125 OAKLAND STREET, WELLESLEY, MA 02481 · CCN 225266
Composite
27.0 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
84
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 27.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.54
3.39
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.25
0.39
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.38
3.26
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.61
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
88.3
3.54
0.25
0.87
2.42
3.38
2.7%
2025Q3
92
87.1
3.67
0.20
0.96
2.51
3.49
1.9%
2025Q2
91
87.2
3.69
0.17
0.98
2.54
3.54
2.4%
2025Q1
90
86.4
3.74
0.16
1.01
2.57
3.63
1.8%
2024Q4
92
82.6
3.85
0.24
0.97
2.64
3.73
2.8%
2024Q3
92
80.2
3.76
0.23
0.91
2.63
3.53
0.0%
2024Q2
91
78.0
4.04
0.37
0.92
2.75
3.88
2.4%
2024Q1
91
80.0
3.98
0.29
0.96
2.74
3.88
1.8%
2023Q4
92
78.8
4.13
0.30
0.95
2.88
3.91
1.8%
2023Q3
92
74.9
4.20
0.38
0.91
2.91
3.93
6.3%
2023Q2
91
74.7
4.04
0.34
0.94
2.77
3.81
3.5%
2023Q1
90
72.0
4.30
0.35
1.05
2.91
4.23
5.6%
2022Q4
92
73.7
3.98
0.25
1.01
2.71
3.92
3.6%
2022Q3
92
72.4
3.95
0.22
1.09
2.64
3.84
0.4%
2022Q2
91
72.0
3.99
0.24
1.15
2.60
3.81
0.3%
2022Q1
90
67.1
3.94
0.29
1.04
2.61
3.80
1.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
7
B × 1D × 5E × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-09-04
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
B
2024-09-30
2024-09-04
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-09-30
2024-09-04
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-09-30
2023-08-31
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2023-09-28
2023-08-31
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-09-28
2023-08-31
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2023-09-28
2023-08-31
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-09-28
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
41
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
AKUT, MARISSA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-04-26
current
pecos_ownership
ANFANG, STUART
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
BERMAN, ADAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
BERMAN, BARRY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
BOLBEROVA, OLGA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-07-29
current
pecos_ownership
BRUDNICK, JEFFREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
CALLAHAN, MEGAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHELSEA JEWISH LIFECARE INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-15
current
pecos_ownership
CHELSEA JEWISH LIFECARE INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
CHEN, JIANWU
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-02-02
current
pecos_ownership
CRONIN, LAUREN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DIMONDA, ROSALBA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2017-06-28
current
pecos_ownership
FAUBLAS, PASCALE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-04-04
current
pecos_ownership
FERRANTE, LORI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2013-08-15
current
pecos_ownership
FIEBELKORN, DOUGLAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
FORMAN, SHARON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
GILMORE, JANE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDSMITH, SUSAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
GREENSPAN, HOWARD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
GROVER, CAROLYN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GROVER, CAROLYN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-01-02
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, ERIC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JONES, CATHERINE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
KAMARA, HAWA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-06-04
current
pecos_ownership
KERINS, MARY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MULLEN, ELIZABETH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
MUNCHAK, ANTHONY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
NILLES, KATHLEEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
O'KEEFE, JOAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-09-27
current
pecos_ownership
PARK, JUDITH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PAUL, MARIE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2014-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
PAUL, MARIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2014-03-04
current
pecos_ownership
PEYTON, JULIA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
RICHMAN, GILDA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2002-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SANTERRE, JENNIFER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
SELIG, PATRICIA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-12-14
current
pecos_ownership
SINTROS, CHRISTOPHER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
STARE, CATHY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEISS, JUDY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-11-13
current
pecos_ownership
JOAN O'KEEFE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2014-09-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LORI FERRANTE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-08-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$814,282
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$706,409
—
—
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$402,128
$6,613
—
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$332,807
$5,431
—
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$424,148
$9,354
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 25021
acs median gross
0
$1,664
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25021
acs median gross
1
$1,877
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25021
acs median gross
2
$2,314
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25021
acs median gross
3
$2,488
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25021
acs median gross
4
$2,959
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25021
acs median gross
5
$2,191
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25021
acs median gross
$2,149
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25021
acs recent mover gross
$2,459
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02481
acs median gross
0
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02481
acs median gross
1
$2,038
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02481
acs median gross
2
$3,365
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02481
acs median gross
3
$3,300
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02481
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02481
acs median gross
$3,054
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02481
acs recent mover gross
$2,307
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 02481
payment standard 110
0
$3,553
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 90
0
$2,907
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
safmr
0
$3,230
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 110
1
$3,729
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 90
1
$3,051
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
safmr
1
$3,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 110
2
$4,433
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 90
2
$3,627
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
safmr
2
$4,030
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 110
3
$5,313
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 90
3
$4,347
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
safmr
3
$4,830
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 110
4
$5,874
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
payment standard 90
4
$4,806
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02481
safmr
4
$5,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.