201 SOUTH COUNTY ROAD 5, SPRINGFIELD, MN 56087 · CCN 245407
Composite
68.2 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
65
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 68.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
MN median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.07
3.49
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.55
0.65
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.09
3.32
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.06
3.59
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
47.5
3.07
0.55
0.56
1.96
3.09
28.4%
2025Q3
92
46.0
3.21
0.59
0.52
2.10
3.03
31.3%
2025Q2
91
48.3
3.00
0.53
0.51
1.95
2.86
30.7%
2025Q1
90
47.9
2.92
0.60
0.45
1.88
2.86
38.7%
2024Q4
92
46.7
3.15
0.61
0.45
2.08
3.13
42.1%
2024Q3
92
49.2
3.01
0.55
0.49
1.97
2.98
44.9%
2024Q2
91
48.4
2.91
0.52
0.53
1.87
2.86
42.6%
2024Q1
91
48.4
2.91
0.51
0.50
1.90
2.88
39.8%
2023Q4
92
49.1
2.89
0.57
0.43
1.88
2.84
37.9%
2023Q3
92
51.2
2.79
0.46
0.47
1.86
2.72
37.6%
2023Q2
91
52.4
2.49
0.49
0.47
1.53
2.40
32.3%
2023Q1
90
53.4
2.13
0.49
0.41
1.23
2.04
24.3%
2022Q4
92
51.5
2.24
0.55
0.39
1.30
2.22
31.5%
2022Q3
92
54.5
2.25
0.47
0.42
1.36
2.16
29.2%
2022Q2
91
57.2
2.37
0.41
0.46
1.50
2.26
9.3%
2022Q1
90
54.2
2.46
0.42
0.53
1.51
2.41
10.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
13
B × 2D × 8E × 1F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-05-14
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-07-03
2025-05-14
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-07-03
2025-05-14
Health · complaint
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-07-03
2025-05-14
Health · complaint
F0699
Provide care or services that was trauma informed and/or culturally competent.
D
2025-07-03
2025-05-14
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-07-03
2025-05-14
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
F
2025-07-03
2024-04-17
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
B
2024-06-07
2024-04-17
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
B
2024-06-07
2024-04-17
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-06-07
2024-04-17
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-06-07
2023-03-08
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-05-03
2023-03-08
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2023-05-03
2023-03-08
Health
F0805
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.
D
2023-05-03
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
22
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ASMUS, JUSTIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
BEYER, LINDSEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
GROFF, JANET
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
LERNER, BRACEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
MATTSON, TRICIA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
MEINE, MAXINE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
MEYER, WILLIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
ROSALES, MELISSA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
VOGE, KAREN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
WELLNER, DENISE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
WENDT, PAMELA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
LINDSEY BEYER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
5%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRACEY LERNER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DENISE WELLNER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JANET GROFF
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JUSTIN ASMUS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAREN VOGE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MAXINE MEINE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MELISSA ROSALES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAMELA WENDT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TRICIA MATTSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIS MEYER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2022-05-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 27015
acs median gross
0
$762
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27015
fmr
0
$671
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27015
acs median gross
1
$676
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27015
fmr
1
$742
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27015
acs median gross
2
$963
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27015
fmr
2
$973
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27015
acs median gross
3
$1,053
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27015
fmr
3
$1,177
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27015
acs median gross
4
$1,292
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27015
fmr
4
$1,609
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 27015
acs median gross
5
$598
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27015
acs median gross
$890
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 27015
acs recent mover gross
$960
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 56087
acs median gross
1
$656
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 56087
acs median gross
2
$1,056
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 56087
acs median gross
3
$849
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 56087
acs median gross
4
$423
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 56087
acs median gross
5
$850
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 56087
acs median gross
$813
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 56087
acs recent mover gross
$1,534
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 56087
payment standard 110
0
$737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 90
0
$603
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
safmr
0
$670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 110
1
$814
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 90
1
$666
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
safmr
1
$740
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 110
2
$1,067
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 90
2
$873
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
safmr
2
$970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 110
3
$1,309
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 90
3
$1,071
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
safmr
3
$1,190
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 110
4
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
payment standard 90
4
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 56087
safmr
4
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.