1590 CHARTWELL STREET, LANCASTER, OH 43130 · CCN 366215 · chain THE SCHROER GROUP INC
Composite
22.4 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
84
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 22.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
15
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OH median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.99
3.24
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.55
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.92
3.11
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.02
3.29
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
80.9
2.99
0.55
0.56
1.89
2.92
8.3%
2025Q3
92
79.5
3.06
0.54
0.61
1.91
3.00
6.5%
2025Q2
91
81.0
2.92
0.45
0.68
1.78
2.75
4.1%
2025Q1
90
77.8
3.00
0.47
0.68
1.85
2.87
2.7%
2024Q4
92
78.7
2.84
0.54
0.57
1.72
2.76
3.1%
2024Q3
92
80.3
2.88
0.48
0.58
1.82
2.75
3.9%
2024Q2
91
78.7
2.92
0.49
0.64
1.80
2.79
0.8%
2024Q1
91
80.9
2.95
0.41
0.63
1.91
2.81
0.2%
2023Q4
92
77.3
3.16
0.40
0.73
2.03
3.00
0.1%
2023Q3
92
77.3
3.08
0.37
0.82
1.89
2.78
0.3%
2023Q1
90
77.2
3.32
0.47
0.79
2.05
3.19
1.6%
2022Q4
92
78.7
3.24
0.47
0.68
2.08
3.08
3.4%
2022Q3
92
76.9
3.22
0.52
0.68
2.02
2.95
7.2%
2022Q2
91
79.8
3.10
0.56
0.64
1.90
2.77
4.9%
2022Q1
90
79.5
3.06
0.49
0.61
1.96
2.89
4.9%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
23
D × 14E × 6F × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-06-11
Health · complaint
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-07-11
2025-06-11
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-07-11
2025-05-08
Health
F0605
Prevent the use of unnecessary psychotropic medications or use medications that may restrain a resident's ability to function.
D
2025-07-11
2025-05-08
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2025-07-11
2025-05-08
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-07-11
2025-05-08
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-07-11
2025-05-08
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-07-11
2025-05-08
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-07-11
2025-05-08
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2025-07-11
2025-05-08
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-07-11
2024-11-19
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-02-07
2024-11-19
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-02-07
2024-11-19
Health · complaint
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
F
2025-02-07
2024-02-26
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2024-03-22
2024-02-26
Health
F0569
Notify each resident of certain balances and convey resident funds upon discharge, eviction, or death.
D
2024-03-22
2024-02-26
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2024-03-22
2024-02-26
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
F
2024-03-22
2024-02-26
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2024-03-22
2024-02-26
Health
F0881
Implement a program that monitors antibiotic use.
E
2024-03-22
2023-08-15
Health · complaint
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2023-08-25
2023-08-15
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-08-25
2022-04-04
Health
F0568
Properly hold, secure, and manage each resident's personal money which is deposited with the nursing home.
D
2022-05-03
2022-04-04
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2022-05-03
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
23
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
LANFAIR NRSG & REHAB CTR
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
LANFAIR NRSG & REHAB CTR
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
TSG NURSING CENTERS, INC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2002-12-13
current
pecos_ownership
ALTERCARE OF OHIO, INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2000-06-30
current
pecos_ownership
FILM, GEORGE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
GERALD F SCHROER DYNASTY TR UA 12312009 FBO ANDREW M SCHROER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-12-15
current
pecos_ownership
GERALD F SCHROER DYNASTY TR UA 12312009 FBO GERALD F SCHROER JR
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-12-15
current
pecos_ownership
GERALD F SCHROER DYNASTY TR UA 12312009 FBO MATTHEW SCHROER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-12-15
current
pecos_ownership
GERALD F SCHROER DYNASTY TR UA 12312009 MARGARET S GOODMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-12-15
current
pecos_ownership
GOODMAN, JOHN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2003-05-15
current
pecos_ownership
LOGAN, JUSTIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
MOCK, DOUGLAS
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2021-09-20
current
pecos_ownership
NUTTER, ORIAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
SUSANNE SCHROER DYNASTY TRUST U/A
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-12-15
current
pecos_ownership
THE SCHROER GROUP, INC.
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2001-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
LANFAIR NRSG & REHAB CTR
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LANFAIR NRSG & REHAB CTR
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
DOUGLAS MOCK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-09-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEORGE FILM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN GOODMAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2003-05-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JUSTIN LOGAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LANFAIR NRSG & REHAB CTR
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ORIAN NUTTER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,099,008
—
$485,279
—
—
2
propco
2023-12-31
$1,082,556
—
$442,703
—
—
2
propco
2022-12-31
$1,175,963
—
$475,758
—
—
2
propco
2021-12-31
$1,196,559
—
$487,452
—
—
2
propco
2020-12-31
$1,150,102
—
$446,865
—
—
2
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 39045
acs median gross
0
$663
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39045
fmr
0
$1,111
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39045
acs median gross
1
$826
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39045
fmr
1
$1,194
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39045
acs median gross
2
$1,215
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39045
fmr
2
$1,430
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39045
acs median gross
3
$1,310
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39045
fmr
3
$1,715
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39045
acs median gross
4
$1,551
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39045
fmr
4
$1,927
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39045
acs median gross
5
$1,686
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39045
acs median gross
$1,172
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39045
acs recent mover gross
$1,257
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43130
acs median gross
0
$635
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43130
acs median gross
1
$793
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43130
acs median gross
2
$1,091
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43130
acs median gross
3
$1,295
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43130
acs median gross
4
$1,478
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43130
acs median gross
5
$1,611
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43130
acs median gross
$1,109
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43130
acs recent mover gross
$1,164
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 43130
payment standard 110
0
$1,001
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 90
0
$819
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
safmr
0
$910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 110
1
$1,078
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 90
1
$882
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
safmr
1
$980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 110
2
$1,287
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 90
2
$1,053
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
safmr
2
$1,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 110
3
$1,540
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 90
3
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
safmr
3
$1,400
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 110
4
$1,738
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
payment standard 90
4
$1,422
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43130
safmr
4
$1,580
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.