Reads as: riskier than 82.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
58 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
IL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
5.04
3.13
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.26
0.49
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.96
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
5.08
3.23
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
75.6
5.04
1.26
0.74
3.04
4.96
4.2%
2025Q3
92
76.8
5.02
1.28
0.69
3.05
4.95
2.4%
2025Q2
91
81.1
4.82
1.22
0.68
2.92
4.67
4.0%
2025Q1
90
82.4
4.70
0.98
0.77
2.95
4.62
8.5%
2024Q4
92
76.9
4.99
0.97
0.92
3.09
5.04
6.3%
2024Q3
92
78.6
4.84
0.85
1.00
2.99
4.78
6.7%
2024Q2
91
74.5
4.98
0.82
1.10
3.06
4.87
5.5%
2024Q1
91
73.5
4.92
0.99
0.96
2.97
4.70
2.6%
2023Q4
92
77.0
4.89
1.09
0.84
2.96
4.62
1.0%
2023Q3
92
75.3
5.18
1.19
0.89
3.10
4.80
0.1%
2023Q2
91
78.1
4.59
1.06
0.91
2.63
4.17
2.5%
2023Q1
90
69.7
5.03
1.23
0.92
2.87
4.78
0.0%
2022Q4
92
71.5
4.87
1.16
0.86
2.85
4.56
0.0%
2022Q3
92
71.4
4.79
1.31
0.71
2.76
4.30
0.0%
2022Q2
91
70.7
4.56
1.45
0.68
2.43
4.19
0.0%
2022Q1
90
66.3
4.48
1.24
0.80
2.44
4.44
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2026-04-13
2025-05-01
Health · complaint
F0602
Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money.
D
2025-05-16
2025-02-20
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-03-24
2025-02-20
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-03-24
2025-02-20
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-03-24
2025-02-20
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-03-24
2025-01-21
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-02-10
2025-01-21
Health · complaint
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
D
2025-02-10
2025-01-07
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-01-31
2024-11-12
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2024-11-25
2024-08-09
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
G
2024-08-27
2024-08-09
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2024-08-27
2024-05-13
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2024-05-30
2024-03-13
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-04-09
2024-03-13
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2024-04-09
2024-03-13
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
G
2024-04-09
2024-03-13
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
F
2024-04-09
2024-03-13
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-04-09
2023-11-28
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2023-12-15
2023-04-19
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-04-30
2023-04-19
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2023-04-30
2023-04-19
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-04-30
2023-04-19
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2023-04-30
2023-04-19
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-04-30
2023-04-19
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2023-04-30
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
43
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
SENIOR LIVING VII OPERATOR HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
ANGELO, BERNARD
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
BETTIGOLE, MICHELLE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-10-23
current
pecos_ownership
BILOTTA, FRANK
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
BURNS, KEVIN
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
CHICAGO CCRC PARTNERS II LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
DAVID REIS SUB S TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
DEFIEBRE, DENISE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
LCS HOLDING COMPANY LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
LCS MANAGEMENT HOLDING COMPANY, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE COMPANIES LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2010-03-29
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE SERVICES COMMUNITIES, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2014-05-23
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-08-13
current
pecos_ownership
MARGOLIN, RICHARD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
MARGOLIN, RICHARD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-15
current
pecos_ownership
MCCARTHY GROUP LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-07-30
current
pecos_ownership
MEHLMAN, BRETT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
MPM SENIOR LIVING INVESTORS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
OAK INVESTMENT TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2010-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
OAK INVESTMENT TRUST II
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2010-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
RCI LEGACY HOLDINGS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
REDWOOD HOLDINGS, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
REIS, DAVID
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
SEDGEBROOK PROPCO (SL-VII) LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
SENIOR CARE ARCAPITA I LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
SENIOR LIVING VII HOLDING COMPANY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
SENIOR LIVING VII INVESTOR CORP
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
SENIOR LIVING VII SEDGEBROOK INVESTOR CORP
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-08-03
current
pecos_ownership
SOLARI, TAMARA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
current
pecos_ownership
SOLARI, TAMARA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-15
current
pecos_ownership
ZAPATA, TIFFANY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2026-01-26
current
pecos_ownership
ZAPATA, TIFFANY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
DAVID REIS
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2018-08-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LCS SB ML LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2018-06-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRETT MEHLMAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2018-08-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DENISE DEFIEBRE
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2018-08-03
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHELLE BETTIGOLE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-10-23
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD MARGOLIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD MARGOLIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TAMARA SOLARI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TAMARA SOLARI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIFFANY ZAPATA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2026-01-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIFFANY ZAPATA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
2
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,238,395
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$1,488,258
—
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 17097
acs median gross
0
$1,121
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17097
fmr
0
$1,480
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17097
acs median gross
1
$1,186
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17097
fmr
1
$1,581
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17097
acs median gross
2
$1,457
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17097
fmr
2
$1,781
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17097
acs median gross
3
$1,797
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17097
fmr
3
$2,294
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17097
acs median gross
4
$2,143
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17097
fmr
4
$2,653
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 17097
acs median gross
5
$1,926
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17097
acs median gross
$1,477
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 17097
acs recent mover gross
$1,697
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60069
acs median gross
0
$2,036
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60069
acs median gross
1
$2,446
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60069
acs median gross
2
$3,123
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60069
acs median gross
3
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 60069
acs median gross
$2,756
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 60069
payment standard 110
0
$2,442
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 90
0
$1,998
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
safmr
0
$2,220
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 110
1
$2,607
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 90
1
$2,133
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
safmr
1
$2,370
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 110
2
$2,937
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 90
2
$2,403
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
safmr
2
$2,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 110
3
$3,784
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 90
3
$3,096
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
safmr
3
$3,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 110
4
$4,378
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
payment standard 90
4
$3,582
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 60069
safmr
4
$3,980
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.