524 WEST MAIN STREET, DECATURVILLE, TN 38329 · CCN 445449 · chain THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
Composite
79.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
90
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 79.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
2
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
17 chains
BURNAM SOON
335 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
44% fined
ROCKY TOP HEALTHCARE LLC
9 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
TN median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.26
3.28
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.44
0.34
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.17
3.10
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.30
3.36
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
45.6
3.26
0.44
0.96
1.86
3.17
0.0%
2025Q3
92
49.2
3.18
0.36
0.92
1.90
2.94
0.0%
2025Q2
91
50.0
3.21
0.35
0.84
2.02
3.06
0.0%
2025Q1
90
49.5
2.91
0.25
0.78
1.88
2.79
0.0%
2024Q4
92
40.6
3.58
0.33
1.06
2.19
3.27
0.0%
2024Q3
92
44.8
3.40
0.34
0.90
2.16
3.19
0.0%
2024Q2
91
46.3
3.49
0.24
1.05
2.20
3.21
0.0%
2024Q1
91
48.1
3.14
0.24
0.96
1.93
2.97
0.0%
2023Q4
92
48.3
3.21
0.30
0.94
1.97
3.03
0.0%
2023Q3
92
45.7
3.47
0.24
1.07
2.15
3.42
0.0%
2023Q2
91
43.4
3.65
0.34
1.17
2.13
3.58
0.0%
2023Q1
90
46.8
3.35
0.41
0.95
2.00
3.31
0.0%
2022Q4
92
43.4
3.43
0.41
1.04
1.99
3.34
0.0%
2022Q3
92
47.9
3.07
0.28
0.97
1.81
3.00
0.0%
2022Q2
91
48.2
1.17
0.13
0.30
0.73
1.07
0.0%
2022Q1
90
44.3
3.70
0.41
1.15
2.14
3.55
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2025-07-14
2025-06-18
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2025-07-14
2025-05-14
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-06-03
2025-05-14
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-06-03
2025-05-14
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-06-03
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
16
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ROCKY TOP HEALTHCARE LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2024-08-13
current
pecos_ownership
ALBRECHTSEN, TYLER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-08-13
current
pecos_ownership
BURNAM, SOON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-08-13
current
pecos_ownership
CARROLL, LOREN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SATO, AMI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-09-09
current
pecos_ownership
THATCHER, BRENT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-08-13
current
pecos_ownership
WADE, MELINDA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WADE, MELINDA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-20
current
pecos_ownership
THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2024-08-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AMI SATO
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-09-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRENT THATCHER
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-08-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SOON BURNAM
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-08-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TYLER ALBRECHTSEN
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-08-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LOREN CARROLL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELINDA WADE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELINDA WADE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$806,696
—
$20,091
$314,576
—
9
—
2023-12-31
$806,538
—
$18,697
$296,042
—
9
—
2022-12-31
$906,070
—
$13,811
$374,403
$45,216
9
—
2021-12-31
$907,316
—
$16,757
$366,218
—
8
—
2020-12-31
$1,153,429
—
$22,626
$439,585
—
8
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
1
Close date
Price
Buyer
Seller
Evidence
2025-01-01
—
BLACK WOLF HEALTHCARE LLC
WESTWOOD HEALTH CARE AND REHABILITATION CENTER LLC
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
31
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 47039
acs median gross
0
$331
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47039
fmr
0
$724
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47039
acs median gross
1
$623
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47039
fmr
1
$736
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47039
acs median gross
2
$739
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47039
fmr
2
$925
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47039
acs median gross
3
$840
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47039
fmr
3
$1,286
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47039
fmr
4
$1,289
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 47039
acs median gross
$757
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 47039
acs recent mover gross
$782
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 38329
acs median gross
1
$554
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 38329
acs median gross
2
$750
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 38329
acs median gross
3
$770
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 38329
acs median gross
$786
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 38329
acs recent mover gross
$1,338
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 38329
payment standard 110
0
$792
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 90
0
$648
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
safmr
0
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 110
1
$814
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 90
1
$666
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
safmr
1
$740
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 110
2
$1,023
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 90
2
$837
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
safmr
2
$930
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 110
3
$1,408
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 90
3
$1,152
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
safmr
3
$1,280
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 110
4
$1,419
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
payment standard 90
4
$1,161
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 38329
safmr
4
$1,290
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.