Reads as: riskier than 23.3% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
15 chains
CIBC BANK USA
155 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
VA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.95
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.41
0.30
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.79
2.96
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.02
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
116.8
2.95
0.41
0.76
1.79
2.79
0.0%
2025Q3
92
115.9
2.93
0.42
0.71
1.81
2.84
0.0%
2025Q2
91
109.7
2.90
0.41
0.75
1.75
2.91
0.0%
2025Q1
90
116.3
2.92
0.43
0.74
1.75
2.81
0.0%
2024Q4
92
120.6
2.87
0.40
0.71
1.77
2.65
0.0%
2024Q3
92
122.4
2.74
0.40
0.65
1.70
2.56
0.0%
2024Q2
91
115.3
2.81
0.33
0.76
1.72
2.65
0.0%
2024Q1
91
109.4
2.96
0.36
0.80
1.80
2.87
0.0%
2023Q4
92
121.7
2.85
0.34
0.68
1.83
2.77
0.0%
2023Q3
92
115.5
2.93
0.33
0.77
1.83
2.79
0.0%
2023Q2
91
128.7
2.71
0.30
0.76
1.65
2.54
0.0%
2023Q1
90
116.5
3.19
0.30
0.89
2.00
2.96
0.0%
2022Q4
92
119.4
3.15
0.24
0.87
2.04
2.98
0.0%
2022Q3
92
116.8
2.68
0.25
0.75
1.67
2.48
0.0%
2022Q2
91
113.8
2.26
0.25
0.82
1.19
2.06
0.0%
2022Q1
90
103.8
2.54
0.29
0.85
1.40
2.38
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
34
C × 1D × 24E × 8F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-07-26
Health
F0557
Honor the resident's right to be treated with respect and dignity and to retain and use personal possessions.
D
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
E
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
D
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
E
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health · complaint
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
E
2024-08-28
2024-07-26
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2024-08-28
2021-03-12
Health
F0574
The resident has the right to receive notices in a format and a language he or she understands.
C
2021-04-09
2021-03-12
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2021-04-09
2021-03-12
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2021-04-09
2021-03-12
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2021-04-09
2021-03-12
Health
F0791
Provide or obtain dental services for each resident.
D
2021-04-09
2021-03-12
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2021-04-09
2019-10-18
Health
F0574
The resident has the right to receive notices in a format and a language he or she understands.
E
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0622
Not transfer or discharge a resident without an adequate reason; and must provide documentation and convey specific information when a resident is transferred or discharged.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
E
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0727
Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0770
Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2019-11-19
2019-10-18
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
F
2019-11-19
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
33
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BARAL, SARAD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN N. VOLPE FAMILY DYNASTY TRUST (DATED DECEMBER 29, 2020)
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BNV DYNASTY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CIBC BANK USA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-02-26
current
pecos_ownership
CITRIN COOPERMAN ADVISORS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
DECANTED WILLIAM I. WEISBERG FAMILY DYNASTY TRUST (DATED SEPT 30, 2020
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JACKSON, ASHLEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-06-28
current
pecos_ownership
NICOLUZAKIS, GREGORY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
NOTTINGHAM, LISA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-03-06
current
pecos_ownership
SABER GOVERNANCE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHG MANAGEMENT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHORE REAL ESTATE GROUP LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
SHORE REAL ESTATE GROUP LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
SHORE REAL ESTATE GROUP, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-02-26
current
pecos_ownership
TCF NATIONAL BANK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-02-14
current
pecos_ownership
VOLPE, BENJAMIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WALKER & ASSOCIATES PC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-18
current
pecos_ownership
WIW DYNASTY LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN VOLPE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHORE REAL ESTATE GROUP LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
50%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
SHORE REAL ESTATE GROUP LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
50%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
SHORE REAL ESTATE GROUP LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
50%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
WILLIAM WEISBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGORY NICOLUZAKIS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ASHLEY JACKSON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-06-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA NOTTINGHAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-03-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SARAD BARAL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM WEISBERG
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,454,694
—
—
$507,064
$15,262
7
propco
2023-12-31
$2,322,503
—
—
$430,914
$20,114
7
propco
2022-12-31
$1,945,615
—
—
$390,628
$19,289
6
propco
2021-12-31
$1,668,972
—
—
$325,301
$16,201
6
propco
2020-12-31
$1,174,033
—
—
$415,359
$9,051
6
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 51001
fmr
0
$740
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51001
acs median gross
1
$735
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51001
fmr
1
$856
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51001
acs median gross
2
$973
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51001
fmr
2
$1,054
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51001
acs median gross
3
$1,057
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51001
fmr
3
$1,367
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51001
acs median gross
4
$1,225
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51001
fmr
4
$1,549
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51001
acs median gross
$977
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51001
acs recent mover gross
$1,512
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23421
acs median gross
1
$625
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23421
acs median gross
2
$786
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23421
acs median gross
3
$956
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23421
acs median gross
$916
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 23421
payment standard 110
0
$748
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 90
0
$612
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
safmr
0
$680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 110
1
$869
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 90
1
$711
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
safmr
1
$790
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 110
2
$1,067
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 90
2
$873
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
safmr
2
$970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 110
3
$1,386
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 90
3
$1,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
safmr
3
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 110
4
$1,573
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
payment standard 90
4
$1,287
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23421
safmr
4
$1,430
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.