Reads as: riskier than 30.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
6
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
BANSAL JAGAN
10 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
BANSAL MANEESH
10 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
RELIANT MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
10 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
44% fined
RMG CAPITAL PARTNERS LLC
9 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
40% fined
ARUNPAL SEHGAL
5 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
40% fined
ASPERSH CAPITAL
5 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
14
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.67
3.95
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.21
0.38
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.67
3.79
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.67
4.01
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
41.1
3.67
0.21
0.95
2.52
3.67
0.0%
2025Q3
92
42.5
3.69
0.19
0.92
2.58
3.68
0.0%
2025Q2
91
40.5
3.93
0.20
1.05
2.68
3.86
0.0%
2025Q1
90
41.9
3.91
0.20
0.97
2.74
3.84
0.0%
2024Q4
92
42.2
3.99
0.20
0.98
2.81
3.88
0.0%
2024Q3
92
38.4
3.80
0.01
1.16
2.64
3.72
0.0%
2024Q2
91
36.6
3.89
0.01
1.20
2.68
3.77
0.0%
2024Q1
91
35.8
3.84
0.01
1.16
2.68
3.82
0.0%
2023Q4
92
37.8
3.70
0.01
1.18
2.51
3.74
0.0%
2023Q3
92
40.0
3.68
0.01
1.13
2.55
3.74
0.0%
2023Q2
91
37.0
3.84
0.06
1.02
2.76
3.84
0.0%
2023Q1
90
36.6
3.89
0.14
1.19
2.57
3.88
0.0%
2022Q4
92
34.8
4.02
0.09
1.31
2.62
4.02
0.0%
2022Q2
91
37.8
4.33
0.26
1.01
3.06
4.05
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
37
B × 3D × 17E × 6F × 9G × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-04-28
Health · complaint
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2026-05-06
2025-12-02
Health · complaint
F0844
Follow rules about disclosure of ownership requirements and tell the state agency about changes in ownership and/or administrative personnel.
D
2025-12-23
2025-05-16
Health
F0577
Allow residents to easily view the nursing home's survey results and communicate with advocate agencies.
F
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
D
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2025-06-13
2025-05-16
Health
F0912
Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms.
B
2025-06-13
2025-04-04
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
G
2025-04-22
2025-04-04
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2025-04-14
2024-05-23
Health
F0577
Allow residents to easily view the nursing home's survey results and communicate with advocate agencies.
F
2024-06-20
2024-05-23
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2024-06-20
2024-05-23
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2024-06-20
2024-05-23
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-06-20
2024-05-23
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2024-06-20
2024-05-23
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-06-20
2024-05-23
Health
F0912
Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms.
B
2024-06-20
2024-01-29
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2024-03-04
2019-06-07
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
E
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0685
Assist a resident in gaining access to vision and hearing services.
D
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0790
Provide routine and 24-hour emergency dental care for each resident.
D
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0810
Provide special eating equipment and utensils for residents who need them and appropriate assistance.
D
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0838
Conduct and document a facility-wide assessment to determine what resources are necessary to care for residents competently during both day-to-day operations (including nights and weekends) and emergencies.
F
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
F
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0912
Provide rooms that are at least 80 square feet per resident in multiple rooms and 100 square feet for single resident rooms.
B
2019-07-26
2019-06-07
Health
F0914
Provide bedrooms that don't allow residents to see each other when privacy is needed.
D
2019-07-26
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
25
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
APRIORI HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
APRIORI HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ARUNPAL SEHGAL
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ARUNPAL SEHGAL
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ASPERSH CAPITAL
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ASPERSH CAPITAL
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BEAR84 ENTERPRISES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BEAR84 ENTERPRISES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
OBSIDIAN CAPTIAL HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
OBSIDIAN CAPTIAL HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
RMG CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2019-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BANSAL, JAGAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2023-04-17
current
pecos_ownership
BANSAL, MANEESH
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2023-04-17
current
pecos_ownership
BANSAL, JAGAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-03-30
current
pecos_ownership
BANSAL, MANEESH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-03-30
current
pecos_ownership
RELIANT MANAGEMENT GROUP, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
APRIORI HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ARUNPAL SEHGAL
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ASPERSH CAPITAL
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
BEAR84 ENTERPRISES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
MANEESH BANSAL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
100%
2015-03-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
OBSIDIAN CAPTIAL HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
JAGAN BANSAL
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2023-04-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAGAN BANSAL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2015-03-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MANEESH BANSAL
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2023-04-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$312,215
—
—
—
—
6
propco
2023-12-31
$196,437
—
—
—
—
6
propco
2022-12-31
$156,660
—
$156,660
—
—
6
propco
2021-12-31
$201,100
—
$201,100
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$312,460
—
$312,460
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 06099
acs median gross
0
$1,042
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06099
fmr
0
$1,255
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06099
acs median gross
1
$1,167
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06099
fmr
1
$1,356
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06099
acs median gross
2
$1,554
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06099
fmr
2
$1,758
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06099
acs median gross
3
$1,802
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06099
fmr
3
$2,442
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06099
acs median gross
4
$2,192
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06099
fmr
4
$2,823
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 06099
acs median gross
5
$2,674
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06099
acs median gross
$1,623
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 06099
acs recent mover gross
$1,834
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95307
acs median gross
0
$1,082
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95307
acs median gross
1
$695
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95307
acs median gross
2
$1,409
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95307
acs median gross
3
$1,714
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95307
acs median gross
4
$2,213
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95307
acs median gross
5
$1,735
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95307
acs median gross
$1,487
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 95307
acs recent mover gross
$1,931
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 95307
payment standard 110
0
$1,386
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 90
0
$1,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
safmr
0
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 110
1
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 90
1
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
safmr
1
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 110
2
$1,936
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 90
2
$1,584
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
safmr
2
$1,760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 110
3
$2,684
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 90
3
$2,196
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
safmr
3
$2,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 110
4
$3,113
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
payment standard 90
4
$2,547
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 95307
safmr
4
$2,830
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.