Reads as: riskier than 26.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.51
3.95
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.19
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.53
3.79
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.50
4.01
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
70.8
3.51
0.19
1.09
2.23
3.53
0.0%
2025Q3
92
68.7
3.52
0.19
1.10
2.22
3.50
0.0%
2025Q2
91
69.5
3.54
0.26
1.12
2.16
3.55
0.0%
2025Q1
90
69.8
3.45
0.25
1.05
2.15
3.41
0.0%
2024Q4
92
70.2
3.29
0.18
1.20
1.92
3.22
0.0%
2024Q3
92
68.9
3.33
0.16
1.05
2.12
3.29
0.0%
2024Q2
91
67.1
3.36
0.15
1.05
2.16
3.39
0.0%
2024Q1
91
66.7
3.38
0.15
0.99
2.24
3.41
0.0%
2023Q4
92
64.8
3.46
0.14
1.01
2.31
3.50
0.0%
2023Q3
92
66.2
3.49
0.18
1.04
2.27
3.42
0.2%
2023Q2
91
66.5
3.42
0.19
1.21
2.02
3.38
0.0%
2023Q1
90
71.1
3.25
0.20
1.20
1.85
3.13
0.0%
2022Q4
92
66.2
3.54
0.21
1.45
1.89
3.25
0.0%
2022Q3
92
68.6
3.00
0.29
1.22
1.48
2.67
0.0%
2022Q2
91
66.6
3.43
0.48
1.15
1.81
3.04
13.5%
2022Q1
90
62.9
3.71
0.47
1.35
1.89
3.36
15.4%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
20
D × 7E × 12F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-02-20
Health · complaint
F0567
Honor the resident's right to manage his or her financial affairs.
D
2026-03-03
2025-08-14
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2025-09-10
2025-07-30
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-07-31
2025-04-03
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2025-04-25
2024-04-04
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0745
Provide medically-related social services to help each resident achieve the highest possible quality of life.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0791
Provide or obtain dental services for each resident.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0801
Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
E
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-04-28
2024-04-04
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-04-28
2022-04-07
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2022-04-26
2022-04-07
Health
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
D
2022-04-26
2022-04-07
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2022-04-26
2022-04-07
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
D
2022-04-26
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
42
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BOLD QUAIL 3 OPERATIONS HOLDINGS, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2024-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
320 N. CRAWFORD AVE PROP LLC
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
320 NORTH CRAWFORD AVE PROPERTY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
9560 PICO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
9560 PICO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-08-17
current
pecos_ownership
BOLD QUAIL 3 REALTY HOLDINGS, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-17
current
pecos_ownership
BOLD QUAIL 3, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
COLCOL, JOSEPH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-09-09
current
pecos_ownership
GARRISON, JARED
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2009-12-09
current
pecos_ownership
GARRISON, JARED
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2009-12-03
current
pecos_ownership
NEWGEN LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
PICO AR LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-08-17
current
pecos_ownership
PICO AR LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
ROBIN, AARON
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
ROBIN, AARON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHAW, PAMELA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-06-30
current
pecos_ownership
TRESS, AVROHOM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-16
current
pecos_ownership
TRESS, AVROHOM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOLD QUAIL HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
BQ OPERATIONS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
FC-GEN OPERATIONS INVESTMENT LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
GEN OPERATIONS I LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
GEN OPERATIONS II LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HEALTHCARE INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HEALTHCARE LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
GHC JV HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
SUN HEALTHCARE GROUP INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
59%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
AARON ROBIN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2024-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AVROHOM TRESS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2024-08-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEN BQ JV HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
ARNOLD WHITMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
14%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
14%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
STEVEN FISHMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
ZAC PROPERTIES XI LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
SUNDANCE REHABILITATION HOLDCO INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
AARON ROBIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AVROHOM TRESS
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2020-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JARED GARRISON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2009-12-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JARED GARRISON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2009-12-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH COLCOL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-09-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAMELA SHAW
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-06-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$82,919
—
$82,919
—
—
2
propco
2023-12-31
$164,707
—
$164,707
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$1,895,784
—
$607,123
$1,288,661
—
4
—
2021-12-31
$1,053,494
—
$448,534
$604,960
—
3
—
2020-12-31
$902,955
—
$511,667
$391,288
—
4
—
2020-03-31
$386,475
—
$103,267
$299,264
$-24,374
9
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
32
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 06021
acs median gross
0
$675
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06021
fmr
0
$939
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06021
acs median gross
1
$759
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06021
fmr
1
$1,038
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06021
acs median gross
2
$1,124
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06021
fmr
2
$1,362
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06021
acs median gross
3
$1,340
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06021
fmr
3
$1,807
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06021
acs median gross
4
$1,842
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06021
fmr
4
$2,179
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06021
acs median gross
$1,120
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06021
acs recent mover gross
$859
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95988
acs median gross
1
$897
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95988
acs median gross
2
$1,211
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95988
acs median gross
3
$1,581
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95988
acs median gross
$1,284
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95988
acs recent mover gross
$842
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 95988
payment standard 110
0
$1,034
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 90
0
$846
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
safmr
0
$940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 110
1
$1,144
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 90
1
$936
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
safmr
1
$1,040
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 110
2
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 90
2
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
safmr
2
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 110
3
$1,980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 90
3
$1,620
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
safmr
3
$1,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 110
4
$2,398
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
payment standard 90
4
$1,962
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95988
safmr
4
$2,180
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.