Reads as: riskier than 31.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.11
3.95
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.64
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.03
3.79
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.15
4.01
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
90.5
4.11
0.64
0.96
2.50
4.03
0.0%
2025Q3
92
91.9
4.04
0.65
0.87
2.52
3.93
0.0%
2025Q2
91
86.0
4.11
0.61
0.90
2.60
3.87
0.0%
2025Q1
90
88.8
4.09
0.46
1.03
2.60
3.91
0.0%
2024Q4
92
89.6
4.08
0.56
0.93
2.59
3.95
0.0%
2024Q3
92
92.1
3.95
0.51
0.90
2.54
3.85
0.0%
2024Q2
91
90.2
4.06
0.45
1.01
2.60
3.95
0.0%
2024Q1
91
90.4
4.07
0.50
1.04
2.53
3.95
0.0%
2023Q4
92
91.0
4.00
0.45
0.99
2.56
3.96
0.0%
2023Q3
92
90.2
4.03
0.38
1.09
2.56
3.88
0.0%
2023Q2
91
87.4
4.18
0.37
1.09
2.72
3.93
0.0%
2023Q1
90
91.3
3.93
0.34
0.98
2.61
3.86
0.0%
2022Q4
92
90.3
4.11
0.38
1.00
2.73
4.05
0.0%
2022Q3
92
90.4
3.95
0.35
1.05
2.55
3.91
0.0%
2022Q2
91
85.1
4.10
0.34
1.19
2.57
4.00
0.0%
2022Q1
90
81.7
4.20
0.35
1.22
2.63
4.08
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
E
2025-04-25
2025-03-27
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2025-04-25
2025-03-27
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-04-25
2025-03-27
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2025-04-25
2025-03-27
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-04-25
2025-03-27
Health
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2025-04-25
2025-03-27
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
E
2025-04-25
2025-03-27
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-04-25
2025-03-05
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2025-04-04
2025-03-05
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-04-04
2023-03-02
Health
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2023-04-02
2023-03-02
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-04-02
2023-03-02
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-04-02
2023-03-02
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2023-04-02
2023-03-02
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2023-04-02
2023-03-02
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2023-04-02
2023-03-02
Health
F0790
Provide routine and 24-hour emergency dental care for each resident.
D
2023-04-02
2023-03-02
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-04-02
2019-08-29
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2019-08-30
2019-08-29
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2019-08-30
2019-08-29
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2019-08-30
2019-08-29
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2019-08-30
2019-08-29
Health
F0802
Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service.
E
2019-08-30
2019-08-29
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2019-08-30
2019-08-29
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2019-08-30
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
9
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
OLDS, THOMAS
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
78%
1998-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
MASTROCOLA, LOIS
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
9%
1998-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
BMO BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2021-10-06
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE GENERATIONS HEALTHCARE, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1998-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
MASTROCOLA, LOIS
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-09-20
current
pecos_ownership
THOMAS OLDS
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
78%
1998-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FRED SMITH
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
13%
1998-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LOIS MASTROCOLA
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
9%
1998-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LOIS MASTROCOLA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-09-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,887,994
—
—
$1,127,139
—
2
—
2023-12-31
$1,689,018
—
—
$980,737
—
2
—
2022-12-31
$1,388,012
—
—
$881,692
—
2
—
2021-12-31
$1,394,082
—
—
$899,329
—
2
—
2020-12-31
$1,554,119
—
—
$1,092,616
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 06073
acs median gross
0
$1,761
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06073
fmr
0
$2,288
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06073
acs median gross
1
$1,888
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06073
fmr
1
$2,459
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06073
acs median gross
2
$2,290
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06073
fmr
2
$3,001
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06073
acs median gross
3
$2,826
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06073
fmr
3
$3,998
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06073
acs median gross
4
$3,451
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06073
fmr
4
$4,845
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06073
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06073
acs median gross
$2,246
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06073
acs recent mover gross
$2,729
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 91950
acs median gross
0
$1,211
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 91950
acs median gross
1
$1,462
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 91950
acs median gross
2
$1,780
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 91950
acs median gross
3
$2,059
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 91950
acs median gross
4
$2,312
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 91950
acs median gross
5
$3,094
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 91950
acs median gross
$1,670
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 91950
acs recent mover gross
$2,213
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 91950
payment standard 110
0
$1,958
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 90
0
$1,602
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
safmr
0
$1,780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 110
1
$2,112
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 90
1
$1,728
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
safmr
1
$1,920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 110
2
$2,574
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 90
2
$2,106
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
safmr
2
$2,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 110
3
$3,432
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 90
3
$2,808
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
safmr
3
$3,120
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 110
4
$4,158
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
payment standard 90
4
$3,402
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 91950
safmr
4
$3,780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.