Reads as: riskier than 22.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
6
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
47 chains
FORVIS MAZARS LLP
251 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
18 chains
PLANTE MORAN PLLC
55 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
CALDWELL JEFFREY
9 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
ELLIS BRIAN
9 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
MILLER ROGER
7 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
MEREDITH WENDY
7 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OH median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.54
3.24
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.33
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.49
3.11
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.56
3.29
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
46.4
3.54
0.33
1.15
2.06
3.49
0.0%
2025Q3
92
47.8
3.62
0.36
1.10
2.15
3.59
0.0%
2025Q2
91
45.6
3.60
0.39
1.09
2.12
3.54
0.0%
2025Q1
90
47.4
3.48
0.38
1.00
2.10
3.42
0.0%
2024Q4
92
48.8
3.57
0.42
0.96
2.19
3.47
0.0%
2024Q3
92
52.9
3.43
0.32
0.96
2.14
3.26
0.0%
2024Q2
91
49.9
3.52
0.39
1.00
2.13
3.39
0.0%
2024Q1
91
50.6
3.63
0.50
1.06
2.07
3.41
0.0%
2023Q4
92
48.4
3.58
0.54
0.92
2.12
3.43
0.0%
2023Q3
92
47.7
3.84
0.52
0.89
2.43
3.75
0.0%
2023Q2
91
50.7
4.23
0.40
1.04
2.79
4.11
0.0%
2023Q1
90
50.4
4.58
0.46
1.00
3.12
4.44
0.0%
2022Q4
92
47.2
4.66
0.44
1.05
3.17
4.41
0.0%
2022Q3
92
45.7
4.44
0.46
1.09
2.89
4.20
0.0%
2022Q2
91
49.4
4.52
0.43
1.33
2.76
4.24
0.0%
2022Q1
90
47.8
4.86
0.43
1.38
3.05
4.82
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
2
C × 1G × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-12-11
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-12-05
2023-12-05
Health · complaint
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2024-01-12
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
68
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BHI RETIREMENT COMMUNITIES INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
AHMAD, SALMAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BHI RETIREMENT COMMUNITIES INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLOOMSTROM, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2012-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
CALDWELL, JEFFREY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
COMBS, RAYVEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
CONCEPT REHAB, INC.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DALTON, DOUGLASS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
DALTON, DOUGLASS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DATTILO, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEARINGER, ROBERT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
DERENSKI, ATASHA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ELLIS, BRIAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
FORVIS MAZARS, LLP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
FRAZEE, KIMBERLEE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JONES, L. DEAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
KELLY, BETH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
KOSELKE, ELIZABETH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
KOSELKE, ELIZABETH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LACY, LAURA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCGOWAN, TIM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
MEREDITH, WENDY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
MILLER, ROGER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
NORMAN, RICHARD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
OAKES, MARGARET
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PLANTE & MORAN PLLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
RICHARDSON, JANE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROBBINS, FRED
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROBBINS, FRED
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
SEIGEL, JANE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, TONYA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TCF NATIONAL BANK
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
TERP, JEFFREY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
ULRICH, MEGAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ULRICH, MEGAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
VOLTZ, AUDREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEIDEMAN II, ROGER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEIDEMAN II, ROGER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
ELIZABETH BOLIN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2000-11-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES FORMAL
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2003-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES STAHL
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2013-01-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KENNETH HUFF
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2005-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROSE DENMAN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2008-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIM MCGOWAN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
0%
2005-06-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BETH KELLY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN ELLIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEXTER COOLEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DONNA MARTSOLF
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY HUFFMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2006-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HARRY KENNERK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES STAHL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JANE RICHARDSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JANE SEIGEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY TERP
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFREY CALDWELL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN BLOOMSTROM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN DATTILO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
L. DEAN JONES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARILYN KREMZAR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MEGAN ULRICH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD NORMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROGER MILLER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROGER WEIDEMAN II
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RONALD BEYMER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2011-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROSS FARNSWORTH
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2009-07-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS DEWEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIM MCGOWAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WENDY MEREDITH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$860,774
—
—
—
—
3
—
2023-12-31
$1,150,231
—
$488,406
—
—
2
—
2022-12-31
$634,645
—
$634,645
—
—
1
—
2022-06-30
$1,514,323
—
$1,514,323
—
—
1
—
2021-06-30
$1,145,444
—
$1,145,444
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 39017
acs median gross
0
$903
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39017
fmr
0
$958
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39017
acs median gross
1
$967
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39017
fmr
1
$1,051
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39017
acs median gross
2
$1,117
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39017
fmr
2
$1,353
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39017
acs median gross
3
$1,290
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39017
fmr
3
$1,785
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39017
acs median gross
4
$1,572
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39017
fmr
4
$1,976
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39017
acs median gross
5
$1,708
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39017
acs median gross
$1,135
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39017
acs recent mover gross
$1,296
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45056
acs median gross
0
$685
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45056
acs median gross
1
$887
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45056
acs median gross
2
$958
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45056
acs median gross
3
$1,173
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45056
acs median gross
4
$1,195
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45056
acs median gross
5
$1,400
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45056
acs median gross
$1,029
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45056
acs recent mover gross
$1,208
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 45056
payment standard 110
0
$1,023
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 90
0
$837
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
safmr
0
$930
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 110
1
$1,133
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 90
1
$927
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
safmr
1
$1,030
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 110
2
$1,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 90
2
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
safmr
2
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 110
3
$1,914
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 90
3
$1,566
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
safmr
3
$1,740
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 110
4
$2,123
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
payment standard 90
4
$1,737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45056
safmr
4
$1,930
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.