3838 E SOUTHCROSS BLVD, SAN ANTONIO, TX 78222 · CCN 676250 · chain THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
Composite
63.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
124
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 63.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
8
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+30.1 vs natl
AZIZ WESAM
8 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.8 vs natl
ASHTON ANDREW
6 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
18 chains
ENSIGN SERVICES INC
286 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
17 chains
KEETCH CHAD
283 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
17 chains
BURNAM SOON
335 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
12 chains
THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
123 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
11 chains
STANDARD BEARER HEALTHCARE OP LP
83 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
AZIZ WESAM
6 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
TX median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.69
2.67
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.27
0.24
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.41
2.56
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.79
2.72
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
100.9
2.69
0.27
0.80
1.61
2.41
0.0%
2025Q3
92
101.3
2.75
0.28
0.82
1.66
2.54
0.0%
2025Q2
91
101.5
2.86
0.32
0.77
1.78
2.59
0.0%
2025Q1
90
104.8
2.73
0.29
0.72
1.72
2.56
0.0%
2024Q4
92
105.4
2.77
0.25
0.87
1.64
2.54
0.0%
2024Q3
92
98.4
2.76
0.30
0.79
1.67
2.71
0.0%
2024Q2
91
92.9
2.62
0.26
0.83
1.52
2.66
0.0%
2024Q1
91
96.8
2.49
0.24
0.77
1.47
2.32
0.0%
2023Q4
92
92.0
2.48
0.20
0.76
1.52
2.45
0.0%
2023Q3
92
88.3
2.62
0.21
0.75
1.65
2.73
5.4%
2023Q2
91
90.8
2.70
0.18
0.80
1.72
2.71
6.3%
2023Q1
90
98.6
2.49
0.17
0.82
1.50
2.40
3.6%
2022Q4
92
92.7
2.67
0.15
0.92
1.60
2.65
6.2%
2022Q3
92
95.3
2.60
0.18
0.82
1.61
2.53
14.0%
2022Q2
91
81.7
2.68
0.23
0.81
1.64
2.69
1.3%
2022Q1
90
81.4
3.06
0.19
1.04
1.83
2.92
0.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
25
C × 1D × 16E × 6F × 1J × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-04-29
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
E
2026-04-30
2026-04-29
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
E
2026-04-30
2026-01-30
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2026-02-03
2026-01-30
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2026-02-03
2026-01-30
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2026-02-03
2026-01-30
Health
F0813
Have a policy regarding use and storage of foods brought to residents by family and other visitors.
D
2026-02-03
2025-11-24
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2025-11-25
2025-07-07
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2025-07-07
2025-05-09
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
E
2025-06-04
2025-05-09
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-06-04
2025-02-15
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-03-07
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-11-22
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2024-11-22
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2024-11-22
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2024-11-22
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2024-11-22
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
C
2024-11-22
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0837
Establish a governing body that is legally responsible for establishing and implementing policies for managing and operating the facility and appoints a properly licensed administrator responsible for managing the facility.
F
2024-11-22
2024-10-31
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
E
2024-11-22
2024-10-31
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-11-22
2023-09-15
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2023-09-22
2023-09-15
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2023-09-22
2023-09-15
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
E
2023-09-22
2023-09-15
Health
F0770
Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents.
D
2023-09-22
2023-09-15
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-09-22
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
48
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ABBOTT, SWATI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
AGWUNOBI, JOHN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ASHTON, ANDREW
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-08-19
current
pecos_ownership
AZIZ, WESAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-14
current
pecos_ownership
AZIZ, WESAM
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-10-09
current
pecos_ownership
BLOUIN, ANN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2018-11-28
current
pecos_ownership
BURNAM, SOON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-08-19
current
pecos_ownership
BURTON, SPENCER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2015-05-30
current
pecos_ownership
CALAVARAS CREEK HEALTHCARE LLC
—
—
2023-11-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
CHRISTENSEN, CHRISTOPHER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
ENSIGN SERVICES INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2019-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
KEETCH, CHAD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
OLMSTEAD HEALTH HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
OLMSTEAD HEALTH HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
OLMSTEAD HEALTH HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PARKINSON, MARK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
PORT, BARRY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHAW, DAREN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2012-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, BARRY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNAPPER, SUZANNE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
STANDARD BEARER HEALTHCARE OP, LP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WINTERS, TESHA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-14
current
pecos_ownership
WINTERS, TESHA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
WITTEKIND, BEVERLY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2008-09-29
current
pecos_ownership
KEYSTONE CARE LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2019-08-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2019-08-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANDREW ASHTON
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2019-08-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANN BLOUIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2018-11-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARRY PORT
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2019-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARRY SMITH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2014-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BEVERLY WITTEKIND
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2008-09-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHAD KEETCH
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2019-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHRISTOPHER CHRISTENSEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2014-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAREN SHAW
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2012-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN AGWUNOBI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK PARKINSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SOON BURNAM
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2019-08-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SPENCER BURTON
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2015-05-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUZANNE SNAPPER
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SWATI ABBOTT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
OLMSTEAD HEALTH HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
OLMSTEAD HEALTH HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
OLMSTEAD HEALTH HOLDINGS LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2019-11-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
TESHA WINTERS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TESHA WINTERS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2019-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WESAM AZIZ
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WESAM AZIZ
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-10-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,627,213
—
$941,064
—
—
4
propco
2023-12-31
$1,427,526
—
$809,594
—
—
4
propco
2022-12-31
$1,327,658
—
$834,609
—
—
4
propco
2021-12-31
$1,227,504
—
$695,061
—
—
4
propco
2020-12-31
$1,084,754
—
$568,857
—
—
4
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 48029
acs median gross
0
$1,088
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48029
fmr
0
$1,077
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48029
acs median gross
1
$1,145
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48029
fmr
1
$1,177
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48029
acs median gross
2
$1,389
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48029
fmr
2
$1,426
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48029
acs median gross
3
$1,668
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48029
fmr
3
$1,830
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48029
acs median gross
4
$1,909
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48029
fmr
4
$2,132
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48029
acs median gross
5
$2,324
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48029
acs median gross
$1,354
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48029
acs recent mover gross
$1,427
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 78222
acs median gross
0
$864
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 78222
acs median gross
1
$835
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 78222
acs median gross
2
$1,098
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 78222
acs median gross
3
$1,719
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 78222
acs median gross
4
$1,671
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 78222
acs median gross
$1,205
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 78222
acs recent mover gross
$1,059
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 78222
payment standard 110
0
$1,155
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 90
0
$945
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
safmr
0
$1,050
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 110
1
$1,265
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 90
1
$1,035
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
safmr
1
$1,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 110
2
$1,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 90
2
$1,251
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
safmr
2
$1,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 110
3
$1,958
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 90
3
$1,602
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
safmr
3
$1,780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 110
4
$2,288
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
payment standard 90
4
$1,872
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 78222
safmr
4
$2,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.