Reads as: riskier than 21.3% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
2
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
MORRISON MANAGEMENT SPECIALISTS INC
13 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
40% fined
SMITH CHRISTY
5 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.34
3.95
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.78
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.25
3.79
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.38
4.01
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
88.9
4.34
0.78
0.85
2.71
4.25
0.0%
2025Q3
92
78.8
4.63
0.75
0.96
2.92
4.60
0.0%
2025Q2
91
75.9
4.59
0.84
0.95
2.80
4.62
0.0%
2025Q1
90
75.5
4.57
0.90
0.87
2.80
4.38
0.0%
2024Q4
92
68.1
4.74
0.90
0.89
2.94
4.50
0.0%
2024Q3
92
69.0
4.35
0.81
1.06
2.48
4.20
0.0%
2024Q2
91
59.5
4.34
0.82
1.15
2.37
4.29
0.0%
2024Q1
91
57.0
4.50
0.23
0.41
3.85
4.55
0.0%
2023Q4
92
51.0
4.84
0.29
0.58
3.97
4.77
0.0%
2023Q3
92
54.1
4.58
0.31
0.65
3.63
4.37
0.0%
2023Q2
91
61.6
4.28
0.27
0.70
3.31
4.14
0.0%
2023Q1
90
58.4
4.81
0.22
0.82
3.77
4.80
0.0%
2022Q4
92
53.9
5.13
0.23
1.07
3.83
4.99
0.0%
2022Q3
92
52.5
4.60
0.22
1.34
3.04
4.39
0.0%
2022Q2
91
55.0
4.55
0.27
1.32
2.96
4.40
0.0%
2022Q1
90
57.9
4.64
0.24
1.22
3.17
4.63
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2025-02-28
2025-02-06
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-02-28
2025-02-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-02-28
2025-02-06
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
D
2025-02-28
2025-02-06
Health
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
E
2025-02-28
2025-02-06
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
D
2025-02-28
2024-08-28
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-10-01
2023-07-13
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2023-07-31
2023-07-13
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
F
2023-08-01
2023-07-13
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-08-01
2019-08-02
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2019-09-02
2019-08-02
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2019-09-02
2019-08-02
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2019-09-02
2019-08-02
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2019-09-02
2019-08-02
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2019-09-02
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
56
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
MASONIC HOMES OF CALIFORNIA
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2007-10-12
current
pecos_ownership
ANNADURAI, BALA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
BALBIANI, MARIO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
BEAR, JEFFERY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-10-21
current
pecos_ownership
BEZNER, BRIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
CASALOU, ALLAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2008-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CASALOU, ALLAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2008-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHAN, GARRETT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-10-15
current
pecos_ownership
CROSS, CHARLES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-10-15
current
pecos_ownership
CROSS, CHARLES
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
CRUZ, CYNTHIA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-06-08
current
pecos_ownership
DIAZ, ROBERTO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
HATFIELD, ERIC
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-10-20
current
pecos_ownership
HOPKINS, RONALD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-27
current
pecos_ownership
HUNTER, CAROL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-06-06
current
pecos_ownership
HUNTER, CAROL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
INTERFACE REHAB, INC.
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-03-07
current
pecos_ownership
MALOYAN, ARA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
MANTUCCA, SEAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-10-28
current
pecos_ownership
MORRISON MANAGEMENT SPECIALISTS INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-06-18
current
pecos_ownership
MORRISON, SCOTT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-27
current
pecos_ownership
MULDOON, PATRICK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
NEPC, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-09
current
pecos_ownership
PARINAS, MARK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-10-11
current
pecos_ownership
PEARE, GARY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-10-22
current
pecos_ownership
QUIGLEY, TERRY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
RICK, BRUCE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, CHRISTOPHER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, CHRISTOPHER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-27
current
pecos_ownership
TALAUGON ARNIBAL, MARIA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
ALLAN CASALOU
CORPORATE OFFICER
5%
2008-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CAROL HUNTER
CORPORATE OFFICER
5%
2022-06-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ARA MALOYAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2020-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLES CROSS
CORPORATE OFFICER
4%
2021-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERIC HATFIELD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2019-10-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY PEARE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2022-10-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERTO DIAZ
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2021-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN BEZNER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2021-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE RICK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2021-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFERY BEAR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2018-10-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARIO BALBIANI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2021-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK PARINAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2020-10-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICK MULDOON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
4%
2020-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALLAN CASALOU
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2008-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BALA ANNADURAI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-09-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CAROL HUNTER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLES CROSS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTOPHER SMITH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTOPHER SMITH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CYNTHIA CRUZ
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-06-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARRETT CHAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-10-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARIA TALAUGON ARNIBAL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RONALD HOPKINS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SCOTT MORRISON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SEAN MANTUCCA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-10-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TERRY QUIGLEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 06001
acs median gross
0
$1,746
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06001
fmr
0
$2,142
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06001
acs median gross
1
$2,046
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06001
fmr
1
$2,385
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06001
acs median gross
2
$2,552
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06001
fmr
2
$2,912
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06001
acs median gross
3
$3,051
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06001
fmr
3
$3,724
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06001
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06001
fmr
4
$4,413
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06001
acs median gross
5
$3,410
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06001
acs median gross
$2,357
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06001
acs recent mover gross
$2,636
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 94587
acs median gross
0
$2,348
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 94587
acs median gross
1
$2,502
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 94587
acs median gross
2
$2,614
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 94587
acs median gross
3
$3,114
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 94587
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 94587
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 94587
acs median gross
$2,713
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 94587
acs recent mover gross
$2,652
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 94587
payment standard 110
0
$2,618
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 90
0
$2,142
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
safmr
0
$2,380
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 110
1
$2,904
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 90
1
$2,376
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
safmr
1
$2,640
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 110
2
$3,553
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 90
2
$2,907
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
safmr
2
$3,230
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 110
3
$4,543
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 90
3
$3,717
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
safmr
3
$4,130
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 110
4
$5,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
payment standard 90
4
$4,410
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 94587
safmr
4
$4,900
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.