Reads as: riskier than 3.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later lease_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.12
3.33
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.48
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.58
3.03
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.33
3.44
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
191.4
3.12
0.48
0.61
2.03
2.58
28.3%
2025Q3
92
193.2
3.09
0.52
0.58
1.99
2.55
26.4%
2025Q2
91
192.3
3.17
0.53
0.62
2.02
2.62
26.2%
2025Q1
90
193.6
3.04
0.49
0.60
1.96
2.57
24.8%
2024Q4
92
193.6
3.07
0.47
0.60
2.00
2.52
29.6%
2024Q3
92
193.6
3.04
0.46
0.60
1.97
2.54
34.6%
2024Q2
91
196.0
2.99
0.44
0.62
1.93
2.50
31.3%
2024Q1
91
195.0
2.92
0.43
0.62
1.87
2.41
28.3%
2023Q4
92
196.5
2.87
0.38
0.63
1.86
2.43
27.8%
2023Q3
92
195.0
2.90
0.43
0.60
1.88
2.44
25.4%
2023Q2
91
195.6
2.94
0.45
0.58
1.90
2.44
22.1%
2023Q1
90
194.8
2.94
0.46
0.54
1.94
2.50
20.5%
2022Q4
92
193.5
2.91
0.44
0.53
1.94
2.49
19.4%
2022Q3
92
195.6
2.90
0.43
0.54
1.93
2.45
21.4%
2022Q2
91
192.5
2.89
0.42
0.58
1.89
2.49
14.3%
2022Q1
90
191.8
2.93
0.49
0.51
1.93
2.52
11.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
6
B × 1D × 4E × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-07-23
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-09-22
2025-07-23
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2025-09-22
2025-07-23
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2025-10-01
2025-07-23
Health
F0847
Inform resident or representatives choice to enter into binding arbitration agreement and right to refuse.
B
2025-09-22
2023-04-11
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-05-08
2020-09-14
Health
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
D
2020-11-14
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
27
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
3518 BAINBRIDGE AVE
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
3518 BAINBRIDGE AVE
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
B&G REALTY
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
33%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
B&G REALTY
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
33%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BRACHFELD, JOSEPH
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
HARTMAN, ISRAEL
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
ISAAC E GOLDBRENNER ESTATE
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2024-02-19
current
pecos_ownership
3518 BAINBRIDGE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2000-12-12
current
pecos_ownership
DANIEL, DAVID
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-07-16
current
pecos_ownership
DANIEL, DAVID
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-09
current
pecos_ownership
FELDMAN, BENJAMIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2006-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
GROSS, AVROHOM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-09
current
pecos_ownership
GROSS, AVROHOM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2012-10-22
current
pecos_ownership
MEDCO ENTERPRISES, INC.
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-09
current
pecos_ownership
3518 BAINBRIDGE AVE LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
3518 BAINBRIDGE LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
3518 BAINBRIDGE LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
B&G REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
33%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ISRAEL HARTMAN
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
B&G REALTY
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
33%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
B&G REALTY
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
33%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
JOSEPH BRACHFELD
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AVROHOM GROSS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AVROHOM GROSS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2012-10-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN FELDMAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2006-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID DANIEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-07-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID DANIEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,662
$1,662
—
—
—
4
propco
2023-12-31
$1,662
$1,662
—
—
—
4
propco
2022-12-31
$1,662
$1,662
—
—
—
4
propco
2021-12-31
$1,662
$1,662
—
—
—
4
propco
2020-12-31
$4,390
$4,390
—
—
—
4
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 36005
acs median gross
0
$1,191
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
0
$2,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
1
$1,380
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
1
$2,655
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
2
$1,525
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
2
$2,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
3
$1,733
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
3
$3,644
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
4
$1,771
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
fmr
4
$3,959
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 36005
acs median gross
5
$2,128
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
acs median gross
$1,458
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 36005
acs recent mover gross
$1,701
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10467
acs median gross
0
$1,249
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10467
acs median gross
1
$1,457
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10467
acs median gross
2
$1,596
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10467
acs median gross
3
$1,934
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10467
acs median gross
4
$2,204
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10467
acs median gross
5
$1,783
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10467
acs median gross
$1,522
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 10467
acs recent mover gross
$1,441
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 10467
payment standard 110
0
$2,607
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 90
0
$2,133
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
safmr
0
$2,370
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 110
1
$2,739
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 90
1
$2,241
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
safmr
1
$2,490
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 110
2
$3,003
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 90
2
$2,457
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
safmr
2
$2,730
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 110
3
$3,762
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 90
3
$3,078
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
safmr
3
$3,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 110
4
$4,081
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
payment standard 90
4
$3,339
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 10467
safmr
4
$3,710
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.