Reads as: riskier than 46.7% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.52
3.39
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.76
0.39
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.23
3.26
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.63
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
115.1
3.52
0.76
0.54
2.22
3.23
0.0%
2025Q3
92
115.3
3.56
0.68
0.58
2.31
3.34
0.0%
2025Q2
91
114.4
3.60
0.72
0.55
2.33
3.32
0.0%
2025Q1
90
117.9
3.54
0.69
0.52
2.32
3.34
0.0%
2024Q4
92
116.6
3.52
0.73
0.50
2.29
3.35
0.0%
2024Q3
92
115.1
3.40
0.64
0.51
2.25
3.20
0.0%
2024Q2
91
108.7
3.49
0.68
0.50
2.30
3.35
0.0%
2024Q1
91
113.5
3.30
0.61
0.53
2.16
3.13
0.0%
2023Q4
92
110.8
3.41
0.67
0.47
2.27
3.32
0.0%
2023Q3
92
107.9
3.35
0.58
0.59
2.18
3.26
0.0%
2023Q2
91
109.2
3.40
0.56
0.64
2.21
3.25
0.0%
2023Q1
90
109.0
3.29
0.56
0.61
2.11
3.16
0.1%
2022Q4
92
105.1
3.20
0.53
0.61
2.06
3.10
0.7%
2022Q3
92
99.3
3.43
0.57
0.64
2.21
3.28
0.0%
2022Q2
91
101.8
3.46
0.62
0.67
2.18
3.26
0.7%
2022Q1
90
102.4
3.54
0.70
0.61
2.23
3.36
1.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
20
D × 18E × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-04-03
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2025-04-25
2025-04-03
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2025-04-25
2025-04-03
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-04-25
2025-04-03
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-04-25
2024-04-18
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-05-08
2024-04-18
Health
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
D
2024-05-08
2024-04-18
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-05-08
2024-04-18
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-05-08
2024-04-18
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2024-05-08
2024-04-18
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-05-08
2023-07-25
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2023-08-25
2023-07-25
Health · complaint
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2023-08-25
2023-07-25
Health · complaint
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2023-08-25
2023-07-25
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-07-07
2023-02-23
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-03-15
2023-02-23
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2023-03-15
2023-02-23
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2023-03-15
2023-02-23
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-03-15
2023-02-23
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-03-15
2023-02-23
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-03-15
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
48
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
LYNN MEDICAL INVESTORS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
LYNN MEDICAL INVESTORS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CIARAMELLA, CARLA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-10
current
pecos_ownership
CIARAMELLA, CARLA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
CROSS, CINDY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-04-21
current
pecos_ownership
DEVELOPERS INVESTMENT COMPANY INC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
1994-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
FLETCHER, TODD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
current
pecos_ownership
HENRY, TERRY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1999-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
LAY, LISA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-02-09
current
pecos_ownership
LAY, LISA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-04-24
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE AFFILIATES II
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE AFFILIATES II
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1994-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA, INC.
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1990-03-28
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA, INC.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-10
current
pecos_ownership
LONG, ZOFIA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2004-03-15
current
pecos_ownership
LUCAS, LARISSA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-10
current
pecos_ownership
LUCAS, LARISSA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
LYNN MEDICAL INVESTORS LTD PTR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
LYNN MEDICAL INVESTORS LTD PTR
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
1990-08-30
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, AUBREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, FORREST
LIMITED PARTNERSHIP INTEREST
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
PRESTON, FORREST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
SEROZYNSKY, NANCY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-11-20
current
pecos_ownership
SWANKER, RICHARD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
SWANKER, RICHARD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
THURMOND, JOAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
ZIEGLER, JAMES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
current
pecos_ownership
LYNN MEDICAL INVESTORS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LYNN MEDICAL INVESTORS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
LYNN MEDICAL INVESTORS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
FORREST PRESTON
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
99%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AUBREY PRESTON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CARLA CIARAMELLA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CARLA CIARAMELLA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CINDY CROSS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1994-04-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FORREST PRESTON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-08-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES ZIEGLER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOAN THURMOND
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2000-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LARISSA LUCAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LARISSA LUCAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA LAY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-02-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA LAY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-04-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NANCY SEROZYNSKY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-11-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD SWANKER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD SWANKER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2011-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TERRY HENRY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
1999-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TODD FLETCHER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZOFIA LONG
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2004-03-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,998,407
$494,555
—
—
—
5
propco
2023-12-31
$1,290,400
$491,137
—
—
—
5
propco
2022-12-31
$1,162,482
$441,290
—
—
—
5
propco
2021-12-31
$267,721
$450,971
—
—
—
5
propco
2020-12-31
$1,416,073
—
—
—
$242,820
5
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
31
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 25009
acs median gross
0
$1,355
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25009
acs median gross
1
$1,383
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25009
acs median gross
2
$1,864
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25009
acs median gross
3
$1,998
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25009
acs median gross
4
$2,198
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25009
acs median gross
5
$2,425
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25009
acs median gross
$1,756
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 25009
acs recent mover gross
$2,174
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01902
acs median gross
0
$1,712
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01902
acs median gross
1
$954
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01902
acs median gross
2
$1,733
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01902
acs median gross
3
$2,140
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01902
acs median gross
4
$2,446
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01902
acs median gross
5
$1,944
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01902
acs median gross
$1,673
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 01902
acs recent mover gross
$2,183
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 01902
payment standard 110
0
$2,244
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 90
0
$1,836
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
safmr
0
$2,040
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 110
1
$2,376
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 90
1
$1,944
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
safmr
1
$2,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 110
2
$2,816
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 90
2
$2,304
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
safmr
2
$2,560
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 110
3
$3,388
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 90
3
$2,772
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
safmr
3
$3,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 110
4
$3,729
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
payment standard 90
4
$3,051
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 01902
safmr
4
$3,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.