Reads as: riskier than 77.1% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
5
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.4 vs natl
CASTANEDA EDMUNDO
36 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+25.5 vs natl
DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
37 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
FORMAN MURRAY
20 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
37 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
44% fined
CASTANEDA EDMUNDO
36 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
TX median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.68
2.67
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.31
0.24
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.58
2.56
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.72
2.72
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
79.6
2.68
0.31
0.66
1.71
2.58
7.8%
2025Q3
92
74.8
2.44
0.31
0.56
1.57
2.17
2.9%
2025Q2
91
78.2
2.57
0.31
0.61
1.65
2.30
2.6%
2025Q1
90
79.0
2.57
0.37
0.53
1.68
2.39
1.9%
2024Q4
92
79.2
2.48
0.40
0.52
1.57
2.29
1.6%
2024Q3
92
71.8
2.41
0.37
0.49
1.54
2.22
3.5%
2024Q2
91
69.3
2.45
0.36
0.43
1.66
2.35
17.6%
2024Q1
91
68.0
2.42
0.50
0.33
1.59
2.27
8.2%
2023Q4
92
74.5
2.63
0.41
0.40
1.81
2.45
19.3%
2023Q3
92
74.1
2.49
0.32
0.44
1.73
2.25
14.1%
2023Q2
91
68.0
2.53
0.30
0.53
1.69
2.39
16.8%
2023Q1
90
69.2
2.04
0.29
0.54
1.21
1.91
21.2%
2022Q4
92
62.4
2.40
0.38
0.48
1.53
2.14
20.4%
2022Q3
92
65.7
2.56
0.30
0.65
1.62
2.35
18.2%
2022Q2
91
68.1
2.43
0.29
0.65
1.48
2.22
21.0%
2022Q1
90
64.8
2.36
0.39
0.94
1.03
2.12
18.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
13
D × 4E × 6F × 1J × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-01-08
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-01-12
2026-01-08
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2026-01-12
2024-10-02
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2024-10-07
2024-10-02
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-10-07
2024-10-02
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-10-07
2024-10-02
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-10-07
2024-10-02
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
E
2024-10-07
2023-09-13
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2023-09-16
2023-09-13
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2023-09-16
2023-08-16
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2023-08-17
2023-06-16
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-06-17
2023-06-16
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
J
2023-06-17
2023-06-16
Health · complaint
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
J
2023-06-17
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
22
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ANDUJO, JAMIE
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
BENEVIDES, RUI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
CASTANEDA, EDMUNDO
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
—
—
2025-06-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
DIPALMA, JAMIE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
FORMAN, MURRAY
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
FULCHINO, MARK
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
HENRY, MELANIE
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
IRVING LONG TERM CARE LLC
—
—
2025-06-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
IRVING LONG TERM CARE LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
PARKER, BRANDON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
PARKER, BROOKE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
PARKER, LARRY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
STOREY HEALTH REALTY, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
TABLER, KENNETH
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
BRANDON PARKER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BROOKE PARKER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EDMUNDO CASTANEDA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMIE DIPALMA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LARRY PARKER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RUI BENEVIDES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
2
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2022-05-31
$349,287
—
—
—
$55,837
1
—
2021-05-31
$393,090
—
—
—
$60,070
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 48113
acs median gross
0
$1,385
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48113
fmr
0
$1,582
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48113
acs median gross
1
$1,400
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48113
fmr
1
$1,648
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48113
acs median gross
2
$1,638
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48113
fmr
2
$1,931
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48113
acs median gross
3
$1,823
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48113
fmr
3
$2,431
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48113
acs median gross
4
$2,241
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48113
fmr
4
$3,091
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48113
acs median gross
5
$2,432
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48113
acs median gross
$1,565
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48113
acs recent mover gross
$1,745
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75038
acs median gross
0
$1,293
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75038
acs median gross
1
$1,358
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75038
acs median gross
2
$1,749
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75038
acs median gross
3
$1,511
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75038
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75038
acs median gross
$1,506
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 75038
acs recent mover gross
$1,617
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 75038
payment standard 110
0
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 90
0
$1,539
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
safmr
0
$1,710
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 110
1
$1,958
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 90
1
$1,602
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
safmr
1
$1,780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 110
2
$2,299
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 90
2
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
safmr
2
$2,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 110
3
$2,893
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 90
3
$2,367
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
safmr
3
$2,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 110
4
$3,685
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
payment standard 90
4
$3,015
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 75038
safmr
4
$3,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.