Composite
53.2 / 100 percentile
Screener / 495233
B
POPLAR HILL HEALTH AND REHAB
snfVA
360 HOSPITAL DRIVE, WARRENTON, VA 20186 · CCN 495233 · chain SJ HEALTHCARE CAPITAL LLC
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
113
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 53.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
Score model5Components16CHOW radar1Distress radar1Staffing16Penalties0Deficiencies28Licensure0Ownership61Related party3Transactions1Comps12Market rent33
Composite explanation
5| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| financial risk | 99.2 | 94.4 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 22.89 | in index |
| staffing risk | 59.9 | 59.9 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 11.52 | in index |
| billing conduct | 30.4 | 31.8 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 7.02 | in index |
| chow risk | 48.9 | 55.9 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 5.64 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 10.6 | 6.8 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 2.45 | in index |
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Component scores and registry models
16| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 31.8 | B | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 22.6 | A | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 89.1 | F | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 94.4 | F | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 6.8 | A | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 59.9 | C | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 71.6 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 51.6 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 74.7 | D | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 92.7 | F | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 6.7 | A | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 6.7 | A | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 59.9 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 59.9 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
CHOW radar — 12-month sale probability
full board →p(CHOW, 12m)
0.0%
model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29
Percentile among SNFs
1.1
100 = most likely to sell
Holdout AUC
0.874
evaluated before shipping, never refit
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current owner tenure (years) | 1.91 | -1.66 | |
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -1.62 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 1.00 | -0.87 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Occupancy | 0.90 | -0.59 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 0.00 | -0.17 | |
| Contract staffing share | 0.02 | -0.07 |
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Distress radar — 12-month termination probability
full board →p(termination, 12m)
0.1%
model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29
Percentile among SNFs
44.6
100 = most likely to lose certification
Holdout AUC
0.971
top decile caught 95% of actual exits
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 0.00 | +1.43 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Occupancy | 0.90 | -0.64 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -0.28 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 1.91 | -0.27 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 1.00 | +0.23 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | -0.39 | -0.21 |
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | VA median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.13 | 3.13 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 2.94 | 2.96 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.21 | 3.20 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 101.7 | 3.13 | 0.19 | 1.05 | 1.89 | 2.94 | 1.8% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 97.2 | 3.29 | 0.21 | 1.06 | 2.01 | 3.05 | 4.9% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 95.0 | 3.02 | 0.26 | 0.88 | 1.88 | 2.64 | 11.4% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 81.4 | 3.41 | 0.40 | 0.97 | 2.04 | 3.07 | 18.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 75.2 | 3.52 | 0.52 | 0.97 | 2.04 | 3.03 | 26.8% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 59.0 | 1.28 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.78 | 1.10 | 28.4% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 52.7 | 3.48 | 0.79 | 0.93 | 1.75 | 3.13 | 40.8% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 49.5 | 3.49 | 0.60 | 1.27 | 1.62 | 3.28 | 50.4% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 43.6 | 3.78 | 0.69 | 1.40 | 1.69 | 3.77 | 47.4% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 38.5 | 4.14 | 0.84 | 1.19 | 2.11 | 3.99 | 51.4% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 40.5 | 3.53 | 0.79 | 1.05 | 1.69 | 3.47 | 39.9% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 36.4 | 3.19 | 0.71 | 1.08 | 1.39 | 3.29 | 28.8% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 40.2 | 2.96 | 0.43 | 1.36 | 1.18 | 2.90 | 21.6% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 43.7 | 2.54 | 0.43 | 0.80 | 1.31 | 2.46 | 11.6% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 48.2 | 2.36 | 0.39 | 0.88 | 1.08 | 2.42 | 1.1% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 54.3 | 2.60 | 0.50 | 0.81 | 1.29 | 2.44 | 0.0% |
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
28D × 22E × 6
deficiencies by survey year
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-02 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | E | 2023-08-25 |
| 2023-08-02 | Health · complaint | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2023-08-25 |
| 2023-08-02 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2023-08-25 |
| 2023-08-02 | Health | F0690 | Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections. | D | 2023-08-25 |
| 2023-08-02 | Health · complaint | F0698 | Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services. | E | 2023-08-25 |
| 2023-08-02 | Health · complaint | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | D | 2023-08-25 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0623 | Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0625 | Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0641 | Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0655 | Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | E | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | E | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0697 | Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0757 | Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs. | D | 2022-02-22 |
| 2022-01-27 | Health | F0758 | Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited. | E | 2022-02-22 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2019-12-01 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0622 | Not transfer or discharge a resident without an adequate reason; and must provide documentation and convey specific information when a resident is transferred or discharged. | D | 2019-12-01 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2019-12-01 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2019-12-01 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2019-12-01 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0755 | Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist. | D | 2019-12-01 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0757 | Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs. | E | 2019-12-01 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2019-12-01 |
| 2019-10-18 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2019-12-01 |
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
61| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3539 FILLMORE IRREVOCABLE TRUST | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| ADS CAPITAL TRUST | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| ADS FAMILY TRUST | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| B AND S FUNDING LLC | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| BEHIRI, AMR | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-10-03 | current | pecos_ownership |
| BURTON, NOAH | TRUSTEE OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| CLARE, CHRISTOPHER | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| CZERMEK, MICHAEL | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| EHRENTREU, MARK | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| FAUQUIER OPCO HOLDCO LLC | DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| GANNON, AMANDA | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| GANNON, AMANDA | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-05-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| GREENWALD, BRIAN | 5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| HEIFETZ, JACOB | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| HG DANZ LLC | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| JJ FAMILY GRANTOR TRUST | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2026-01-09 | current | pecos_ownership |
