Reads as: riskier than 76.7% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
10
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.4 vs natl
HOLDCO TABLETOP LLC
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.4 vs natl
CURCIO DOMINIC
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.2 vs natl
HOLDCO GOLDFINCH LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.6 vs natl
MANAGERCO GOLDFINCH LLC
6 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.1 vs natl
TECHCARE CORP
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.1 vs natl
CHITAI INVESTMENT LLC
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.1 vs natl
INVESTCO TABLETOP LLC
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.7 vs natl
MILLER DANIEL
14 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
9 chains
MILLER DANIEL
12 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
42% fined
CAMPBELL STREET SERVICES LLC
19 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.82
3.15
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.58
0.46
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.85
2.96
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.81
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
76.6
2.82
0.58
0.30
1.94
2.85
0.0%
2025Q3
92
80.5
2.56
0.46
0.41
1.69
2.53
0.0%
2025Q2
91
75.6
2.58
0.46
0.43
1.68
2.66
0.0%
2025Q1
90
76.6
2.71
0.45
0.40
1.85
2.71
0.1%
2024Q4
92
75.7
2.54
0.39
0.45
1.71
2.60
0.1%
2024Q3
92
74.2
2.65
0.36
0.55
1.75
2.72
0.1%
2024Q2
91
70.0
2.90
0.43
0.59
1.89
3.15
0.1%
2024Q1
91
81.8
2.49
0.37
0.54
1.59
2.65
0.2%
2023Q4
92
79.7
2.53
0.32
0.57
1.64
2.44
0.1%
2023Q3
92
82.5
2.93
0.37
0.61
1.95
2.85
0.0%
2023Q2
91
90.0
2.60
0.35
0.55
1.70
2.33
0.0%
2023Q1
90
88.8
2.53
0.30
0.58
1.65
2.34
8.8%
2022Q4
92
89.1
2.75
0.26
0.68
1.80
2.61
20.9%
2022Q3
92
91.7
2.52
0.22
0.55
1.75
2.35
18.4%
2022Q2
91
84.2
1.84
0.21
0.39
1.23
1.78
35.1%
2022Q1
90
75.8
2.00
0.18
0.24
1.58
1.98
34.6%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
22
D × 15E × 7
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-05
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-05
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-05
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-05
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2026-04-03
2025-05-07
Health · complaint
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2025-05-23
2025-05-07
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-05-23
2025-01-30
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-02-20
2025-01-30
Health · complaint
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2025-02-20
2025-01-30
Health · complaint
F0602
Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money.
D
2025-02-20
2025-01-30
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-02-20
2025-01-30
Health
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
D
2025-02-20
2025-01-30
Health
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
E
2025-02-20
2025-01-30
Health · complaint
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2025-02-20
2025-01-30
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-02-20
2024-03-21
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
E
2024-04-11
2024-03-21
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-04-11
2024-03-21
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-04-11
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2023-12-08
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2023-12-15
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-12-15
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2023-12-12
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
D
2023-12-12
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
22
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
CAMPBELL STREET SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
CAMPBELL STREET SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
CHITAI INVESTMENT, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
CURCIO, DOMINIC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
DOLE, ISAAC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOLDCO GOLDFINCH, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOLDCO TABLETOP, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
INVESTCO TABLETOP, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
MANAGERCO GOLDFINCH, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
MANAGERCO GOLDFINCH, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
MANAGERCO TABLETOP, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-03
current
pecos_ownership
MANAGERCO TABLETOP, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
MILLER, DANIEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
REALCO UNIVERSITY PARK, IA, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SODERSTRUM, STACY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-08-25
current
pecos_ownership
TECHCARE CORP
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WOODRUFF, RACHEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-07
current
pecos_ownership
DOMINIC CURCIO
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2020-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIEL MILLER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ISAAC DOLE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RACHEL WOODRUFF
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STACY SODERSTRUM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-08-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$884,113
$372,649
$511,464
—
—
2
—
2023-12-31
$776,629
$372,649
$403,980
—
—
2
—
2022-12-31
$880,424
$307,267
$573,157
—
—
2
—
2021-12-31
$649,389
$291,149
—
—
—
2
—
2020-12-31
$534,978
$242,624
$292,354
—
—
2
—
2020-02-29
$7,438
—
$3,988
—
—
3
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 19153
acs median gross
0
$926
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19153
fmr
0
$1,063
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19153
acs median gross
1
$963
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19153
fmr
1
$1,109
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19153
acs median gross
2
$1,169
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19153
fmr
2
$1,318
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19153
acs median gross
3
$1,497
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19153
fmr
3
$1,794
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19153
acs median gross
4
$1,605
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19153
fmr
4
$1,841
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19153
acs median gross
5
$1,834
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19153
acs median gross
$1,149
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19153
acs recent mover gross
$1,235
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50314
acs median gross
0
$765
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50314
acs median gross
1
$687
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50314
acs median gross
2
$1,060
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50314
acs median gross
3
$1,360
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50314
acs median gross
4
$1,118
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50314
acs median gross
$950
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50314
acs recent mover gross
$789
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 50314
payment standard 110
0
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 90
0
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
safmr
0
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 110
1
$1,056
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 90
1
$864
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
safmr
1
$960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 110
2
$1,254
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 90
2
$1,026
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
safmr
2
$1,140
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 110
3
$1,705
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 90
3
$1,395
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
safmr
3
$1,550
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 110
4
$1,749
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
payment standard 90
4
$1,431
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50314
safmr
4
$1,590
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.