Reads as: riskier than 15.7% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.64
3.39
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.33
0.39
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.36
3.26
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.75
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
117.6
3.64
0.33
1.08
2.24
3.36
0.0%
2025Q3
92
117.7
3.59
0.25
1.09
2.25
3.28
0.0%
2025Q2
91
115.2
3.67
0.28
1.10
2.29
3.36
0.0%
2025Q1
90
112.5
3.78
0.26
1.16
2.37
3.48
0.0%
2024Q4
92
113.9
3.66
0.23
1.13
2.30
3.39
0.0%
2024Q3
92
113.4
3.72
0.28
1.15
2.29
3.46
0.0%
2024Q2
91
115.0
3.62
0.34
1.09
2.19
3.28
0.0%
2024Q1
91
113.7
3.60
0.29
1.10
2.22
3.32
0.0%
2023Q4
92
117.1
3.51
0.27
1.09
2.16
3.22
0.0%
2023Q3
92
115.0
3.53
0.30
1.10
2.14
3.22
0.0%
2023Q2
91
111.5
3.47
0.22
1.10
2.14
3.15
0.0%
2023Q1
90
110.9
3.35
0.28
0.96
2.10
2.99
0.0%
2022Q4
92
115.1
3.33
0.28
0.98
2.06
3.02
0.7%
2022Q3
92
114.6
3.61
0.30
1.01
2.30
3.22
0.0%
2022Q2
91
116.0
3.45
0.33
0.93
2.19
3.09
0.0%
2022Q1
90
104.5
3.55
0.29
1.02
2.24
3.18
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
11
D × 8E × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-09-23
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-10-07
2024-08-21
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2024-09-10
2024-08-21
Health
F0699
Provide care or services that was trauma informed and/or culturally competent.
D
2024-09-10
2024-08-21
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2024-09-10
2023-07-28
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2023-08-03
2023-07-28
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2023-08-03
2023-07-28
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-08-03
2023-07-28
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
E
2023-08-03
2023-07-28
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-08-03
2023-07-28
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-08-03
2023-07-28
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2023-08-03
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
16
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ATTLEBORO MEDICAL INV
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2023-12-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ATTLEBORO MEDICAL INV
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-12-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CROSS, CINDY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-02-03
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE AFFILIATES II
GENERAL PARTNERSHIP INTEREST
—
1991-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA, INC.
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1991-10-28
current
pecos_ownership
OCONNER, PATRICK
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
1992-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, FORREST
LIMITED PARTNERSHIP INTEREST
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
THURMOND, JOAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-09-21
current
pecos_ownership
ATTLEBORO MEDICAL INV
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2019-12-01
ended 2020-11-30
hcris_a_8_1
ATTLEBORO MEDICAL INV
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-12-01
ended 2022-11-30
hcris_a_8_1
ATTLEBORO MEDICAL INV
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-12-01
ended 2021-11-30
hcris_a_8_1
FORREST PRESTON
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
99%
1991-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FORREST PRESTON
LIMITED PARTNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CINDY CROSS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
1994-02-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOAN THURMOND
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-09-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICK OCONNER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
1992-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-11-30
$2,097,156
$448,233
—
—
—
5
propco
2023-11-30
$1,343,382
$455,466
—
—
—
5
propco
2022-11-30
$1,216,359
$455,662
—
—
—
5
propco
2021-11-30
$1,286,271
—
—
—
$82,913
5
propco
2020-11-30
$1,342,793
—
—
—
$251,016
5
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 25005
acs median gross
0
$1,032
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25005
acs median gross
1
$925
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25005
acs median gross
2
$1,347
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25005
acs median gross
3
$1,395
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25005
acs median gross
4
$1,574
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25005
acs median gross
5
$1,414
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25005
acs median gross
$1,245
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25005
acs recent mover gross
$1,554
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02703
acs median gross
0
$2,049
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02703
acs median gross
1
$887
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02703
acs median gross
2
$1,668
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02703
acs median gross
3
$1,910
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02703
acs median gross
4
$2,165
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02703
acs median gross
$1,590
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 02703
acs recent mover gross
$1,720
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 02703
payment standard 110
0
$1,661
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 90
0
$1,359
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
safmr
0
$1,510
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 110
1
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 90
1
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
safmr
1
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 110
2
$2,178
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 90
2
$1,782
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
safmr
2
$1,980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 110
3
$2,629
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 90
3
$2,151
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
safmr
3
$2,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 110
4
$3,124
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
payment standard 90
4
$2,556
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 02703
safmr
4
$2,840
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.