| JJ FAMILY GRANTOR TRUST | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MILLER, JACOB | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MINDY STERN IRREVOCABLE TRUST | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MSB TRUST | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NHIG LLC | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| PC8 CAPITAL GROUP LLC | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SCHWARTZ, YISROEL | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SENIOR HEALTHCARE ADVOCACY AND CONSULTING LLC | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SJ FAMILY TRUST | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SJ HEALTHCARE CAPITAL LLC | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, AHARON | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, DANIEL | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, DOVID | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, FREDERICK | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, JOSEPH | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, MENACHEM | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, MICHAEL | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, SHIFRA | TRUSTEE OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, SHIMON | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, SIMON | MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STERN, YEHUDA | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| WEISS, HILLEL | TRUSTEE OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SIMON STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| DOVID STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 3% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MENACHEM STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 3% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MICHAEL STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 3% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| YISROEL SCHWARTZ | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 3% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JACOB HEIFETZ | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 3% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MARK EHRENTREU | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 2% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| SHIMON STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 2% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MICHAEL CZERMEK | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 2% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| FREDERICK STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 1% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JOSEPH STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 1% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| DANIEL STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 1% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JACOB MILLER | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 1% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| CHRISTOPHER CLARE | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 1% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| YEHUDA STERN | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 1% | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| AHARON STERN | MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY | — | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| AMANDA GANNON | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| AMANDA GANNON | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-05-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| AMR BEHIRI | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-10-03 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| BRIAN GREENWALD | TRUSTEE OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| HILLEL WEISS | 5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST | — | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| NOAH BURTON | TRUSTEE OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| SHIFRA STERN | TRUSTEE OF THE SNF | — | 2024-09-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Transactions
1| Close date | Price | Buyer | Seller | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-01 | — | FAUQUIER OPCO LLC | FAUQUIER LONG-TERM CARE LLC | chow |
Comparable trades — VA snf
12| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-01 | Woodstock Valley Health and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 88 | 803 SOUTH MAIN STREET OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | Jamestown Health and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 90 | 1811 JAMESTOWN ROAD OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | Windsor Grove Health and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 114 | 23352 COURTHOUSE HIGHWAY OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | Grayson Health and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 120 | 400 SOUTH INDEPENDENCE AVENUE OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | SKYLINE NURSING & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 90 | 237 FRANKLIN PIKE ROAD SE OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | KINGS DAUGHTERS COMMUNITY HEALTH & REHAB | — | — | — | 117 | 1410 NORTH AUGUSTA STREET OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | Ghent Health and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 222 | 3900 LLEWELLYN AVENUE OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | ASHLAND NURSING AND REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 190 | 906 THOMPSON STREET OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-19 | The Boulevard Post Acute | — | — | — | 81 | BOULEVARD OPERATOR LLC |
| 2025-05-01 | FRANCIS MARION MANOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 109 | FRANCIS MARION OPERATING GROUP LLC |
| 2024-09-01 | POPLAR HILL HEALTH AND REHABthis facility | — | — | — | 113 | FAUQUIER OPCO LLC |
| 2024-05-01 | NORTHERN CARDINAL REHABILITATION AND NURSING | — | — | — | 120 | NORTHERN CARDINAL REHABILITATION AND NURSING LLC |
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 51061 | acs median gross | 0 | $3,501 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 51061 | fmr | 0 | $1,953 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 51061 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,151 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 51061 | fmr | 1 | $2,015 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 51061 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,437 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 51061 | fmr | 2 | $2,246 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 51061 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,778 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 51061 | fmr | 3 | $2,835 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 51061 | acs median gross | 4 | $2,240 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 51061 | fmr | 4 | $3,332 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 51061 | acs median gross | $1,613 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 51061 | acs recent mover gross | $1,475 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 20186 | acs median gross | 0 | $3,501 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 20186 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,108 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 20186 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,373 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 20186 | acs median gross | 3 | $2,118 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 20186 | acs median gross | 4 | $2,470 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 20186 | acs median gross | $1,501 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $1,661 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $1,359 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | safmr | 0 | $1,510 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $1,716 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $1,404 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | safmr | 1 | $1,560 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,914 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $1,566 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | safmr | 2 | $1,740 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $2,420 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,980 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | safmr | 3 | $2,200 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $2,838 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $2,322 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 20186 | safmr | 4 | $2,580 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.