Reads as: riskier than 32.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.26
3.15
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.45
0.46
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.88
2.96
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.41
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
40.1
3.26
0.45
0.49
2.32
2.88
23.2%
2025Q3
92
43.4
3.14
0.48
0.52
2.14
2.98
26.2%
2025Q2
91
44.7
3.28
0.42
0.58
2.27
3.16
26.1%
2025Q1
90
44.0
3.33
0.38
0.65
2.30
3.20
27.8%
2024Q4
92
43.4
3.28
0.33
0.70
2.25
3.22
23.5%
2024Q3
92
40.1
3.49
0.40
0.68
2.41
3.30
26.8%
2024Q2
91
40.0
3.90
0.52
0.81
2.57
3.61
31.9%
2024Q1
91
43.3
3.65
0.43
0.81
2.41
3.45
32.3%
2023Q4
92
41.7
3.76
0.50
0.77
2.49
3.53
36.5%
2023Q3
92
42.5
3.76
0.50
0.80
2.46
3.52
29.2%
2023Q2
91
43.3
3.57
0.34
0.82
2.41
3.37
34.2%
2023Q1
90
41.9
3.66
0.27
0.91
2.47
3.44
31.5%
2022Q4
92
40.1
3.76
0.30
0.93
2.53
3.54
36.2%
2022Q3
92
41.2
3.51
0.33
0.78
2.40
3.26
39.9%
2022Q2
91
40.9
3.43
0.33
0.68
2.42
3.20
27.0%
2022Q1
90
40.0
3.20
0.35
0.55
2.31
2.98
18.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2025-09-05
2025-09-04
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-09-05
2024-08-01
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2024-08-22
2024-08-01
Health
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
E
2024-08-22
2024-08-01
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
E
2024-08-22
2024-08-01
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-08-22
2023-11-09
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2023-12-04
2023-11-09
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2023-12-04
2023-11-09
Health
F0836
Ensure the facility is licensed under applicable State and local law and operates and provides services in compliance with all applicable Federal, State, and local laws, regulations, and codes, and with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-12-04
2023-11-09
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
D
2023-12-04
2023-11-09
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-12-19
2023-07-20
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-08-16
2023-07-20
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2023-08-16
2023-07-20
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-08-16
2023-07-20
Health · complaint
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2023-08-16
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
18
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ALT, MELINDA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
ANDERSEN, JESSICA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-08-24
current
pecos_ownership
ANDERSEN, TIMOTHY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEIST, GENELLE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
EDWARDS, JEFFREY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
FROLICH, PATTIE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
JONES, MARK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
NELSEN, KAREN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEDE, SUSAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2010-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
GENELLE DEIST
CORPORATE OFFICER
11%
2018-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY EDWARDS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
11%
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAREN NELSEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
11%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK JONES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
11%
2021-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELINDA ALT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
11%
2021-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATTIE FROLICH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
11%
2020-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUSAN WEDE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
11%
2010-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIMOTHY ANDERSEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
11%
2015-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JESSICA ANDERSEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-08-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 19009
fmr
0
$682
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19009
acs median gross
1
$765
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19009
fmr
1
$838
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19009
acs median gross
2
$629
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19009
fmr
2
$919
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19009
acs median gross
3
$947
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19009
fmr
3
$1,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19009
acs median gross
4
$1,078
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19009
fmr
4
$1,423
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 19009
acs median gross
$759
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 19009
acs recent mover gross
$575
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50025
acs median gross
1
$771
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50025
acs median gross
2
$625
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50025
acs median gross
3
$972
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 50025
acs median gross
$754
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 50025
payment standard 110
0
$748
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 90
0
$612
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
safmr
0
$680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 110
1
$924
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 90
1
$756
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
safmr
1
$840
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 110
2
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 90
2
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
safmr
2
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 110
3
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 90
3
$1,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
safmr
3
$1,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 110
4
$1,562
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
payment standard 90
4
$1,278
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 50025
safmr
4
$1,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.