Reads as: riskier than 48.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
5
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
DWIGHT MORTGAGE TRUST LLC
12 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
55% fined
BELL KEVIN
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
KCCJ1 HOLDINGS LLC
8 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
50% fined
LBEI HOLDINGS LLC
8 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
44% fined
CAMPION ROBERT
9 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
TX median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.32
2.67
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.77
0.24
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.23
2.56
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.36
2.72
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
37.1
4.32
0.77
1.68
1.88
4.23
0.0%
2025Q3
92
34.8
4.29
0.84
1.55
1.89
4.21
0.0%
2025Q2
91
37.4
4.34
0.90
1.52
1.93
4.05
3.0%
2025Q1
90
42.2
4.32
0.72
1.79
1.82
4.12
6.9%
2024Q4
92
43.8
2.99
0.47
1.26
1.26
2.96
14.1%
2024Q3
92
45.4
3.92
0.97
1.21
1.74
3.64
0.0%
2024Q2
91
42.3
4.16
1.10
1.30
1.76
3.86
0.0%
2024Q1
91
47.8
3.41
1.22
0.74
1.45
3.16
0.0%
2023Q4
92
44.0
3.62
1.33
0.74
1.54
3.62
0.0%
2023Q3
92
44.4
3.78
1.32
0.91
1.56
3.68
0.0%
2023Q2
91
43.2
3.69
1.21
0.83
1.65
3.59
0.0%
2023Q1
90
43.0
4.62
1.42
1.26
1.94
4.51
7.3%
2022Q4
92
41.9
4.50
0.84
1.57
2.10
4.31
18.9%
2022Q3
92
35.3
4.14
0.50
1.81
1.82
4.11
20.0%
2022Q2
91
40.6
3.85
0.54
1.67
1.65
3.80
31.4%
2022Q1
90
40.7
3.67
0.57
1.53
1.57
3.70
16.6%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-05-16
2025-04-09
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
K
2025-04-10
2025-04-09
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
K
2025-04-10
2024-11-22
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2024-11-23
2024-07-03
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
K
2024-07-04
2024-07-03
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
K
2024-07-04
2024-03-22
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-04-12
2024-03-22
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-04-12
2024-03-22
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-04-12
2023-02-15
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2023-02-17
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
36
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BEHNAM, SOROUSH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
BELL, KEVIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
BGAF HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-05-25
current
pecos_ownership
CAMPION, ROBERT
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
DIXON, JEANETTE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
DWIGHT MORTGAGE TRUST LLC
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
FRASER, SIOBAUGHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOTTESMAN, AVA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOTTESMAN, BORUCH
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-05-25
current
pecos_ownership
GOTTESMAN, ELI
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-05-25
current
pecos_ownership
GOTTESMAN, HELENE
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-05-25
current
pecos_ownership
GOTTESMAN, TALIA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-05-25
current
pecos_ownership
GOTTESMAN, YAFFA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-05-25
current
pecos_ownership
GOTTESMAN, ZIPORA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-05-25
current
pecos_ownership
KCCJ1 HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
LBEI HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
MUNISWAMY, HARISH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-08-18
current
pecos_ownership
PH OPS OF ARLINGTON LLC
—
—
2026-07-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
PH OPS OF ARLINGTON LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
TEXAS HEALTH ARLINGTON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2001-01-23
current
pecos_ownership
TX ACT OP HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-05-19
current
pecos_ownership
WADDELL, SARA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-10-13
current
pecos_ownership
ROBERT CAMPION
CORPORATE OFFICER
50%
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KEVIN BELL
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
11%
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AVA GOTTESMAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BORUCH GOTTESMAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2022-05-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELI GOTTESMAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2022-05-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HELENE GOTTESMAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2022-05-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TALIA GOTTESMAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2022-05-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YAFFA GOTTESMAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2022-05-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZIPORA GOTTESMAN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2022-05-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HARISH MUNISWAMY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-08-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEANETTE DIXON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SARA WADDELL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-10-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SIOBAUGHN FRASER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SOROUSH BEHNAM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
3
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2022-06-30
$155,610
—
—
—
—
2
—
2021-12-31
$311,220
—
—
—
—
2
—
2020-12-31
$316,371
—
—
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 48439
acs median gross
0
$1,316
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48439
fmr
0
$1,427
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48439
acs median gross
1
$1,287
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48439
fmr
1
$1,473
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48439
acs median gross
2
$1,576
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48439
fmr
2
$1,723
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48439
acs median gross
3
$1,885
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48439
fmr
3
$2,273
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48439
acs median gross
4
$2,359
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48439
fmr
4
$2,815
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48439
acs median gross
5
$2,682
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48439
acs median gross
$1,547
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48439
acs recent mover gross
$1,700
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76012
acs median gross
0
$928
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76012
acs median gross
1
$1,084
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76012
acs median gross
2
$1,414
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76012
acs median gross
3
$1,722
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76012
acs median gross
4
$2,244
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76012
acs median gross
$1,442
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76012
acs recent mover gross
$1,667
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 76012
payment standard 110
0
$1,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 90
0
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
safmr
0
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 110
1
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 90
1
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
safmr
1
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 110
2
$1,749
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 90
2
$1,431
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
safmr
2
$1,590
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 110
3
$2,310
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 90
3
$1,890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
safmr
3
$2,100
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 110
4
$2,860
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
payment standard 90
4
$2,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76012
safmr
4
$2,600
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.