Reads as: riskier than 17.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
TN median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.16
3.28
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.66
0.34
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.86
3.10
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.28
3.36
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
114.3
3.16
0.66
0.57
1.93
2.86
0.0%
2025Q3
92
112.7
3.28
0.72
0.54
2.02
2.99
0.0%
2025Q2
91
117.8
3.24
0.68
0.56
2.00
2.90
0.0%
2025Q1
90
110.9
3.13
0.64
0.60
1.89
2.95
0.0%
2024Q4
92
110.0
3.35
0.73
0.56
2.06
3.22
0.0%
2024Q3
92
108.9
3.24
0.60
0.56
2.09
2.97
0.0%
2024Q2
91
109.3
3.19
0.56
0.56
2.07
2.93
0.0%
2024Q1
91
110.8
2.93
0.54
0.58
1.81
2.59
0.0%
2023Q4
92
111.0
2.92
0.59
0.51
1.82
2.68
0.0%
2023Q3
92
117.7
2.90
0.55
0.53
1.82
2.52
0.0%
2023Q2
91
117.7
2.96
0.54
0.53
1.89
2.66
0.0%
2023Q1
90
116.8
2.87
0.55
0.54
1.77
2.46
0.0%
2022Q4
92
118.3
2.84
0.44
0.62
1.78
2.52
0.0%
2022Q3
92
116.3
2.89
0.48
0.62
1.79
2.44
0.0%
2022Q2
91
114.7
2.82
0.45
0.65
1.73
2.42
0.0%
2022Q1
90
114.7
2.81
0.55
0.50
1.76
2.58
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
8
B × 1D × 5E × 1F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-02-13
Health · complaint
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-03-03
2023-03-29
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-05-05
2023-03-29
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
B
2023-05-05
2023-03-29
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-05-05
2023-03-29
Health
F0849
Arrange for the provision of hospice services or assist the resident in transferring to a facility that will arrange for the provision of hospice services.
D
2023-05-05
2020-02-20
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2020-03-21
2020-02-20
Health
F0770
Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents.
D
2020-03-21
2020-02-20
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
D
2020-03-21
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
40
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
FUND I INVESTMENTS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
96%
1995-08-23
current
pecos_ownership
COLBAUGH, EMILY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
COLBAUGH, EMILY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-17
current
pecos_ownership
CONSOLIDATED RESOURCES HEALTH CARE FUND I LP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
CONSOLIDATED RESOURCES HEALTH CARE FUND I LP
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1990-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
CRHC LLC
GENERAL PARTNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CROSS, CINDY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-04-21
current
pecos_ownership
DEVELOPERS INVESTMENT COMPANY INC
LIMITED PARTNERSHIP INTEREST
—
1995-08-23
current
pecos_ownership
FLETCHER, TODD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-11-02
current
pecos_ownership
FUND I INVESTMENTS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
HCF INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1995-08-23
current
pecos_ownership
HENRY, TERRY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1999-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
LAY, LISA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-02-09
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA, INC.
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1990-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA, INC.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-17
current
pecos_ownership
LOGA, ALICE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-07-26
current
pecos_ownership
MURPHY, JOSHUA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-09-16
current
pecos_ownership
MURPHY, JOSHUA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-17
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, AUBREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-03-06
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, FORREST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
SOLOMON, JENNIFER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
SWANKER, RICHARD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
THURMOND, JOAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
ZIEGLER, JAMES
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1999-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
FORREST PRESTON
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
1995-08-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALICE LOGA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-07-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AUBREY PRESTON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-03-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CINDY CROSS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-04-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EMILY COLBAUGH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EMILY COLBAUGH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FORREST PRESTON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-08-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES ZIEGLER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1999-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JENNIFER SOLOMON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOAN THURMOND
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSHUA MURPHY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSHUA MURPHY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-09-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA LAY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-02-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD SWANKER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TERRY HENRY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1999-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TODD FLETCHER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-11-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$2,308,976
$910,270
—
—
—
7
—
2024-06-30
$2,248,879
$933,496
—
—
—
6
—
2023-06-30
$2,302,546
$905,539
—
—
—
6
—
2022-06-30
$2,286,084
$900,515
—
—
$755,298
6
—
2021-06-30
$2,311,098
$908,639
—
—
$711,154
7
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
28
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 47065
acs median gross
0
$966
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47065
fmr
0
$1,211
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47065
acs median gross
1
$1,136
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47065
fmr
1
$1,263
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47065
acs median gross
2
$1,220
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47065
fmr
2
$1,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47065
acs median gross
3
$1,457
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47065
fmr
3
$1,734
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47065
acs median gross
4
$1,658
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47065
fmr
4
$1,853
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47065
acs median gross
5
$1,651
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47065
acs median gross
$1,253
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47065
acs recent mover gross
$1,461
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 37315
payment standard 110
0
$1,793
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 90
0
$1,467
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
safmr
0
$1,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 110
1
$1,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 90
1
$1,530
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
safmr
1
$1,700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 110
2
$2,057
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 90
2
$1,683
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
safmr
2
$1,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 110
3
$2,563
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 90
3
$2,097
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
safmr
3
$2,330
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 110
4
$2,739
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
payment standard 90
4
$2,241
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 37315
safmr
4
$2,490
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.