Composite
81.5 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 90.8 | 60.6 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 20.95 | in index |
| financial risk | 72.9 | 61.2 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 16.82 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 49.6 | 38.7 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 11.45 | in index |
| staffing risk | 44.7 | 44.7 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 8.60 | in index |
| chow risk | 29.7 | 28.6 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 3.43 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 60.6 | C | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 25.0 | B | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 32.1 | B | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 61.2 | C | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 5.2 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 38.7 | B | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 44.7 | B | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 68.5 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 48.5 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 60.4 | C | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 63.0 | C | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 38.5 | B | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 38.5 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 44.7 | B | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 44.7 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| Chain size (log) | 4.25 | +0.50 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Occupancy | 0.81 | -0.32 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Contract staffing share | 0.02 | -0.07 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chain size (log) | 4.25 | -1.27 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 6.00 | +0.32 | |
| Occupancy | 0.81 | -0.25 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.12 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | 0.29 | +0.11 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | OH median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.37 | 3.24 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.27 | 3.11 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.41 | 3.29 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 80.1 | 3.37 | 0.44 | 0.81 | 2.13 | 3.27 | 1.7% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 91.2 | 3.00 | 0.31 | 0.79 | 1.90 | 2.85 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 92.6 | 3.09 | 0.31 | 0.77 | 2.02 | 2.97 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 90.7 | 2.79 | 0.38 | 0.74 | 1.68 | 2.66 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 85.6 | 3.08 | 0.44 | 0.83 | 1.82 | 2.99 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 86.8 | 2.90 | 0.24 | 0.74 | 1.93 | 2.76 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 84.6 | 3.06 | 0.26 | 0.71 | 2.10 | 2.98 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 81.7 | 3.11 | 0.26 | 0.79 | 2.05 | 2.89 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 83.8 | 3.39 | 0.24 | 0.99 | 2.16 | 2.98 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 83.9 | 3.18 | 0.27 | 0.92 | 1.99 | 2.79 | 2.9% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 83.9 | 2.99 | 0.26 | 0.85 | 1.88 | 2.77 | 11.2% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 75.6 | 2.98 | 0.31 | 0.94 | 1.73 | 2.80 | 7.6% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 77.4 | 2.59 | 0.26 | 0.87 | 1.46 | 2.23 | 1.1% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 79.3 | 2.74 | 0.22 | 0.92 | 1.60 | 2.28 | 0.4% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 83.8 | 2.40 | 0.07 | 0.95 | 1.39 | 2.01 | 0.7% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 82.8 | 2.01 | 0.33 | 0.66 | 1.02 | 2.02 | 0.0% |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Health · complaint | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2026-05-22 |
| 2025-08-07 | Health · complaint | F0607 | Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft. | D | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-08-07 | Health · complaint | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | D | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-08-07 | Health · complaint | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-08-07 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-08-07 | Health · complaint | F0744 | Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with dementia. | E | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0641 | Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0697 | Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | E | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0770 | Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0791 | Provide or obtain dental services for each resident. | D | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0921 | Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public. | E | 2025-03-07 |
| 2025-02-06 | Health | F0926 | Have policies on smoking. | F | 2025-03-07 |
| 2024-05-07 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2024-04-14 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0604 | Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0690 | Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0698 | Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0757 | Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0758 | Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | F | 2023-11-20 |
| 2023-10-19 | Health | F0921 | Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public. | D | 2023-11-20 |
| 2021-09-16 | Health | F0644 | Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed. | D | 2021-12-13 |
| 2021-09-16 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | E | 2021-12-13 |
| 2021-09-16 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2021-12-13 |
| 2021-09-16 | Health | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | F | 2021-12-13 |
| 2021-09-16 | Health | F0756 | Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures. | D | 2021-12-13 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GARCELLANO, MIRIAM | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| GREWELL, JEFFREY | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-04-29 | current | pecos_ownership |
| KHAN, ANIS | CORPORATE OFFICER | — | 2016-02-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| LAUREL HEALTH CARE COMPANY | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2016-02-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| LAUREL HEALTH CARE COMPANY | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-04-02 | current | pecos_ownership |
| QAZI, MOHAMMAD | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2016-02-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STOBB, DAVID | CORPORATE OFFICER | — | 2016-02-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| ANIS KHAN | CORPORATE OFFICER | 100% | 2016-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| DAVID STOBB | CORPORATE OFFICER | 100% | 2016-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| LAUREL ACQUISITION HOLDING CORPORATION | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2016-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| LAUREL HEALTH CARE HOLDINGS, INC. | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2016-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09/26/97 | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2016-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MOHAMMAD QAZI | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | 100% | 2016-02-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JEFFREY GREWELL | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-04-29 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MIRIAM GARCELLANO | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2025-01-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-31 | SAPPHIRE REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER | — | — | — | 113 | SAPPHIRE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | MAJESTIC CARE OF POINT PLACE | — | — | — | 82 | POINT PLACE OH HEALTH & REHAB OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | MAJESTIC CARE OF NEW LEXINGTON | — | — | — | 82 | NEW LEXINGTON OH HEALTH & REHAB OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | Atrium Nursing and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 99 | ATRIUM OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | Inniswood Health and Rehabilitation | — | — | — | 99 | FHS INNISWOOD, INC. |
| 2024-12-31 | COMMUNITY SKILLED HEALTHCARE | — | — | — | 110 | CS OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | MAJESTIC CARE OF PERRYSBURG | — | — | — | 75 | PERRYSBURG OH HEALTH & REHAB OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | GRAFTON OAKS NURSING CENTER | — | — | — | 99 | GO OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-31 | MAJESTIC CARE OF KENT | — | — | — | 74 | KENT OH HEALTH & REHAB OPCO LLC |
| 2024-12-30 | Chardon Woods | — | — | — | 161 | CHARDON WOODS OF JOURNEY LLC |
| 2024-12-16 | The Pavilion at Canal Fulton for Nursing and Rehab | — | — | — | 60 | PAVILION AT CANAL FULTON LLC |
| 2024-12-02 | BENNINGTON GLEN NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER | — | — | — | 79 | FHS BENNINGTON INC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 39083 | acs median gross | 0 | $639 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39083 | fmr | 0 | $824 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39083 | acs median gross | 1 | $758 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39083 | fmr | 1 | $862 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39083 | acs median gross | 2 | $983 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39083 | fmr | 2 | $1,078 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39083 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,064 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39083 | fmr | 3 | $1,408 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39083 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,164 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39083 | fmr | 4 | $1,427 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 39083 | acs median gross | 5 | $970 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 39083 | acs median gross | $950 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 39083 | acs recent mover gross | $1,054 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 43050 | acs median gross | 0 | $595 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43050 | acs median gross | 1 | $769 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43050 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,011 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43050 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,083 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43050 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,250 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 43050 | acs median gross | $967 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 43050 | acs recent mover gross | $1,113 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $891 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $729 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | safmr | 0 | $810 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $957 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $783 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | safmr | 1 | $870 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,177 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $963 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | safmr | 2 | $1,070 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $1,518 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,242 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | safmr | 3 | $1,380 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $1,573 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $1,287 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 43050 | safmr | 4 | $1,430 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |