Reads as: riskier than 31.1% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
15 chains
CIBC BANK USA
155 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
VA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.31
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.30
0.30
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.15
2.96
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.38
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
156.5
3.31
0.30
0.96
2.06
3.15
0.0%
2025Q3
92
155.8
3.36
0.39
0.88
2.09
3.13
2.7%
2025Q2
91
158.5
3.25
0.36
0.84
2.05
3.02
0.9%
2025Q1
90
158.5
3.15
0.37
0.77
2.02
2.91
0.0%
2024Q4
92
160.3
3.27
0.41
0.76
2.11
2.99
0.0%
2024Q3
92
159.7
3.25
0.41
0.73
2.11
2.98
0.0%
2024Q2
91
163.8
3.11
0.40
0.74
1.96
2.78
0.0%
2024Q1
91
166.8
3.08
0.33
0.80
1.96
2.76
0.0%
2023Q4
92
163.2
3.17
0.30
0.83
2.03
2.88
0.0%
2023Q3
92
158.0
3.33
0.37
0.85
2.12
3.12
0.0%
2023Q2
91
161.1
3.18
0.37
0.86
1.95
2.92
0.0%
2023Q1
90
164.2
3.07
0.31
0.92
1.84
2.80
0.0%
2022Q4
92
158.7
3.00
0.31
0.91
1.79
2.65
0.0%
2022Q3
92
154.2
3.04
0.35
0.92
1.77
2.68
0.0%
2022Q2
91
149.5
3.08
0.33
0.94
1.81
2.75
24.9%
2022Q1
90
143.2
2.67
0.28
0.86
1.52
2.50
23.5%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0559
Honor the resident's right to share a room with spouse or roommate of choice and receive written notice before a change is made.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0560
Protect a residents' right to refuse some types of non-requested transfers within the nursing home.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0687
Provide appropriate foot care.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
E
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health · complaint
F0810
Provide special eating equipment and utensils for residents who need them and appropriate assistance.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2025-04-08
2025-02-26
Health
F0909
Regularly inspect all bed frames, mattresses, and bed rails (if any) for safety; and all bed rails and mattresses must attach safely to the bed frame.
E
2025-04-08
2022-12-01
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
E
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0730
Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training.
D
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
E
2022-12-30
2022-12-01
Health
F0885
Report COVID19 data to residents and families.
E
2022-12-30
2021-06-10
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2021-06-24
2021-06-10
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2021-06-24
2021-06-10
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
D
2021-06-24
2021-06-10
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2021-06-24
2021-06-10
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2021-06-24
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
28
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
SHG AUTUMN, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
CIBC BANK USA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-03-31
current
pecos_ownership
CITRIN COOPERMAN ADVISORS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
DECANTED WILLIAM I. WEISBERG FAMILY DYNASTY TRUST (DATED SEPT 30, 2020
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DHARANIKOTA, PADMALATHA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOPKINS, JOSEPH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
LEGETTE, PAMELA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-07-12
current
pecos_ownership
NICOLUZAKIS, GREGORY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
OHL ASSET (VA) MECHANICSVILLE, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER GOVERNANCE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHG AUTUMN, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-10-09
current
pecos_ownership
SHG MANAGEMENT LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHG MT, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-10-09
current
pecos_ownership
VOLPE, BENJAMIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WALKER & ASSOCIATES PC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-10-09
current
pecos_ownership
SABER HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WIW DYNASTY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
67%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN VOLPE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM WEISBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN N. VOLPE FAMILY DYNASTY TRUST (DATED DECEMBER 29, 2020)
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BNV DYNASTY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGORY NICOLUZAKIS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH HOPKINS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2023-05-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PADMALATHA DHARANIKOTA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAMELA LEGETTE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-07-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,371,316
—
—
$1,469,638
$17,086
5
—
2023-12-31
$2,078,602
—
—
$1,267,172
$24,107
5
—
2022-12-31
$1,971,757
—
—
$1,230,940
$28,684
4
—
2021-12-31
$1,832,528
—
—
$1,178,459
$9,785
4
—
2020-12-31
$2,078,756
—
—
$1,175,759
$237,785
4
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 51085
acs median gross
0
$1,820
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51085
fmr
0
$1,442
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51085
acs median gross
1
$977
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51085
fmr
1
$1,507
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51085
acs median gross
2
$1,466
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51085
fmr
2
$1,655
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51085
acs median gross
3
$1,660
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51085
fmr
3
$2,072
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51085
acs median gross
4
$2,217
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51085
fmr
4
$2,553
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 51085
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51085
acs median gross
$1,591
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 51085
acs recent mover gross
$1,776
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23116
acs median gross
2
$1,812
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23116
acs median gross
3
$1,688
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23116
acs median gross
4
$2,486
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23116
acs median gross
$1,962
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 23116
acs recent mover gross
$1,510
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 23116
payment standard 110
0
$2,112
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 90
0
$1,728
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
safmr
0
$1,920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 110
1
$2,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 90
1
$1,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
safmr
1
$2,000
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 110
2
$2,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 90
2
$1,980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
safmr
2
$2,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 110
3
$3,025
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 90
3
$2,475
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
safmr
3
$2,750
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 110
4
$3,729
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
payment standard 90
4
$3,051
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 23116
safmr
4
$3,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.