Reads as: riskier than 40.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OH median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.88
3.24
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.33
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.71
3.11
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.94
3.29
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
59.2
3.88
0.33
1.30
2.25
3.71
0.0%
2025Q3
92
58.4
3.99
0.28
1.32
2.39
3.79
0.0%
2025Q2
91
56.3
3.93
0.28
1.41
2.24
3.74
9.5%
2025Q1
90
57.4
4.00
0.29
1.40
2.31
3.81
11.8%
2024Q4
92
55.4
4.01
0.32
1.35
2.33
3.85
9.2%
2024Q3
92
55.6
4.06
0.38
1.38
2.30
3.84
11.7%
2024Q2
91
52.4
4.18
0.40
1.50
2.29
4.02
9.2%
2024Q1
91
56.0
4.12
0.38
1.39
2.35
4.00
5.9%
2023Q4
92
54.0
3.92
0.20
1.59
2.14
3.75
3.7%
2023Q3
92
55.2
4.28
0.35
1.57
2.36
4.00
14.0%
2023Q2
91
55.5
4.08
0.36
1.52
2.20
4.00
18.5%
2023Q1
90
54.7
4.54
0.41
1.76
2.38
4.50
26.5%
2022Q4
92
52.9
4.52
0.51
1.72
2.29
4.44
34.6%
2022Q3
92
55.7
3.97
0.69
1.35
1.93
3.78
24.9%
2022Q2
91
53.1
4.02
0.54
1.47
2.01
3.98
11.8%
2022Q1
90
53.7
3.91
0.44
1.45
2.01
3.87
4.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
10
D × 8F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-09-19
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0909
Regularly inspect all bed frames, mattresses, and bed rails (if any) for safety; and all bed rails and mattresses must attach safely to the bed frame.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-19
Health
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
D
2024-10-18
2022-06-09
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2022-07-15
2022-06-09
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2022-07-15
2019-07-03
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2019-08-10
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
23
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
KINGSTON HEALTHCARE INC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2013-03-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEORGE RUMMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
37%
2010-07-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FREDERICA WOLFE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
13%
2011-07-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTINE NICHOLS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
13%
2011-07-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELIZABETH WOLFE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2011-07-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE DUKEMAN
OTHER
1%
2018-02-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL RUMMAN
OTHER
0%
2016-05-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM NICHOLS
OTHER
0%
2014-02-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIANE FRENCH
OTHER
0%
2021-08-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE DUKEMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2005-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTINE NICHOLS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DELANIE KRINER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2022-04-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIANE FRENCH
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2019-01-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIANE FRENCH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-06-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEORGE RUMMAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2005-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY MILLER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-03-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KINGSTON HEALTHCARE COMPANY LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-03-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA VAGT
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2017-09-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARI WARBURTON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-03-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL RUMMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2005-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT BAXTER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SARA LOUK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-05-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM NICHOLS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2005-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$697,990
—
—
—
—
4
—
2023-12-31
$596,115
—
—
—
—
5
—
2022-12-31
$545,680
—
$545,680
—
—
5
—
2021-12-31
$553,756
—
$553,756
—
—
5
—
2020-12-31
$536,952
—
$536,952
—
—
5
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 39173
acs median gross
0
$636
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39173
fmr
0
$769
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39173
acs median gross
1
$765
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39173
fmr
1
$820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39173
acs median gross
2
$1,018
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39173
fmr
2
$1,076
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39173
acs median gross
3
$1,196
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39173
fmr
3
$1,380
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39173
acs median gross
4
$1,450
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39173
fmr
4
$1,454
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39173
acs median gross
5
$1,263
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39173
acs median gross
$972
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39173
acs recent mover gross
$1,035
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43551
acs median gross
0
$746
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43551
acs median gross
1
$918
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43551
acs median gross
2
$1,313
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43551
acs median gross
3
$1,407
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43551
acs median gross
4
$1,820
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43551
acs median gross
$1,199
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 43551
acs recent mover gross
$1,476
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 43551
payment standard 110
0
$1,078
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 90
0
$882
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
safmr
0
$980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 110
1
$1,144
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 90
1
$936
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
safmr
1
$1,040
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 110
2
$1,507
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 90
2
$1,233
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
safmr
2
$1,370
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 110
3
$1,936
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 90
3
$1,584
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
safmr
3
$1,760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 110
4
$2,035
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
payment standard 90
4
$1,665
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 43551
safmr
4
$1,850
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.