Reads as: riskier than 38.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.69
3.39
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.22
0.39
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.60
3.26
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.72
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
105.4
3.69
0.22
0.90
2.57
3.60
12.7%
2025Q3
92
109.5
3.62
0.29
0.84
2.49
3.58
17.4%
2025Q2
91
109.0
3.44
0.20
0.90
2.35
3.40
13.9%
2025Q1
90
107.7
3.74
0.22
0.93
2.60
3.71
12.5%
2024Q4
92
107.5
3.63
0.26
0.97
2.40
3.48
11.8%
2024Q3
92
106.3
3.22
0.22
1.01
1.99
3.09
0.0%
2024Q2
91
103.9
3.45
0.25
1.05
2.15
3.21
0.0%
2024Q1
91
107.0
3.27
0.25
0.98
2.04
3.07
0.0%
2023Q4
92
110.4
3.19
0.25
0.82
2.12
3.08
0.0%
2023Q3
92
114.7
3.07
0.20
0.84
2.02
3.01
0.0%
2023Q2
91
110.7
3.17
0.24
0.91
2.02
3.14
9.9%
2023Q1
90
96.8
3.22
0.29
0.87
2.06
3.12
4.8%
2022Q4
92
84.1
3.45
0.38
0.81
2.26
3.34
2.1%
2022Q3
92
95.2
2.75
0.31
0.62
1.82
2.76
0.0%
2022Q2
91
83.9
3.31
0.24
1.01
2.05
2.96
0.0%
2022Q1
90
83.9
3.21
0.38
0.77
2.06
2.94
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
28
B × 2D × 17E × 6F × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-12-09
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
B
2026-01-20
2025-12-09
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
D
2026-01-20
2025-12-09
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2026-01-20
2025-12-09
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2026-01-20
2025-12-09
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2026-01-20
2025-12-09
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-01-20
2025-12-09
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2026-01-20
2025-12-09
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2026-01-20
2024-08-22
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2024-10-05
2024-08-22
Health
F0622
Not transfer or discharge a resident without an adequate reason; and must provide documentation and convey specific information when a resident is transferred or discharged.
D
2024-10-05
2024-08-22
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
B
2024-10-05
2024-08-22
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2024-10-05
2024-08-22
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2024-10-05
2023-05-04
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
E
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
E
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
F
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0638
Assure that each resident’s assessment is updated at least once every 3 months.
F
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
E
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0679
Provide activities to meet all resident's needs.
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0699
Provide care or services that was trauma informed and/or culturally competent.
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
F
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-04
Health
F0926
Have policies on smoking.
D
2023-07-07
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
5
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BEAR MOUNTAIN HEALTHCARE LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2019-11-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN WYNNE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2019-11-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SCOTT ZISKIN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2019-11-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS DOYLE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2019-11-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DARRYL LECOURS
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2019-11-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$362,504
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$406,545
—
—
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$343,449
—
—
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$303,416
—
—
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$347,102
—
—
$26,000
—
2
—
2019-12-31
$14,314
—
—
$2,551
—
4
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
26
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 25013
acs median gross
0
$826
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25013
acs median gross
1
$869
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25013
acs median gross
2
$1,234
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25013
acs median gross
3
$1,408
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25013
acs median gross
4
$1,461
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25013
acs median gross
5
$1,586
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25013
acs median gross
$1,136
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25013
acs recent mover gross
$1,231
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01118
acs median gross
2
$1,127
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01118
acs median gross
3
$1,270
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01118
acs median gross
$1,190
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 01118
payment standard 110
0
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 90
0
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
safmr
0
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 110
1
$1,705
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 90
1
$1,395
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
safmr
1
$1,550
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 110
2
$2,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 90
2
$1,746
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
safmr
2
$1,940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 110
3
$2,618
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 90
3
$2,142
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
safmr
3
$2,380
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 110
4
$2,827
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
payment standard 90
4
$2,313
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01118
safmr
4
$2,570
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.