Reads as: riskier than 75.1% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+25.1 vs natl
OHIO PENNSYSLVANIA PROPERTY LLC
5 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OH median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.96
3.24
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.22
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.85
3.11
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.00
3.29
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
69.9
2.96
0.22
0.84
1.90
2.85
5.3%
2025Q3
92
70.3
2.77
0.24
0.78
1.76
2.60
5.7%
2025Q2
91
68.3
2.90
0.30
0.82
1.77
2.69
6.4%
2025Q1
90
67.9
2.81
0.20
0.94
1.68
2.77
5.7%
2024Q4
92
67.4
2.64
0.19
0.91
1.55
2.57
3.2%
2024Q3
92
65.5
2.81
0.22
0.86
1.73
2.73
0.8%
2024Q2
91
65.2
3.14
0.21
0.97
1.96
3.01
0.7%
2024Q1
91
67.1
2.78
0.23
0.90
1.65
2.65
0.8%
2023Q4
92
64.8
2.72
0.19
0.84
1.69
2.61
2.9%
2023Q3
92
61.2
2.90
0.22
0.93
1.75
2.85
2.2%
2023Q2
91
60.0
3.27
0.29
0.97
2.00
3.09
5.4%
2023Q1
90
61.5
2.96
0.26
0.88
1.82
2.71
15.3%
2022Q4
92
62.0
2.80
0.15
0.83
1.82
2.68
21.3%
2022Q3
92
65.6
2.67
0.11
0.77
1.79
2.53
25.6%
2022Q2
91
67.9
2.48
0.12
0.72
1.64
2.35
30.0%
2022Q1
90
68.9
2.27
0.14
0.79
1.34
2.24
25.6%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2024-06-19
2024-05-23
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-06-19
2024-05-23
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
G
2024-06-19
2024-05-23
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2024-06-19
2022-05-09
Health
F0567
Honor the resident's right to manage his or her financial affairs.
D
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0568
Properly hold, secure, and manage each resident's personal money which is deposited with the nursing home.
E
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0660
Plan the resident's discharge to meet the resident's goals and needs.
D
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
G
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0791
Provide or obtain dental services for each resident.
D
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
F
2022-06-02
2022-05-09
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2022-06-02
2019-04-04
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2019-05-03
2019-04-04
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2019-05-03
2019-04-04
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2019-05-03
2019-04-04
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2019-05-03
2019-04-04
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
D
2019-05-03
2019-04-04
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
E
2019-05-03
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
26
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
WWBV HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2019-09-30
current
pecos_ownership
CEKANSKI, CYNTHIA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-25
current
pecos_ownership
CITRIN COOPERMAN ADVISORS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2006-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
MEHTA, DHARMESH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
NICOLUZAKIS, GREGORY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
OHIO PENNSYSLVANIA PROPERTY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER GOVERNANCE LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHG BOA LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-11
current
pecos_ownership
SHG MANAGEMENT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHG MT, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-11
current
pecos_ownership
TCF NATIONAL BANK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-07-19
current
pecos_ownership
THOMAS, URSULA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-28
current
pecos_ownership
VOLPE, BENJAMIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHH HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DECANTED WILLIAM I. WEISBERG FAMILY DYNASTY TRUST (DATED SEPT 30, 2020
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
78%
2020-09-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WIW DYNASTY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
67%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN VOLPE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM WEISBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN N. VOLPE FAMILY DYNASTY TRUST (DATED DECEMBER 29, 2020)
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BNV DYNASTY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGORY NICOLUZAKIS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CYNTHIA CEKANSKI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DHARMESH MEHTA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
URSULA THOMAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-10-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$673,601
—
—
$308,311
$113,501
5
—
2023-12-31
$721,944
—
—
$325,427
$72,900
5
—
2022-12-31
$655,519
—
—
$321,175
$1,006
4
—
2021-12-31
$645,761
—
—
$339,792
—
4
—
2020-12-31
$718,174
—
—
$345,877
—
4
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 39035
acs median gross
0
$792
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39035
fmr
0
$933
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39035
acs median gross
1
$859
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39035
fmr
1
$1,058
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39035
acs median gross
2
$1,106
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39035
fmr
2
$1,279
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39035
acs median gross
3
$1,290
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39035
fmr
3
$1,646
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39035
acs median gross
4
$1,442
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39035
fmr
4
$1,760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 39035
acs median gross
5
$1,548
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39035
acs median gross
$1,060
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 39035
acs recent mover gross
$1,218
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 44117
acs median gross
0
$870
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 44117
acs median gross
1
$765
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 44117
acs median gross
2
$970
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 44117
acs median gross
3
$1,360
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 44117
acs median gross
4
$1,363
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 44117
acs median gross
$861
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 44117
acs recent mover gross
$799
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 44117
payment standard 110
0
$869
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 90
0
$711
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
safmr
0
$790
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 110
1
$979
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 90
1
$801
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
safmr
1
$890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 110
2
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 90
2
$972
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
safmr
2
$1,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 110
3
$1,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 90
3
$1,251
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
safmr
3
$1,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 110
4
$1,639
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
payment standard 90
4
$1,341
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 44117
safmr
4
$1,490
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.