Reads as: riskier than 59.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.38
3.95
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.76
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.18
3.79
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.46
4.01
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
35.3
4.38
0.76
0.74
2.88
4.18
0.0%
2025Q3
92
37.5
4.28
0.71
0.70
2.87
4.12
2.5%
2025Q2
91
36.2
4.44
0.71
0.80
2.93
4.14
1.5%
2025Q1
90
36.4
4.58
0.72
0.77
3.10
4.37
1.1%
2024Q4
92
37.9
4.51
0.66
0.73
3.12
4.32
6.1%
2024Q3
92
36.1
4.52
0.67
0.66
3.19
4.28
3.4%
2024Q2
91
39.6
4.19
0.59
0.54
3.06
3.91
7.7%
2024Q1
91
37.7
3.86
0.54
0.58
2.74
3.74
4.3%
2023Q4
92
36.3
3.98
0.46
0.61
2.91
3.81
0.0%
2023Q3
92
34.6
3.94
0.52
0.54
2.89
3.83
0.0%
2023Q2
91
30.1
4.35
0.59
0.60
3.16
4.16
0.0%
2023Q1
90
29.0
4.19
0.51
0.74
2.94
3.87
0.0%
2022Q4
92
29.5
4.27
0.53
0.70
3.04
3.98
0.0%
2022Q3
92
28.3
4.48
0.51
0.73
3.23
4.38
0.0%
2022Q2
91
24.6
4.75
0.72
0.78
3.25
4.44
0.0%
2022Q1
90
22.7
4.91
0.76
0.74
3.40
4.71
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2026-04-01
2025-11-19
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0552
Ensure that residents are fully informed and understand their health status, care and treatments.
D
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
D
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0911
Ensure resident rooms hold no more than 4 residents; for new construction after November 28, 2016, rooms hold no more than 2 residents.
B
2025-12-11
2025-11-19
Health
F0912
Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms.
B
2025-12-11
2025-09-11
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-09-23
2025-09-04
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-09-23
2024-11-15
Health · complaint
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
J
2024-12-05
2024-11-14
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-12-06
2024-11-07
Health · complaint
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2024-11-22
2024-10-17
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-11-08
2024-10-06
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2024-10-28
2024-10-06
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
E
2024-10-28
2024-10-06
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2024-10-28
2024-10-06
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
E
2024-10-28
2024-10-06
Health
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
E
2024-10-28
2024-10-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-10-28
2024-10-06
Health
F0912
Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms.
B
2024-10-28
2024-04-29
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-05-17
2024-04-29
Health · complaint
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2024-05-17
2024-03-18
Health · complaint
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
E
2024-04-11
2023-10-08
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2023-10-29
2023-10-08
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2023-10-29
2023-10-08
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
E
2023-10-29
2023-10-08
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2023-10-29
2023-10-08
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2023-10-29
2023-10-08
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2023-10-29
2023-10-08
Health
F0912
Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms.
B
2023-10-29
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
15
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ARARAT HOME OF LOS ANGELES INC.
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
—
current
pecos_ownership
DARAKJIAN, PETER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
GHOOKASIAN, DERIK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-11-28
current
pecos_ownership
HMAYAKYAN, SAMVEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
KANIMIAN, JOSEPH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
KESHISHYAN, VARSENIK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
SINANIAN, SINAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-04-07
current
pecos_ownership
TAYLOR, ROBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-08-24
current
pecos_ownership
DERIK GHOOKASIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2015-11-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH KANIMIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2008-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PETER DARAKJIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2010-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT TAYLOR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2023-08-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SINAN SINANIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-04-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SAMVEL HMAYAKYAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VARSENIK KESHISHYAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$191,142
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$155,631
—
—
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$830,846
—
—
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$107,766
—
—
—
$38,403
1
—
2020-12-31
$107,958
—
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 06037
acs median gross
0
$1,523
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06037
fmr
0
$1,863
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06037
acs median gross
1
$1,724
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06037
fmr
1
$2,085
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06037
acs median gross
2
$2,127
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06037
fmr
2
$2,601
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06037
acs median gross
3
$2,484
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06037
fmr
3
$3,298
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06037
acs median gross
4
$2,866
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06037
fmr
4
$3,672
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06037
acs median gross
5
$2,767
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06037
acs median gross
$1,954
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06037
acs recent mover gross
$2,358
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 90041
acs median gross
0
$1,210
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 90041
acs median gross
1
$1,594
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 90041
acs median gross
2
$1,976
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 90041
acs median gross
3
$3,088
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 90041
acs median gross
4
$2,781
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 90041
acs median gross
$1,808
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 90041
payment standard 110
0
$2,244
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 90
0
$1,836
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
safmr
0
$2,040
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 110
1
$2,519
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 90
1
$2,061
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
safmr
1
$2,290
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 110
2
$3,135
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 90
2
$2,565
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
safmr
2
$2,850
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 110
3
$3,971
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 90
3
$3,249
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
safmr
3
$3,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 110
4
$4,422
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
payment standard 90
4
$3,618
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 90041
safmr
4
$4,020
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.