Reads as: riskier than 78.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
8
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
MARX DAVID
26 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
MDG REAL ESTATE GLOBAL LIMITED
19 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
WOLFE ERIC
28 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
SHATROV ANZHELIKA
28 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
CHAMBERLAIN MARGARET
28 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
REWA ANGELA
28 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
RUSSELL ROBERT
28 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
PRUITT PAUL
28 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OH median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.89
3.24
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.27
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.72
3.11
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.96
3.29
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
152.4
2.89
0.27
0.80
1.82
2.72
0.0%
2025Q3
92
144.9
3.08
0.26
0.83
1.99
2.96
0.0%
2025Q2
91
144.7
2.83
0.28
0.84
1.71
2.77
0.0%
2025Q1
90
144.6
2.71
0.33
0.70
1.68
2.58
0.0%
2024Q4
92
135.3
2.82
0.35
0.73
1.75
2.75
0.0%
2024Q3
92
135.0
2.79
0.32
0.81
1.67
2.70
0.0%
2024Q2
91
130.1
2.83
0.32
0.92
1.59
2.73
0.0%
2024Q1
91
135.0
2.84
0.34
0.97
1.53
2.81
0.0%
2023Q4
92
128.4
2.91
0.38
0.98
1.55
2.87
0.0%
2023Q3
92
137.7
2.85
0.37
0.96
1.52
2.79
0.0%
2023Q2
91
147.8
2.73
0.36
0.91
1.47
2.72
0.0%
2023Q1
90
150.8
2.87
0.37
0.97
1.53
2.86
0.0%
2022Q4
92
142.5
2.92
0.39
1.04
1.49
2.95
0.0%
2022Q3
92
144.3
3.00
0.39
1.07
1.53
2.94
0.8%
2022Q2
91
141.0
2.79
0.37
0.93
1.50
2.74
1.6%
2022Q1
90
137.4
3.09
0.47
1.09
1.54
2.92
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that nurse aides who have worked more than 4 months, are trained and competent; and nurse aides who have worked less than 4 months are enrolled in appropriate training.
F
2025-10-01
2025-09-04
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-10-01
2025-09-04
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-10-01
2025-09-04
Health · complaint
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
F
2025-10-01
2024-08-15
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-08-28
2024-04-17
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
G
2024-05-16
2024-04-17
Health · complaint
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2024-05-16
2024-04-03
Health
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2024-05-16
2024-04-03
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2024-05-16
2024-04-03
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-05-16
2024-04-03
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2024-05-16
2024-04-03
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2024-05-16
2024-04-03
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2024-05-16
2024-04-03
Health
F0730
Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training.
C
2024-05-08
2024-04-03
Health
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
D
2024-05-16
2024-04-03
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-05-16
2023-10-11
Health · complaint
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2023-09-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2021-07-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2021-07-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2021-07-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
D
2021-07-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2021-07-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2021-07-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
F
2021-07-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
E
2021-07-09
2021-06-14
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
E
2021-07-09
2020-01-30
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2020-02-20
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
26
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
MAJESTIC CARE OF CEDAR VILLAGE HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-04-11
current
pecos_ownership
REALTY CEDAR VILLAGE
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
REALTY CEDAR VILLAGE
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
CEDAR VILLAGE HEALTH PROPERTY HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
CEDAR VILLAGE HEALTH PROPERTY LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
CHAMBERLAIN, MARGARET
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-09-11
current
pecos_ownership
LOUFMAN, ANDREW
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MAJESTIC MANAGEMENT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-10
current
pecos_ownership
MAJESTIC MANAGEMENT LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MARX, DAVID
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MDG REAL ESTATE GLOBAL LIMITED
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
PRUITT, PAUL
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
REWA, ANGELA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-10-23
current
pecos_ownership
RUSSELL, ROBERT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-08
current
pecos_ownership
SHATROV, ANZHELIKA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-02
current
pecos_ownership
WOLFE, ERIC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-09-11
current
pecos_ownership
DAVID MARX
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-04-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
REALTY CEDAR VILLAGE
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-04-11
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ANDREW LOUFMAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANGELA REWA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-10-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANZHELIKA SHATROV
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID MARX
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERIC WOLFE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-09-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARGARET CHAMBERLAIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-09-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAUL PRUITT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT RUSSELL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$3,539,532
$1,710,930
—
—
$723,939
16
propco
2023-12-31
$3,576,100
$1,704,961
—
—
$768,131
11
propco
2022-12-31
$2,311,646
$1,258,107
—
—
$337,310
6
propco
2022-04-10
$871,659
—
$425,373
$446,286
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$3,587,998
—
$1,871,426
$1,716,572
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$2,848,519
—
$1,141,747
$1,706,772
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 39165
acs median gross
0
$1,239
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39165
fmr
0
$958
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39165
acs median gross
1
$1,098
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39165
fmr
1
$1,051
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39165
acs median gross
2
$1,350
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39165
fmr
2
$1,353
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39165
acs median gross
3
$1,556
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39165
fmr
3
$1,785
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39165
acs median gross
4
$2,450
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39165
fmr
4
$1,976
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39165
acs median gross
5
$2,607
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39165
acs median gross
$1,361
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39165
acs recent mover gross
$1,817
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45040
acs median gross
0
$1,476
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45040
acs median gross
1
$1,408
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45040
acs median gross
2
$1,812
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45040
acs median gross
3
$2,014
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45040
acs median gross
4
$2,685
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45040
acs median gross
$1,811
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 45040
acs recent mover gross
$2,133
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 45040
payment standard 110
0
$1,584
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 90
0
$1,296
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
safmr
0
$1,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 110
1
$1,738
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 90
1
$1,422
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
safmr
1
$1,580
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 110
2
$2,233
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 90
2
$1,827
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
safmr
2
$2,030
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 110
3
$2,948
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 90
3
$2,412
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
safmr
3
$2,680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 110
4
$3,256
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
payment standard 90
4
$2,664
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 45040
safmr
4
$2,960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.