Reads as: riskier than 89.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
13
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.1 vs natl
SUGAR CREEK HEALTH MANAGEMENT LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.1 vs natl
TECH OF AGES LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.1 vs natl
MCCORMICK DARRELL
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.1 vs natl
O LEARY PATRICK
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.1 vs natl
RELIANT CARE PHARMACY SERVICES LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.6 vs natl
HANSEN KRIS
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.3 vs natl
AGER WENDY
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.2 vs natl
HARRIS JERRY
12 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.6 vs natl
WESTERN HOME SERVICES INC
5 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
20 chains
CLIFTONLARSONALLEN LLP
98 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BRIGHTON CONSULTING GROUP LLC
17 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
GRAPE TREE MEDICAL STAFFING LLC
55 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
57% fined
MEDICAL SOLUTIONS LLC
14 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.15
3.15
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.35
0.46
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
1.97
2.96
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.22
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
60.4
2.15
0.35
0.37
1.43
1.97
7.8%
2025Q3
92
54.2
2.56
0.38
0.48
1.69
2.41
10.5%
2025Q2
91
53.1
2.46
0.43
0.43
1.60
2.41
7.9%
2025Q1
90
53.5
2.38
0.44
0.48
1.46
2.17
4.8%
2024Q4
92
50.4
2.63
0.37
0.49
1.78
2.45
7.9%
2024Q3
92
51.1
2.58
0.36
0.40
1.82
2.57
8.8%
2024Q2
91
51.6
2.57
0.50
0.36
1.71
2.50
14.1%
2024Q1
91
49.7
2.44
0.44
0.34
1.67
2.49
7.3%
2023Q4
92
45.6
2.58
0.41
0.39
1.78
2.67
12.8%
2023Q3
92
39.8
2.34
0.32
0.58
1.45
2.26
20.2%
2023Q2
91
39.4
2.53
0.42
0.42
1.69
2.34
20.6%
2023Q1
90
42.6
2.20
0.28
0.40
1.51
2.03
31.0%
2022Q4
92
46.0
1.56
0.09
0.38
1.09
1.51
19.8%
2022Q3
92
46.9
2.41
0.47
0.34
1.60
2.37
44.4%
2022Q2
91
47.2
2.24
0.39
0.52
1.33
2.07
40.5%
2022Q1
90
50.6
2.41
0.30
0.48
1.63
2.16
42.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Prevent the use of unnecessary psychotropic medications or use medications that may restrain a resident's ability to function.
E
2026-04-10
2026-03-26
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
—
2026-03-26
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2026-04-10
2026-03-26
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
D
2026-04-10
2026-03-26
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-04-10
2026-03-26
Health
F0851
Electronically submit to CMS complete and accurate direct care staffing information, based on payroll and other verifiable and auditable data.
D
—
2025-03-20
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2025-04-18
2025-03-20
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-04-18
2025-03-20
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-04-18
2025-03-20
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2025-04-18
2025-03-20
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-04-18
2024-06-06
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2024-06-23
2024-06-06
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-06-23
2024-06-06
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-06-23
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
70
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
AGER, WENDY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BANK IOWA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOLLINGER, HANNAH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-11-08
current
pecos_ownership
BRIGHTON CONSULTING GROUP LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
BROCKELSBY, SHERI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-01-18
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, SARAH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CBS STAFFING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
CLIFTONLARSONALLEN LLP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-08-25
current
pecos_ownership
COLBY, RICHARD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
COLBY, RICHARD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-18
current
pecos_ownership
ELSBERRY, BRANDON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-09-06
current
pecos_ownership
EVANS, ANGELA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
FRANKHAUSER, RICHARD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GAINES, RONALD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GRAPE TREE MEDICAL STAFFING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
HANSEN, KRIS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2002-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HANSEN, KRIS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HANSEN, KRIS
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-18
current
pecos_ownership
HARRIS, JERRY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
J EVANS NUTRITION CONSULTING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCCORMICK, DARRELL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MEDICAL SOLUTIONS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MOORE, ANTHONY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-17
current
pecos_ownership
NEXTAFF GROUP LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
O'LEARY, PATRICK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PETERSON, REBECCA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-03-25
current
pecos_ownership
PHIPPS, MOLLY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-09-08
current
pecos_ownership
PIES, JENNIFER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-01-16
current
pecos_ownership
RC AND ASSOCIATES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
RELIANT CARE PHARMACY SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-02-28
current
pecos_ownership
RIDDER, LISA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-06-05
current
pecos_ownership
ROSS, KRYSTAL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-07-12
current
pecos_ownership
SANNES, AARON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-15
current
pecos_ownership
SCHROEDER, HEATHER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-15
current
pecos_ownership
SCHULTZ, DIANNE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SIGNATURE HEALTHCARE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SUGAR CREEK HEALTH MANAGEMENT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-30
current
pecos_ownership
SUSONG, KATHERINE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-15
current
pecos_ownership
TECH OF AGES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TOTAL NURSES NETWORK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WESTERN HOME SERVICES INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHYMS, BRIAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHYMS, BRIAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-18
current
pecos_ownership
AARON SANNES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANGELA EVANS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANTHONY MOORE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRANDON ELSBERRY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-09-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN WHYMS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN WHYMS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DARRELL MCCORMICK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIANNE SCHULTZ
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HANNAH BOLLINGER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-11-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HEATHER SCHROEDER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JENNIFER PIES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-01-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JERRY HARRIS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KATHERINE SUSONG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KRIS HANSEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2002-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KRIS HANSEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KRYSTAL ROSS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-07-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA RIDDER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-06-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MOLLY PHIPPS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-09-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICK O'LEARY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
REBECCA PETERSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-03-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD COLBY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD COLBY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-03-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD FRANKHAUSER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RONALD GAINES
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SARAH BROWN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHERI BROCKELSBY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-01-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WENDY AGER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,085,247
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$640,298
—
$640,298
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$562,785
—
$562,785
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$438,461
—
—
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$84,876
—
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 19015
fmr
0
$783
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19015
acs median gross
1
$712
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19015
fmr
1
$788
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19015
acs median gross
2
$870
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19015
fmr
2
$1,026
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19015
acs median gross
3
$1,125
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19015
fmr
3
$1,427
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19015
acs median gross
4
$1,189
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19015
fmr
4
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19015
acs median gross
$845
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19015
acs recent mover gross
$755
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50156
acs median gross
1
$583
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50156
acs median gross
2
$858
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50156
acs median gross
3
$1,070
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50156
acs median gross
$768
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 50156
payment standard 110
0
$869
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 90
0
$711
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
safmr
0
$790
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 110
1
$880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 90
1
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
safmr
1
$800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 110
2
$1,122
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 90
2
$918
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
safmr
2
$1,020
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 110
3
$1,562
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 90
3
$1,278
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
safmr
3
$1,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 110
4
$1,628
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
payment standard 90
4
$1,332
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50156
safmr
4
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.