3915 GOLDEN VALLEY ROAD, GOLDEN VALLEY, MN 55422 · CCN 245519
Composite
15.0 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
56
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 15.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MN median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
7.37
3.49
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
2.75
0.65
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
7.27
3.32
3.11
—
Weekday total
7.41
3.59
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
39.6
7.37
2.75
0.12
4.50
7.27
3.7%
2025Q3
92
41.1
7.28
2.69
0.09
4.50
6.93
0.6%
2025Q2
91
37.0
8.24
3.10
0.13
5.02
7.77
0.4%
2025Q1
90
37.3
7.83
3.08
0.09
4.66
7.56
0.0%
2024Q4
92
33.0
8.69
3.53
0.15
5.01
8.33
0.0%
2024Q3
92
34.6
8.06
3.52
0.12
4.42
7.52
0.0%
2024Q2
91
33.2
8.08
3.52
0.18
4.38
7.36
0.0%
2024Q1
91
34.8
7.49
3.14
0.20
4.14
7.06
0.0%
2023Q4
92
34.1
7.92
3.21
0.21
4.50
7.57
22.5%
2023Q3
92
37.3
7.95
2.91
0.13
4.92
7.37
31.2%
2023Q2
91
39.0
7.99
2.82
0.28
4.89
7.34
34.8%
2023Q1
90
38.9
8.08
3.03
0.18
4.88
7.57
38.2%
2022Q4
92
39.0
8.12
3.17
0.24
4.71
7.61
33.0%
2022Q3
92
41.1
8.14
3.02
0.24
4.88
7.58
31.5%
2022Q2
91
37.4
8.32
3.22
0.10
5.00
7.63
36.8%
2022Q1
90
33.9
8.78
3.48
0.05
5.25
8.23
27.7%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
12
C × 3D × 7F × 1J × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-04-13
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2026-05-11
2026-04-13
Health · complaint
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
D
2026-05-11
2026-04-13
Health · complaint
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2026-05-11
2026-04-13
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2026-05-11
2026-04-13
Health · complaint
F0846
Have policies and procedures ensuring the administrator's responsibilities for facility closure are completed successfully.
C
2026-05-11
2026-04-13
Health · complaint
F0909
Regularly inspect all bed frames, mattresses, and bed rails (if any) for safety; and all bed rails and mattresses must attach safely to the bed frame.
D
2026-05-11
2025-12-10
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2026-01-12
2025-05-22
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2025-07-01
2023-12-14
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-01-19
2023-12-14
Health · complaint
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2024-01-19
2023-12-14
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-01-19
2023-12-14
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
C
2024-01-19
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
65
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ALLINA HEALTH SYSTEM
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2013-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ALSTAD, JENNIFER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-06-10
current
pecos_ownership
BAKER, CHANDA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-02-20
current
pecos_ownership
BALLARD, SHARI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
BORGSTROM, MARNA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-06-13
current
pecos_ownership
CHURCH, JOHN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-09-09
current
pecos_ownership
ESTES, MELINDA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-06-13
current
pecos_ownership
GILLUND, LAURA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-06-10
current
pecos_ownership
HANG, MAYKAO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
JOOS, DAVID
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-03-15
current
pecos_ownership
KING, LOUIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
KOLAR, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-09-13
current
pecos_ownership
LINDIG, MARCIA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
LINDIG, MARCIA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-10
current
pecos_ownership
LOWE, CHALLIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-08
current
pecos_ownership
MCGRANE, BRIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-06-14
current
pecos_ownership
NEWCOME, ROGER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-10-11
current
pecos_ownership
O'LAUGHLIN, DANIEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
RASMUSEN, VICKI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
RONNEBERG, AMY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
SCHIRMERS, PATRICIA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
SCHONEMAN, DEBBRA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-06-13
current
pecos_ownership
SCHREIER, THOMAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-03-12
current
pecos_ownership
SHANNON, LISA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
STREET, HEIDI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-26
current
pecos_ownership
STREET, HEIDI
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2013-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
STREET, HEIDI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
TALLARICO, DOMINICA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-03-11
current
pecos_ownership
ULREICH, SHAWN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-09-13
current
pecos_ownership
WELSH, TIMOTHY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
WILLIAMS-BRINKLEY, RUTH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-09-13
current
pecos_ownership
WILLIAMS, BARBARA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-06-10
current
pecos_ownership
JAMES KOLAR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2024-09-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARNA BORGSTROM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2025-06-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELINDA ESTES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2025-06-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AMY RONNEBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARBARA WILLIAMS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-06-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN MCGRANE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-06-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHALLIS LOWE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-06-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHANDA BAKER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-02-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DANIEL O'LAUGHLIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DARRELL TUKUA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-09-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID JOOS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-03-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID KUPLIC
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-06-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEBBRA SCHONEMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-06-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOMINICA TALLARICO
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-03-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HEIDI STREET
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HEIDI STREET
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2013-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HEIDI STREET
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2013-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JENNIFER ALSTAD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2016-06-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN CHURCH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-09-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAURA GILLUND
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2015-06-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA SHANNON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LOUIS KING
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-06-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARCIA LINDIG
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARCIA LINDIG
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MAYKAO HANG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICIA SCHIRMERS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROGER NEWCOME
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-10-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RUTH WILLIAMS-BRINKLEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-09-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHARI BALLARD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHAWN ULREICH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-09-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS SCHREIER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-03-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIMOTHY WELSH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VICKI RASMUSEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2021-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 27053
acs median gross
0
$1,141
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27053
fmr
0
$1,242
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27053
acs median gross
1
$1,293
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27053
fmr
1
$1,405
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27053
acs median gross
2
$1,677
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27053
fmr
2
$1,709
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27053
acs median gross
3
$1,963
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27053
fmr
3
$2,262
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27053
acs median gross
4
$2,216
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27053
fmr
4
$2,531
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27053
acs median gross
5
$1,999
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27053
acs median gross
$1,487
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27053
acs recent mover gross
$1,628
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 55422
acs median gross
1
$1,359
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 55422
acs median gross
2
$1,588
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 55422
acs median gross
3
$2,241
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 55422
acs median gross
4
$2,564
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 55422
acs median gross
$1,655
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 55422
acs recent mover gross
$1,930
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 55422
payment standard 110
0
$1,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 90
0
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
safmr
0
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 110
1
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 90
1
$1,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
safmr
1
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 110
2
$2,002
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 90
2
$1,638
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
safmr
2
$1,820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 110
3
$2,651
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 90
3
$2,169
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
safmr
3
$2,410
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 110
4
$2,970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
payment standard 90
4
$2,430
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 55422
safmr
4
$2,700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.