,434 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43232 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,394 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43232 | acs median gross | $1,119 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 43232 | acs recent mover gross | $1,364 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $1,067 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $873 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | safmr | 0 | $970 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $1,144 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $936 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | safmr | 1 | $1,040 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,375 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $1,125 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | safmr | 2 | $1,250 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $1,650 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,350 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | safmr | 3 | $1,500 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $1,848 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $1,512 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43232 | safmr | 4 | $1,680 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |