Reads as: riskier than 36.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
MED NET COMPLIANCE LLC
12 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OH median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.98
3.24
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.57
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.94
3.11
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.00
3.29
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
79.2
2.98
0.57
0.53
1.89
2.94
0.0%
2025Q3
92
75.8
2.99
0.47
0.63
1.90
2.95
0.0%
2025Q2
91
75.1
3.09
0.47
0.66
1.96
2.98
0.0%
2025Q1
90
76.3
2.96
0.42
0.71
1.82
2.85
0.0%
2024Q4
92
71.8
3.04
0.27
0.89
1.88
2.97
0.0%
2024Q3
92
72.3
2.97
0.31
0.81
1.86
2.87
0.0%
2024Q2
91
72.5
2.97
0.28
0.84
1.86
2.90
0.0%
2024Q1
91
70.6
3.05
0.33
0.81
1.91
3.00
0.0%
2023Q4
92
76.3
3.04
0.27
0.85
1.92
2.98
0.0%
2023Q3
92
75.2
2.93
0.31
0.81
1.81
2.81
0.9%
2023Q2
91
71.5
2.99
0.41
0.74
1.83
2.89
12.1%
2023Q1
90
69.5
2.80
0.32
0.81
1.67
2.78
23.2%
2022Q4
92
67.4
2.83
0.34
0.72
1.77
2.61
18.1%
2022Q3
92
66.9
2.17
0.31
0.64
1.22
1.78
8.8%
2022Q2
91
60.5
5.04
0.65
1.70
2.70
4.73
7.0%
2022Q1
90
62.6
3.68
0.53
1.21
1.94
3.47
12.5%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
19
D × 17E × 1F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-07-31
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-08-27
2025-07-31
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
D
2025-08-27
2024-04-29
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-05-10
2023-10-05
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2023-11-10
2023-10-05
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-11-10
2023-10-05
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
D
2023-11-10
2023-10-05
Health
F0740
Ensure each resident must receive and the facility must provide necessary behavioral health care and services.
D
2023-11-10
2023-10-05
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-11-10
2022-03-14
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2022-04-13
2022-03-14
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2022-04-13
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
24
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
FLYER 6 OPERATIONS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
PORTSMOUTH PROPERTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
PORTSMOUTH PROPERTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ACM ASHEM HOLDINGS, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
CITRIN COOPERMAN ADVISORS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
FASTEN HALBERSTAM LLP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
FLYER 6 HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
FTK FLYER OH, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
KRIESER, AKIVA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
MED-NET COMPLIANCE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
MOERMAN, RAFAEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
NPNH1 LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
OVATION REHABILITATION SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
PATEL, JITENDRA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
PORTSMOUTH PROPERTY LLC
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
RIDOUT, LEAH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
SHS KEREN LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
THE PAVILION MANAGMENT COMPANY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
WISE MEDICAL STAFFING, INC.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
ZANZIPER FAMILY TRUST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
ZANZIPER, NAFTALI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
PORTSMOUTH PROPERTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
NAFTALI ZANZIPER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-09-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RAFAEL MOERMAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-09-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$741,187
—
—
—
—
2
propco
2023-12-31
$846,433
—
—
—
—
2
propco
2022-12-31
$568,266
$169,834
$398,432
—
—
2
propco
2021-12-31
$518,514
—
$518,514
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$472,078
—
$472,078
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 39145
acs median gross
0
$443
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39145
fmr
0
$671
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39145
acs median gross
1
$538
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39145
fmr
1
$808
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39145
acs median gross
2
$750
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39145
fmr
2
$973
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39145
acs median gross
3
$940
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39145
fmr
3
$1,328
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39145
acs median gross
4
$1,056
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39145
fmr
4
$1,466
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39145
acs median gross
5
$1,625
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39145
acs median gross
$742
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39145
acs recent mover gross
$707
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45662
acs median gross
0
$368
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45662
acs median gross
1
$512
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45662
acs median gross
2
$767
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45662
acs median gross
3
$967
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45662
acs median gross
4
$1,043
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45662
acs median gross
$738
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45662
acs recent mover gross
$618
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 45662
payment standard 110
0
$737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 90
0
$603
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
safmr
0
$670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 110
1
$891
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 90
1
$729
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
safmr
1
$810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 110
2
$1,067
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 90
2
$873
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
safmr
2
$970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 110
3
$1,463
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 90
3
$1,197
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
safmr
3
$1,330
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 110
4
$1,617
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
payment standard 90
4
$1,323
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45662
safmr
4
$1,470
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.