564 STATE LINE ROAD, COLCORD, OK 74338 · CCN 375386
Composite
19.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
120
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 19.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
11 chains
TWOMAGNETS LLC
45 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OK median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.13
2.78
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.30
0.18
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.78
2.72
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.27
2.80
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
92.3
3.13
0.30
0.55
2.29
2.78
0.0%
2025Q3
92
88.7
3.15
0.36
0.58
2.21
2.74
0.0%
2025Q2
91
91.7
3.40
0.28
0.67
2.44
2.78
0.0%
2025Q1
90
88.6
3.30
0.24
0.76
2.31
2.77
0.0%
2024Q4
92
90.0
3.10
0.11
0.74
2.25
2.81
0.0%
2024Q3
92
82.8
3.26
0.10
0.74
2.42
3.01
0.0%
2024Q2
91
84.3
2.98
0.09
0.71
2.18
2.49
0.0%
2024Q1
91
91.4
2.84
0.09
0.68
2.07
2.60
0.0%
2023Q4
92
85.8
2.85
0.13
0.59
2.13
2.46
0.0%
2023Q3
92
85.2
2.81
0.20
0.50
2.11
2.58
0.0%
2023Q2
91
81.1
2.89
0.22
0.56
2.11
2.77
0.0%
2023Q1
90
74.9
2.77
0.20
0.50
2.07
2.49
0.0%
2022Q4
92
70.3
3.28
0.15
0.62
2.50
2.74
0.0%
2022Q3
92
73.5
3.02
0.15
0.73
2.13
2.86
0.0%
2022Q2
91
73.5
3.27
0.20
0.79
2.28
2.80
0.0%
2022Q1
90
66.3
3.61
0.15
0.89
2.57
3.37
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
19
D × 8E × 10F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-08-23
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
E
2024-09-10
2024-08-23
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2024-09-10
2024-08-23
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-09-10
2024-08-23
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-09-10
2024-08-23
Health
F0727
Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis.
E
2024-09-10
2024-08-23
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2024-09-10
2024-08-23
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2024-09-10
2024-08-23
Health
F0847
Inform resident or representatives choice to enter into binding arbitration agreement and right to refuse.
F
2024-09-10
2024-08-23
Health
F0851
Electronically submit to CMS complete and accurate direct care staffing information, based on payroll and other verifiable and auditable data.
E
2024-09-10
2023-07-19
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
E
2023-09-11
2023-07-19
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
E
2023-09-11
2023-07-19
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2023-09-11
2023-07-19
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-09-11
2023-07-19
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
E
2023-09-11
2023-07-19
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2023-09-11
2020-01-09
Health
F0568
Properly hold, secure, and manage each resident's personal money which is deposited with the nursing home.
E
2020-01-22
2020-01-09
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
E
2020-01-22
2020-01-09
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2020-01-21
2020-01-09
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2020-01-22
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
40
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
QUAIL RIDGE LIVING CENTER INC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
—
current
pecos_ownership
BREASHEARS & FOUST P.C.
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
BREASHEARS & FOUST P.C.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-30
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, KATHY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2010-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
BURRIS GEORGE, AMBER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-01-06
current
pecos_ownership
DECKER, SHERI
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
FIELDS, MELANIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-01-06
current
pecos_ownership
HARRIS, REX
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-08-17
current
pecos_ownership
KNIGHT, CANDACE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-11-16
current
pecos_ownership
LENHART, MADISON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-09-02
current
pecos_ownership
ONSHIFT INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
POINTER KYNES, DEBORAH
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2019-12-30
current
pecos_ownership
POINTER KYNES, DEBORAH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
POINTER, PATRICK
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
POINTER, PATRICK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2009-02-03
current
pecos_ownership
STEIN ANCILLARY SERVICES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
1999-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
STEIN, JAMES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2009-02-03
current
pecos_ownership
STEIN, PAUL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2009-02-03
current
pecos_ownership
TONACK, SANDRA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
TWOMAGNETS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-03-22
current
pecos_ownership
WEAVER, ROBERT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEAVER, RUSSEL
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
WELCH, TAYLOR
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-16
current
pecos_ownership
PATRICK POINTER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
30%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICK POINTER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
30%
2009-02-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEBORAH POINTER KYNES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
16%
2020-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEBORAH POINTER KYNES
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
16%
2019-12-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AMBER BURRIS GEORGE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
15%
2024-01-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELANIE FIELDS
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
15%
2024-01-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES STEIN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2009-02-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAUL STEIN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2009-02-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT WEAVER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
3%
2023-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RUSSEL WEAVER
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
3%
2023-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SANDRA TONACK
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
3%
2023-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHERI DECKER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
3%
2023-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CANDACE KNIGHT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-11-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KATHY BROWN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2010-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MADISON LENHART
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-09-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
REX HARRIS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-08-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TAYLOR WELCH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
32
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 40041
acs median gross
0
$742
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40041
fmr
0
$718
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40041
acs median gross
1
$646
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40041
fmr
1
$722
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40041
acs median gross
2
$902
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40041
fmr
2
$944
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40041
acs median gross
3
$1,076
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40041
fmr
3
$1,191
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40041
acs median gross
4
$1,170
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40041
fmr
4
$1,331
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 40041
acs median gross
$913
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 40041
acs recent mover gross
$935
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74338
acs median gross
1
$771
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74338
acs median gross
2
$630
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74338
acs median gross
3
$949
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74338
acs median gross
4
$806
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 74338
acs median gross
$793
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 74338
payment standard 110
0
$781
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 90
0
$639
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
safmr
0
$710
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 110
1
$792
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 90
1
$648
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
safmr
1
$720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 110
2
$1,034
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 90
2
$846
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
safmr
2
$940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 110
3
$1,298
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 90
3
$1,062
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
safmr
3
$1,180
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 110
4
$1,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
payment standard 90
4
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 74338
safmr
4
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.