Reads as: riskier than 62.7% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
25
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.5 vs natl
STRACK JOE
37 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.5 vs natl
BOWERS SEAN
37 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.5 vs natl
HARDIN SHERRIE
37 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.5 vs natl
KORENEK PATRICIA
37 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.5 vs natl
SOECHTING PAUL
37 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.6 vs natl
WILLIG ZACHARY
82 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.6 vs natl
CISNEROS ALFRED
40 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.6 vs natl
KERZEE RICHARD
40 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+24.0 vs natl
COBB TRAVIS
39 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.7 vs natl
THOMPSON JOHNNY
74 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.5 vs natl
HUGGINS LINDA
139 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.4 vs natl
BLAKE GARY
137 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.4 vs natl
BLAKE MALISA
137 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.2 vs natl
COOPER STEPHEN
43 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.1 vs natl
WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
19 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
15 chains
WILLIG ZACHARY
81 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
BLAKE GARY
137 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
HUGGINS LINDA
139 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
13 chains
BLAKE MALISA
137 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
49% fined
BLAKE GARY
137 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
49% fined
BLAKE MALISA
137 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
48% fined
HUGGINS LINDA
139 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
48% fined
WILLIG ZACHARY
82 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
45% fined
THOMPSON JOHNNY
74 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
42% fined
WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
19 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
TX median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.54
2.67
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.43
0.24
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.35
2.56
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.62
2.72
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
55.9
2.54
0.43
0.79
1.32
2.35
0.0%
2025Q3
92
54.8
2.43
0.42
0.84
1.17
2.30
0.0%
2025Q2
91
53.1
2.45
0.34
0.84
1.27
2.38
0.0%
2025Q1
90
55.6
2.24
0.35
0.80
1.09
2.23
0.0%
2024Q4
92
61.5
2.20
0.28
0.81
1.12
2.15
0.0%
2024Q3
92
58.7
1.95
0.38
0.71
0.86
1.83
0.0%
2024Q2
91
54.5
1.97
0.31
0.90
0.76
1.89
0.0%
2024Q1
91
53.7
2.21
0.21
1.02
0.99
2.07
0.0%
2023Q4
92
56.7
2.13
0.20
0.90
1.02
2.06
0.0%
2023Q3
92
58.3
2.45
0.27
0.82
1.36
2.23
0.0%
2023Q2
91
56.4
2.39
0.31
0.83
1.25
2.19
0.0%
2023Q1
90
60.7
2.52
0.28
0.86
1.38
2.41
2.9%
2022Q4
92
63.6
2.33
0.20
0.85
1.28
2.23
4.1%
2022Q3
92
63.8
2.61
0.21
0.89
1.50
2.54
5.0%
2022Q2
91
61.4
2.55
0.24
0.84
1.47
2.36
10.6%
2022Q1
90
58.5
2.44
0.27
0.81
1.36
2.37
2.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
15
D × 9E × 6
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-01-08
Health · complaint
F0728
Ensure that nurse aides who have worked more than 4 months, are trained and competent; and nurse aides who have worked less than 4 months are enrolled in appropriate training.
E
2026-01-08
2025-03-15
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2025-03-16
2025-03-15
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-03-16
2025-03-15
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-03-16
2025-03-15
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-03-16
2025-01-08
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2025-01-09
2024-01-18
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-01-23
2024-01-18
Health · complaint
F0693
Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube.
D
2024-01-23
2024-01-18
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
E
2024-01-23
2024-01-18
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2024-01-23
2024-01-18
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-02-18
2023-07-06
Health · complaint
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2023-07-07
2022-11-30
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2022-12-01
2022-11-30
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
E
2022-12-01
2022-11-30
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2022-12-01
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
37
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BLAKE, GARY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLAKE, MALISA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOWERS, SEAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
BROWNWOOD III ENTERPRISES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
BROWNWOOD III ENTERPRISES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-10
current
pecos_ownership
BROWNWOOD III ENTERPRISES, LLC
—
—
2025-09-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
CISNEROS, ALFRED
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2008-02-18
current
pecos_ownership
COBB, TRAVIS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-10-05
current
pecos_ownership
COOPER, STEPHEN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-11-11
current
pecos_ownership
HARDIN, SHERRIE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-09-04
current
pecos_ownership
HUGGINS, LINDA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
KERZEE, RICHARD
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2007-09-24
current
pecos_ownership
KORENEK, PATRICIA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-05-05
current
pecos_ownership
MORALES, DAVID
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
PENNINGTON, HOLLY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
SOECHTING, PAUL
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-11-22
current
pecos_ownership
STRACK, JOE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-02-11
current
pecos_ownership
THOMPSON, JOHNNY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
—
—
2025-09-01
current
tx_hhsc_directory
WILLIG, ZACHARY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GARY BLAKE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
50%
2020-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHNNY THOMPSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZACHARY WILLIG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALFRED CISNEROS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2008-02-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID MORALES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2020-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HOLLY PENNINGTON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOE STRACK
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-02-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LINDA HUGGINS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MALISA BLAKE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2020-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICIA KORENEK
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2018-05-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAUL SOECHTING
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-11-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD KERZEE
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2007-09-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SEAN BOWERS
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHERRIE HARDIN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-09-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEPHEN COOPER
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-11-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRAVIS COBB
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-10-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
32
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 48049
acs median gross
0
$805
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48049
fmr
0
$792
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48049
acs median gross
1
$627
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48049
fmr
1
$823
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48049
acs median gross
2
$947
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48049
fmr
2
$1,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48049
acs median gross
3
$1,182
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48049
fmr
3
$1,362
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48049
acs median gross
4
$1,175
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48049
fmr
4
$1,619
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 48049
acs median gross
$919
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 48049
acs recent mover gross
$1,073
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76802
acs median gross
1
$1,275
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76802
acs median gross
2
$1,144
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76802
acs median gross
3
$1,362
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76802
acs median gross
4
$2,067
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 76802
acs median gross
$1,280
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 76802
payment standard 110
0
$1,034
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 90
0
$846
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
safmr
0
$940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 110
1
$1,078
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 90
1
$882
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
safmr
1
$980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 110
2
$1,408
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 90
2
$1,152
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
safmr
2
$1,280
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 110
3
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 90
3
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
safmr
3
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 110
4
$2,112
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
payment standard 90
4
$1,728
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 76802
safmr
4
$1,920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.